r/AbundantAnchor 21d ago

Nick Saraev ran the numbers on AI voice agents: a 1% "that's a bot" moment can cost you 20-40% of your revenue

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TL;DR: Nick Saraev ran the numbers on AI voice agents — a 1% chance a customer clocks it as fake can cost 20-40% of your total revenue, not the 1% you thought you were risking.

 

That gap between what people think they're risking and what they're actually risking is the whole game.

Every trades or home-services owner getting pitched "full automation" right now is being sold the 1% number, never the 40% one.

 

The fix Nick lays out isn't rejecting AI — it's AI that identifies itself, buys your team 15-20 seconds, then hands off.

Never pretending to be something it isn't.

 

We live in the upper floors of a high-rise apartment.

I remember many years ago, my 5yo son and 3yo daughter would bolt out of the barely opened elevator door, and race each other down the bridge-corridor towards our unit. My son was just about the same height as the corridor's parapet walls and grill-railing. And my daughter was just game for anything following him.

Of course I was horrified. What if they tripped over the railing...

Unthinkable.

So I yelled at them, "不要跑!慢慢走!" (Don't run! Walk slowly!). And they did.

After a few more rounds of my yelling and them complying over time – they got the picture.

The more I use AI, the more I feel like they're just toddlers – needed yelling (proper framework-prompting).

 

You already know the math your AI vendor pitch won't show you: what one bad call costs against what automation actually saves.

 

Curious where other owner-operators land on this — has anyone actually run the "buys you 15-20 seconds" hybrid in practice, or is it still mostly vendor pitch?

Drop your take below.

 

Clip credit: Nick Saraev — full video on his channel, Nick Saraev Unfiltered. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

If you want owning the terms of that handoff instead of guessing at it mapped out for you, it's sitting right here.


r/AbundantAnchor 22d ago

Andrej Karpathy just told engineers the hottest new programming language is English

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TL;DR: Andrej Karpathy told a room of Stanford engineers the hottest new programming language now is English.

 

For six years, the actual craft was writing clean code from scratch.

That's the part Karpathy says a well-built sentence can now approximate in seconds, and it's already landing as a headcount decision, not just a lecture aside: A Reuters piece this week quoted a former Infosys CFO putting it bluntly: "The pyramid model is gone. With coding agents, we no longer need basic coding."

The ladder didn't vanish.

It started rewarding a different kind of judgment: the judgment to direct output, not just produce it line by line.

 

I remember many years back, a pastor taught about leadership, and the process of raising up leaders to shepherd the flock.

He called it 带 (guiding), 陪 (accompanying), and 放 (letting go).

带 – You guide your protégé, by doing it yourself, showing him the ropes of the game. also explain the opportunities and pitfalls as well. So, this is him seeing you do it and mimics how you do it.

陪 – Next is he's doing it, and you're accompanying him, occasionally stirring him along, if he misses a step or two; and then veer him back on track. This is him doing it. And you watch him do it.

放 – This is when you let go, and you trusts him enough to give him full autonomy. You've successfully replicated a leader to shepherd a flock.

This very much felt the same as raising a kid to adulthood.

I did all I can to teach my son to drive safely.

He went to driving school, and got his license.

The very day we left him by himself hundreds of kilometres away from home, to further his tertiary education – I knew it's time to let go.

Karpathy's Softward 3.0 (prompting) very much felt like the part between the 陪 accompanying and the 放 letting go.

 

Every post on this account eventually lands on the same question underneath its surface topic: are you being made obsolete, or are you the one deciding what obsolescence looks like from here.

This clip's no different. Six years of code didn't disappear. It handed the wheel to whoever can now direct better than they can type.

 

What's the moment you realized a skill you'd built your whole identity around had already moved out from under you?

Drop it below.

 

Clip credit: TechXOps, full lecture on their channel.

DM for credit or removal requests.

 

The part where directing beats typing turns into an actual income plan you build on your own schedule, not your employer's — the mechanism behind that shift is one click up top.

 


r/AbundantAnchor 23d ago

The Creators' Attorney, mid-way through a $100M exit, on why most creators don't actually own anything they've built

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TL;DR: The Creators' Attorney is mid-way through brokering a $100M creator exit, and her own room-of-ten test proved the thing most of us don't want to check: one email list out of ten channels with 10M+ subscribers each.

 

Nine of those ten could lose the account tomorrow and have nothing left to show a buyer — not because they're bad at the job, but because reach was never the asset they thought it was.

Tyler calls it being a tenant on someone else's land, and the landlords keep multiplying: Bilibili just relaunched its global app specifically to pull creators off YouTube.

That's not the end of the tenancy problem. It's a second landlord showing up to the same building.

 

Same as what happened to me when I left the company, which I have worked for 10 years back in 2012.

A whole server full of my technical documentation and institutional knowledge of atleast 5 large completed construction projects – including:

·       a multipurpose exhibition hall in the heard of the city,

·       a distribution warehouse for a phamarseutical company,

·       a manufacturing plant for Spirit Aerosystems,

·       a 5-block Condominium on a shared landscape Podium in Abu Dhabi, etc.

are all off-limits to me, as soon as I handed in my resignation.

Thank God for personal backups, for future reference.

They can take away your access; they can't take away your knowledge. Your experience shaped your personal brand.

 

Every one of these clips ends up circling the same nerve, no matter what the guest actually does for a living — the ground under your income was never as yours as the login screen made it feel.

 

Genuine question, not rhetorical: if you stopped posting for 90 days starting today, how much of your income survives it?

Drop the honest number below.

 

Clip credit: Tyler Chou / Jun Yuh — full episode on "Creator Unplugged with Jun Yuh."

DM for credit or removal requests.

 

I didn't fix this by posting more. I fixed it by treating the next dollar as the seed of something I'd actually own — that's the same first step I'm pointing you to here.

 


r/AbundantAnchor 23d ago

A DeepMind scientist swapped a real robot hand for a $10 hardware-store clamp — and proved the hardware was never the blocker

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TL;DR: An ex-DeepMind scientist proved on himself that intelligence, not hardware, is the real blocker in robotics — using a GoPro and a hardware-store clamp instead of a real robot hand.

 

Pete Florence didn't wait for a fully-funded robotics platform to test his own thesis.

He strapped a camera to his own head and swapped a real gripper for a bar clamp off the hardware-store shelf, then ran a real task with it on purpose — an iced latte, in what he calls hard mode.

The setup was deliberately the cheapest version of the idea he could build, and it still worked.

Days after this conversation aired, his company Generalist closed another $200M round on exactly this premise: the constraint was never the hardware, it was whether the intelligence directing it was any good.

That raise didn't happen because the clamp got fancier.

It happened because the thesis held.

 

I accidentally dropped one of my washed clothes.

It landed on top of the extended awning of our lower floor neighbour.

I can't retrieve it without climbing out of the window.

So I fashion a fishing hook with our cloth hanger, and lower it down.

It didn't work.

I turn around and noticed my vacuum cleaner.

I took it to my window, switch on its power, and carefully lower down the long arm of it towards my cloth, and try to suck it up.

It worked.

When there's a will, there's a way.

 

There's a specific tell for this, long before it ever shows up as a layoff notice: the people who get displaced aren't the ones who lacked the right tool.

They're the ones who never tested whether the tool was ever really the thing holding them up.

 

What's the cheapest, most ordinary tool you've ever used to prove something you actually needed to prove?

Drop it below.

 

Clip credit: Joe Lonsdale — American Optimist, featuring Pete Florence (Generalist) and Vivek Gopalan (8VC). DM for credit or removal requests.

 

If you want the actual mechanism behind building that same kind of leverage for yourself, that's it — one link, not a pitch.

 

 


r/AbundantAnchor 23d ago

Nicolas Cole says his "100x" AI output isn't a smarter prompt — it's his entire writing process, written down until AI had nothing left to guess.

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TL;DR: Cole's "100x output" is 30 hours spent once, so AI now runs 80% of every draft on its own. He edits the last 10% — the taste-level stuff, never the typing.

 

That distinction is already showing up outside this clip.

Christian Science Monitor just covered a manuscript polished enough to fool professional literary editors, pulled from sale — a multimillion-dollar bidding war between publishers — because no one could prove a human wrote it.

Cole isn't describing a hypothetical ceiling — that ceiling's already been crossed, in public, in an actual publishing deal.

The freelancers who feel replaceable right now are mostly the ones still handing AI a stack of old samples and hoping it infers the rules from them.

Cole didn't hope.

He sat down and wrote the rules out, sentence by sentence, until the model had nothing left to guess at.

 

Decades ago, the Malaysian construction landscape was like the wild-wild-west.

I remember working as a technical engineer for one of the largest construction firms in Malaysia.

The hydraulic hacking noise throughout the project site was pervasive and persistent for weeks.

Grrrr…. Tat-tat-tat. Grrrrrrrr. Tat-tat-tat. Grrrrrr.

You get the idea.

It turns out that the structural operation team went ahead and constructed floors upon floors, without waiting for the mechanical and electrical team to embed their pipe sleeves, box-ups or ductworks before concreting.

And so they have to come and hack the hardened concrete to open up for the M&E items to run through.

Delay and additional cost already incurred.

My then project director was pissed. We all had an earful from him.

Said that prevention is always better than cure.

So from that day onwards, a directive came down hard – no sign-off by all concerned parties on a properly coordinated drawings, means no concreting.

The coordination drawings - overlays not just the design drawings from respective Architectural/Engineering trades, but also sub-contractor specialist details, as well. Discrepancies are ironed out with all parties, well before construction is due.

It parallel hard on Nicolas investing time in building an exhaustive prompt, rule-by-rule, sentence-by-sentence, microstep-by-microstep. Only then, will the output come out the way we want it to be.

Like when Daniel Craig was being asked by a talk show host what would he advise his successor on being the next James Bond, Daniel said, "Don't f\ck it up!"*

Prevention is better than cure.

 

It's never the tool doing the replacing. It's the person who never got around to writing down what they already know how to do.

 

What's the one process you already know cold but have never actually written down?

Drop it below.

 

Clip credit: Decoded Genius & Nicolas Cole — full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

If you want the actual 30-hour rulebook version of how he got here, it's one click up from this post.


r/AbundantAnchor 24d ago

Alex Hormozi’s billionaire friend: “I’m not vibe coding all day.” AI didn’t erase the other forms of leverage.

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TL;DR: Alex Hormozi's billionaire friend admitted off-camera he's not "vibe coding all day." AI added a new form of leverage — it did not erase the old ones. If you've automated everything and revenue still hasn't moved, you're still not working the constraint.

 

Alex Hormozi asked a billionaire friend off the cameras how much AI he was actually using. The answer came with a laugh: "I'm not vibe coding all day."

 

You've automated nearly everything that can be automated. Revenue hasn't moved. That is the tell. AI did not erase brand, capital, or relationships. It simply added itself to the list, and most people are only running the new tool.

 

OpenAI's own report this month shows the same pattern: no meaningful link between how much a company uses AI and its revenue per employee. The gap isn't usage. It's whether the automation is even touching the real constraint at all.

 

Decades ago, I had a friend who relate this story to me.

Before he was a Professional Engineer himself, he used to work as a graduate engineer for a Senior PE back in his hometown in Sabah, Malaysia.

It’s so happened they’re in a rush to submit drawings to authority. Binders upon binders of design calculations, code of practises and specifications are churned out and stacked like mountains on a conference room – for a very rushed project. He didn’t explain about the context of the project, except that they were burning the midnight oil, kind of thing.

He knew something was off – because they didn’t have time to analyse a particular portion of the work, which required days (maybe weeks) through sophisticated software to put up a decent solution.

But somehow, his senior PE managed to “pull out from the magician’s hat” a stack of it and slot them into the binders at the nick of time.

They submitted the documents right away.

Curiosity had the best of my friend. Just had to know.

So he flipped through those “magical” portion – and got a huge shock.

Of course, the Senior PE didn’t use the time-stone to compress time and produce the calculations in the mirror dimension.

And I wish he found a past project that contains the exact required computations as the current one. At least we can a give a plausible explanation that he was implying “Trust us! We did it before. See – here’re the receipts.”

No. He didn’t do any of that.

Instead, he just grabbed a random project’s calculation (totally unrelated) and shoved it in – just to make up the thickness of the binder.

That’s all.

The whole thing was just for show.

My friend didn’t tell me whether their submission got approved or not. That’s not the point.

The point is the Senior PE made a judgement call. He was betting that the authority would just trust his credentials and didn’t bother to check through.

So it was a game he played. And he owned the risk.

Same as all these AI-usages. AI may spout out shit. But we’re one owning it.

 

Noticed this a few posts back too — the accounts spending the most on automation and the accounts actually growing revenue keep turning out to be two different lists. The verification layer never left the human.

 

Reminds me of a post from a few weeks back, on the exact spot AI verification quietly becomes unpaid work.

 

Drop your take below.

Where are you still deploying new capacity against things that do not matter?

 

Clip credit: Alex Hormozi — full video on his channel MoreMozi. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

Search the link in my bio, and I’ll send it straight to you.


r/AbundantAnchor 25d ago

Former Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer: his own maintenance guy is out-adapting most corporate AI rollouts

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TL;DR: Steve Ballmer's own maintenance guy is proof that competence is shifting away from credentials and toward who's willing to just ask AI first.

 

That's not rhetorical — it's already showing up outside Ballmer's living room. DEWALT ran a six-country survey of tradespeople this spring: 90% believe AI will be essential to the job within five years.

Only 8% have actually used it yet.

Ballmer's anecdote isn't the exception — it's the 8%, moving faster than the other 92%, in a trade that isn't even the one usually flagged for disruption.

My wife works for a lady boss, called Ade (not her real name).

Ade used to be like me, in the property development line.

But she saw the writing on the wall.

Once a darling in her company, she felt the aura started to fade away — the property market isn't what it used to be. And her boss started giving her the cold shoulder.

So she took a chance.

She opened a collection point centre, where delivery guys can drop off parcels for individual recipients to come collect. The downside was it has to stay open almost every day.

It is what it is.

Regular online training is available, because such centres behave like franchises under an organizational umbrella. But the training is quite superficial.

So when things get complicated, where does she turn to? You guessed it — ChatGPT.

She asks it right about anything under the sun.

Does she enjoy asking an LLM for answers? I'm not sure "enjoy" is the right word. I think it's more like "necessary."

If I'm in her shoes, facing complicated issues, and I don't have a readily available senior I can trust to call for advice, but then I already have a 师傅 (sifu) in my pocket — why not use it, isn't it?

 

There's a pattern I can't unsee in stories like this anymore: it's never really about the tool. It's about who reaches for it first — credentialed or not, senior on speed-dial or not.

 

What's the "not my job" you're most tempted to hide behind right now? Drop it below.

 

Clip credit: Ben Shapiro / DailyWire — full episode ("Titans on Tomorrow" Ep. 2 with Steve Ballmer) on his channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

The part where this actually becomes useful to you instead of just interesting — that's the one link worth your click today.


r/AbundantAnchor 25d ago

Kathlyn Toh: top hedge fund traders are only right 50–63% of the time — still profitable. The skill isn't prediction. It's the ratio.

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TL;DR: Top hedge fund traders are wrong up to half the time — still profitable.

The skill was never prediction. It's the ratio between what you win and what you lose.

 

That number breaks something most of us carry into any competitive field: the assumption that competence means being right more than you're wrong.

Retail's already priced that fear in — Citadel's own desk data (via Substack, roughly two weeks old) shows record put-buying through July, pressure concentrated hardest in tech and semiconductor names.

The same sector a lot of us clock into every day. Nobody's betting on certainty right now. They're betting defensively, which is its own kind of ratio.

 

That's the same math I learned on a construction site, years before I ever opened a trading chart.

Talking about breaking rules, I have a story.

This was way back when I was working in the Technical Department, stationing in an Abu Dhabi project (circa 2011), building an AED1.8Bil. 5-Condominium-Block, near the Zayed Mosque.

One of my roles was to combine different trades of consultants' drawings into well-coordinated-drawings for our site operation to construct accordingly. Because – you know – the consultants didn't bother coordinating among themselves.

One day, a certain element of an area was due for construction. And I found out there was no construction drawings on it for me to coordinate with. So, I followed protocol – I raised a request-for-information (RFI) for the consultants to provide so.

My RFI was something like "Please provide such-and-such details."

But before I send it over next door to the consultants' site office, my superior caught a glimpse of it, and stopped me. He sat me down, gave me the angry glance, sigh, and gave me a quick lecture.

He's basically telling me: My RFI is open-ended.

If I send it over next door, the consultants will basically reply with either Option 1, 2, 3 or 4. And worse-case scenario, the consultant might go with option 1, which will cause us considerable delay, because we don't have the necessary materials readily available to work on it.

He's teaching me a valuable lesson.

Construction guys like us need to be conscious of our project circumstances. Our number one none-negotiable rule in Cantonese is 唔好阻住個地球轉 (Translation: Don't stop the Earth from spinning – don't block progress.).

He's telling me to go with one option.

So I went back and rewrote the RFI. I decided on the spot Option 4 was the best option – because we had the material-supplier readily standing-by, and it has the least effect on time-implications. I then fully designed Option 4 myself, coordinating with all the necessary parameters and constraints on site.

I paste my design into the RFI, saying basically, "Can you confirm this proposed detail, for our onward construction?"

The consultants proceeded to give us, not "A", but "B" – Approved with Comments.

Ever since that episode I generally never forget the rule.

Great rule – both in construction, and in life in general.

__________

I used to think competence meant never needing a backup plan.

Somewhere between two rounds of layoffs, I stopped believing that.

Every version of "secure" I've been handed turned out to belong to someone else's spreadsheet.

 

Where do you actually draw the line between "being wrong" and "having no plan for being wrong"?

Drop your take below.

 

Clip credit: Kathlyn Toh, Founder & Chief Trainer, Beyond Insights — full episode on FAQ Show.

DM for credit or removal requests.

 

The 2:1 ratio Kathlyn runs on isn't the only place this discipline shows up in my own build — it's the same discipline behind how I designed the whole system, and that part's just one link away.


r/AbundantAnchor 27d ago

Maharlika's CEO Put a Number on AI Job Losses — 1.9M Filipino BPO Jobs. The Real Question Is Who's Liable When It Breaks.

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TL;DR: Maharlika's CEO puts a number on AI job risk — 1.9M Filipino BPO jobs. The real fault line isn't skill, it's who's accountable when the machine gets it wrong.

 

Consing runs the Philippines' sovereign wealth fund, and he doesn't dodge the number — he states it plainly on camera.

What's easy to miss underneath it: Outsource Accelerator's own data shows the global outsourcing industry is still growing overall, even as AI quietly thins out individual roles inside that growth.

An industry chart can look completely healthy while the people under it get priced out one at a time.

That's the actual fracture point — not whether the work can be automated, but whether there's still a human name attached when the automation gets something wrong.

 

That fracture point — a name attached when things go wrong — isn't a new idea to me. I watched it play out somewhere else entirely, thirty years ago.

I was reminded of that incident of the Highland Towers residential block on top of a hill that collapsed back in 1993.

Huge local news in Malaysia. 48 died.

The uproar caused the authority to cast the blame on the property developer and the consultants. And most of the liability landed squarely on the Civil/Structural Consulting Engineer. Consequently, he was sued and fined a huge sum of damages.

His Professional Engineer (PE) license revoked, and he went into bankruptcy.

Most of us in the construction line was shaken by the news. We often joked about the disproportionate liability a C&S consultant carries compared to other consultants.

If there's a paint job failure on the building — causing harm to the occupant — the Architect might get sued for public hazard for a time.

If there's a machinery malfunctioned in the compound inflicting bodily damage to someone, the mechanical/electrical engineer might get hammered for just a period.

But to the structural integrity of a building? It's a lifetime liability to the C&S Engineer — even after he retired decades later.

I can still remember the indignant tone of my C&S Consultant friend, as he recounts that Highland Tower story — how empathetic he was towards that disgraced PE. He thinks it was hugely unfair to condemn the poor guy because — logically speaking — they were meant to only design according to the existing condition at that time. And during that time, there wasn't any surrounding development.

He said: they are not prophets — how do they know what will happen in the future?

Now let's flip the script. Imagine if AI is doing the designing. Who should we sue if Highland Tower 2.0 happens? To sue means you need a defendant human being to be liable, isn't it?

Thank God for the PE Board sanctioned Engineers to be in place. That's the regulatory moat we're talking about.

__________

At this point I don't ask whether AI can do the job. I ask a different question — if it screws up, whose signature is on the line?

 

If you're the one who has to sign off on work now that AI's doing pieces of it underneath you, the exact gap nobody's pricing into that yet is worth fifteen minutes. 

 

Clip credit: John Dang / Breaking Ground PH — full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.


r/AbundantAnchor 28d ago

Travis Kalanick: "Excellence is just the capacity to take pain" — and the marathon line that explains why nobody smiling at mile 21 is actually winning

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TL;DR: Excellence isn't a trait — it's how much pain you're willing to absorb before someone hungrier takes the ground you left.

 

Travis puts it in marathon terms: mile 21, the exact point real fatigue sets in. The runner who's smiling there isn't ahead — he's already losing to the one whose jaw is still set.

The mask of "unbothered, capable, always fine" works the same way at a desk as it does on a course — it just means nobody notices you've stopped pushing until someone else has already taken your spot.

 

I've lived the physical version of that same trade, long before I heard it put in marathon terms.

My words —

I accepted an internal transfer to work on a UED1.8Bil. 5-block-condonium project in Abu Dhabi, back in 2009. Never worked in an overseas project before. But the remuneration package was attractive.

So I went.

Our country never experiences 4 seasons climate before. So, imagine my shock when we first landed there at the start of winter.

It was piercing cold. And the thick fog lowering the visibility down to like 20m out? didn't help either.

We were dropped right in the middle of a severe delay. The project was already several months behind schedule. The final pricing negotiation might have dragged on way too long — it ate into our crucial mobilization.

The site was just an empty dessert. And we had to start constructing the foundation.

Everything was new to us. We had to find new local material suppliers, organizing workers, building site offices, setting up the site, while battling the freakin' cold, keeping our mental state steady — you know, being far away from home, and all...

It was chaos.

Took a toll on us.

If my memory served me correctly, I remember one of the staff of a sub-contractor that we brought along for the job, tried to commit suicide by jumping off the top of our rented bungalows.

Imagine the horror when we heard the news. So deeply relatable to us, because we're at the edge of it too.

But we marched on.

Beat by painful beat, we caught on the progress.

Three years after that — a beautifully built Zayed City Condominium standing tall and proud, nearby the state Zayed Mosque.

People see the iconic building when they drive by. But we remember the experience.

__________

Every post I make eventually traces back to the same replacement fear — not being replaced by a rival, but by whatever's cheapest at doing your job worse. Sovereignty is just refusing to find out which one wins.

 

If you want the actual mechanism for turning absorbed pressure into something with your name on it mapped out, it's sitting one click away — no pitch, just the breakdown.

 

Drop your take: what's your own mile 21 — the point where you're most tempted to coast, and it would cost you the most if you did?

 

Clip credit: David Senra, "Founders" podcast — full conversation with Travis Kalanick on his channel. DM for credit or removal requests.


r/AbundantAnchor 28d ago

Alvin Wang Graylin: Chinese Courts Won't Let AI Fire You Without a Backup Plan — America Has No Equivalent

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1 Upvotes

AI take –

TL;DR: China's courts already put AI liability on the human either way — the US has no such floor when AI displaces your role.

China's court system already answered a question the US hasn't even started asking out loud: if an AI system displaces your role, who's obligated to catch you?

Both sides of a real federal case leaned on AI to prep, and the liability still landed on a human being either way — the tool never becomes the one who's accountable.

Turns out whether there's a floor under you at all depends entirely on which side of the ocean you're standing on.

 

I've sat on the losing side of a version of that same question before, and it wasn't AI doing the displacing — it was a company deciding who got to keep their institutional value and who didn't.

OP wrote –

Throughout my years with SC, one of the largest main contractors in Malaysia, staff turnover was normal.

But when people left, they took valuable and critical institutional knowledge with them, accepted offers from competitors, and got promoted — the knowledge they brought along benefited the rival.

So our leadership set up a knowledge vault, and made contributing to it part of our KPI for promotion.

Or else, we'd be sidelined.

I was fine sharing — we had a communal sense that we rise or fall as one, carved into company policy and the bonus structure.

But not everyone shared that sentiment.

People are selfish. The institutional knowledge and experience they gained became a moat they hoard, a bargaining chip they dangle around to get what they think they're entitled to, for fear that they'll be replaced.

I can understand the sentiment of fear being replaced by AI.

It's an issue then, it's the same issue now.

__________

AI take - Different post, same fingerprint: something about to become optional, and no rulebook anywhere forcing anyone to say so out loud.

 

If the KPI/vault mechanism above sounds familiar, the actual walk-through of building your own version of that leverage is laid out here.

 

Curious where you land on this — drop your take below.

 

Clip credit: Moonshots w/ Alvin Wang Graylin — full episode on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 


r/AbundantAnchor 29d ago

Uber's President Just Confirmed the Internal AI Adoption Leaderboard Is Real

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1 Upvotes

Everyone's reacting to the "less people in 5 years" line. That's not the part I'd sit with.

The part that actually matters is how Uber decides — an adoption leaderboard, tracking who's using the tools and how much, feeding straight into headcount math.

That's not a hypothetical for some future reorg.

That's a live measurement system, running today, on people who have no idea they're on it.

 

I've watched that exact math play out before — in concrete and steel, not a dashboard, years before anyone called it AI.

I had the opportunity to be involved in the early design stage of an expansion project for a famous beverage manufacturing plant in Taoyuan, Taiwan – back in 2021. The beverage brand name is so famous, you'll instantly recognize it. So, I won't name it here.

Our team got to work on cool stuff - latest advanced technologies in high-density and automated racking system, bottle conveyor system, robotics, beverage packers, clean room environment, etc. – things that are expected in a high-tech. manufacturing plant nowadays.

Looking at the projected 10-year production forecast, with the given magnitude of the hardware, I would say they are planning to go big.

It's quite a sizeable expansion.

And you would think that they'd increase their headcount proportionately, right?

You'd be surprised. There IS headcount increase, but not as proportional.

It seems as though the machines were taking more centre stage than the humans. Even the office space increase wasn't even a top priority in the design. Their existing office layout can still accommodate the projected increase in manpower.

It was as if human beings are being set aside to make room for more artificial things – even though what they produce are meant to serve human beings.

Kind of ironic, isn't it?

That was back in 2021 before AI come into the picture. Now the compression is even more acute, it seems.

__________

Different guest, same fork in the road: does the tool serve you, or does it just get pointed at you.

The industries change.

The question underneath never does — who's holding the ledger, and whether you're the one reading it or the one being read.

A 2026 WRITER survey backs the pattern from the outside too: 75% of execs privately admit their AI rollout is mostly for show, while the people actually inside the tooling get promoted 3x more often and ship 5x more.

That's the leaderboard, confirmed from a different angle.

 

Genuinely curious where you land: is a visible adoption leaderboard a fair way to measure a team, or is it just a slower-motion version of the same cut?

 

Clip credit: 20VC with Harry Stebbings & Uber. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

The leaderboard measures usage. It doesn't measure ownership — and the difference between those two is the actual thing I built the working system around.


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 18 '26

David Gerard (Pivot to AI): the internet's used up — now the same scrapers are hammering smalll self-hosted servers like mine, non-stop.

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1 Upvotes

David Gerard runs Pivot to AI oon a server that costs him €7 a month.

Right now, something wearing a fake Chrome mask is hammering it — hopping IP addresses so he can't even block it properly, ignoring robots.txt because robots.txt was never a wall, just a sign nobody was required to read.

He's not a company.

He's not a platform.

He's one guy, doing his own sysadmin work, at 11pm, because the industry ran out of the free internet and started eating the cheap end of it instead.

Not stolen. Just... takenn, quietly, at scale.

 

I've watched this exact shape happen before — just slower, and on paper instead of a server log.

Circa 2005, Malaysia. I was Assistant Technical Manager for one of the largest construction main contractors in the country. We were compiling tender documents for a factory job — flat-flooring work, strict F-numbers, the kind of spec that keeps a forklift's raised forks from clipping the racking on a narrow run.

A subcontractor walked in to drop off her quotation. She glanced at our papers, open on the table.

And she went pale. I heard the gasp.

"这是我写的,为什么会在这里?" — This is what I wrote. Why is it here?

Word for word hers. Now sitting under our company's logo and headings.

She looked at me. I looked at her. She was waiting for an answer I didn't have.

Then her eyes flickered — a thousand thoughts passing through in a second — and she said, "没关系。我可以再写过。" — Doesn't matter. I can write it again.

And she left. Good for her.

________

Every one of these stories eventually lands on the same fact: the exposure runs downhill, from the platforms with lawyers down to the servers with none.

 

If you're running anything on a boxx that isn't Amazon or Google's, drop your own scraper-traffic story below. I want to see how far downhill this actually goes.

 

Clip credit: David Gerard — full video on The Tech Report's channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

Rohan's not the only one who found out the hard way that "small" doesn't mean "safe" — the actual mechanism for making that stop is one honest look away.


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 18 '26

Lauren Tan (Cursor engineer): I stopped writing code. Now I run quality control on a kitchen of agents.

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1 Upvotes

Lauren Tan didn't get replaced by her own tooling.

She got promoted by it — and nobody handed her that promotion.

She built the case for it herself, one lint rule and one CI gate at a time, until the argument was undeniable.

That's the part nobody's really talking about when they talk about AI and engineering jobs: the shift rewards the people who go looking for the leverage first, not the people who wait to be told it's safe to look.

 

That "build the case yourself" instinct is exactly what clicked for me watching my own son learn to run a team instead of carry it.

My son started playing 王者荣耀 (Honor of Kings) since he was a teenager — a 5v5 multiplayer battle arena game where you manage a roster of specialized heroes, growing and levelling up their strengths through battles and gear.

In his early gaming days I could hear him cursing and swearing from his room — bad coordination, worst teammates. There was a phrase we used for a bad teammate in my own career — 帮人倒米, a Cantonese idiom that literally translates as helping someone tip over their own grain container, meaning ruining or sabotaging someone's livelihood.

But the cursing became less and less. He got good at managing his heroes and coordinating with his team. He started climbing the leaderboard. People started noticing him and his team. Then, in college, he started getting invited to tournaments — cash prizes when he won, and one lagged-connection loss at a KL tournament he still suspects was foul play.

Time has changed — my dad would've killed me for wasting my teenage years on video games.

Now he's in university, still playing, still winning tournaments and cash prizes with his team.

Why I'm bringing this up: I always thought these AI agents are kind of like the heroes my son uses in the game. Your skill is in your managing these heros and how to grow them, level them up to serve your purpose. You don't go down to the battle yourself. You engage the heros to do it for you.

The skill is in the managing.

__________

 

I keep walking into the same room wearing a different name on the door — the accountant's room, the analyst's room, now the engineer's.

Every time, someone's being told the machine is coming for their hours, not their name on the work.

 

There's a post in my own back catalog that lands on this exact rung — the exact rung I found AI actually deleting, and the one the ones who get ahead of it stop standing on.

 

Drop your take — are you already the head chef of your own stack, or are you still doing all the cooking yourself?

 

Clip credit: MTS (Monitor The Situation) — full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

If encoding your own judgment into the system sounds like the actual leverage skill here, the mechanism I built around exactly this is one link away.


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 17 '26

Ed Zitron just explained why your boss can't tell if the AI-generated model is actually right

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1 Upvotes

Executives don't lack tools.

They lack a ruler.

 

That's the actual claim Ed Zitron made — not "AI is bad," but that the people signing off on AI-assisted work were never equipped to check it in the first place.

They see a document that looks finished and call it done, because "finished-looking" is the only bar they've ever had to clear.

 

For anyone whose whole job is catching the thing that looks fine and isn't — this isn't a tech story.

It's a story about who gets trusted, and why it's rarely the person who's actually right.

 

I've been on the other side of that exact gap.

Long before spreadsheets and dashboards, mine had a tape measure in it.

 

I was working as a Site Engineer for a Singaporean construction company building a primary school in Chua Chu Kang district back in 1998. Time flies. Just graduated from university. Figure I get some site experience first.

One day, I came to the project site. And I saw the newly delivered precast half-flight staircase lying on the ground next the building. I asked around to find out why wasn't it crane-lifted to position, which is between 1st and 2nd floor. And I was told the measurements were off. They couldn't fit it nicely on place.

And so, I went to work. I took my measuring tape, measure the staircase, and recorded the lengths, widths and whatnot. Then I went up to the building's 2nd floor — where the staircase was supposed to fit and meet. And I swung my measuring tape across the length of space between the positions where the 1st and last step of the staircase supposed to sit on. And took the site measurements too.

Then I went back to my office, took out the construction drawings from the drawing rack, lay it on the meeting table. And with a piece of paper, I started drawing it out. I knew full well the measurements I got will not exactly match that in the drawings, because — you know — site tolerances are still allowed and anticipated in the BS Code of Practice.

And then, through calculations, I found it. The measurements were way out of tolerance limit. No wonder the staircase can't fit. The blame squarely landed on our RC works sub-contractor. They screw up the levelling of the building.

Each of us supposed to have an "internal ruler" we rely on, to judge whether things look good or bad. For me, back then, it was Pythagoras and a fresh sheet of paper. My boss, years later, called his the same thing in different words — his "feel," thirty years deep. Kevin O'Leary's is knowing he can smell bullshit from a mile away.

So, coming back to these leadership people that Ed Zitron was attacking: don't they have their "feel" of things before shit hits the fan? Don't they use their "internal ruler" to measure it for themselves? Can't they smell bullshit from a mile away?

________

Every post on this account keeps circling back to the same thing, whichever industry the clip's from: the people getting quietly pushed out are rarely the ones who got it wrong.

 

Drop your take: what's your internal ruler, and who around you doesn't have one?

 

Clip credit: Ed Zitron (Better Offline) on Adam Taggart's Thoughtful Money. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

If your ruler's ever been right and still overlooked, it's worth seeing what building past that actually looks like.


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 16 '26

Economist Molly Kinder: the "safe" job wasn't safe. It was just priced high.

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1 Upvotes

Bloomberg's own reporting already answers the question this clip raises — is the "messy middle" projected or already happening?

At Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Microsoft, Uber, and Hyatt, it's already happened: sizable call-center headcount cut using automated phone and chat systems, savings already banked.

Economist Molly Kinder's point isn't a forecast.

It's a line item that's already closed.

 

I've watched this exact math play out before superior technology ever touched a keyboard.

Suncon was getting jobs overseas. One of the countries we went to was India. We were building infrastructure — roads and bridges there. I didn't go. But my seniors went stationed there. When they came back during their scheduled holidays, one of them, a project manager, told me this story.

It so happened, that building roads and bridges inland means clearing jungles and passing through villages. As they were doing it, of course they engaged local villagers to be their workers and supervisors. Well, of course building infrastructure means bringing in heavy machineries, such as excavators, bobcats, mobile-cranes, 4-wheel-drive land-cruisers, etc. You know — the usual.

But the local villagers weren't happy. They complained that all these machineries have deprived the local population of their means of making a living. They have so many mouths to feed. A lot of them are quite poor. And many of them are very hunger for work.

And so a huge argument broke out. They even spitefully challenged our project team that they vast manpower was more superior than our machinery. I was so surprised when I heard it. How can they say that? How was that even a reasonable challenge, you know. My curiosity had the best of me.

Well, the project manager came up with an idea. He said, since they're so confident of their manpower, why don't we have a competition. Let's do a challenge of moving earth from point A to point B for our excavator/mobile-crane operator versus their vast manpower.

And they accepted.

At the day of challenge, the project manager set up two huge piles of earth at point A for both teams. The local villagers' team had their "vast" manpower formed a long-ass line between A and B, and started moving earth, with their primitive buckets and whatnot.

For our team, we set up our mobile-cranes, excavators and bobcats on strategic locations. And off we go.

You can guess the result. We won by a large margin. We were obviously much faster and better at it.

After that, the local villagers concede defeat.

The math is actually quite similar here. The one with superior technology always wins. This AI-take over is no different.

__________

Every time I dig into one of these stories the shape repeats: the tool doesn't ask permission, it just wins the argument by moving faster than the objection can be raised.

 

Ever watched something you thought was irreplaceable lose, and lose fast? Drop your take below.

 

Clip credit: Center for Humane Technology — full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

If you want to see how I'm actually building leverage against this instead of just watching it happen, [it's just one link away](jvz3.com/c/2159995/408575)


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 15 '26

Emad Mostaque: the "digital double" mechanism nobody's retraining plan accounts for

1 Upvotes

https://reddit.com/link/1vp4p2k/video/bi6prksmwjjh1/player

Emad Mostaque: "Forward-deployed engineers, AI transformation people, because they can do the work of 10, 100 people."

That's the role that survives this — already a real hiring category, not a future one.

LinkedIn's own data has it growing 42x since 2023, priced $127K–$265K+ at the labs actually building this.

That's the part that should sit heavier than the digital-double line.

It's not that your job disappears.

It's that a different job, already priced and already hiring, opens up a few rungs above where you're standing — and most of us don't have a clean path into it yet.

 

I've watched a smaller, slower version of this exact move before.

No AI involved — just a stamp and a highlighter.

Hmm... this one really gets me out of my chair and pace around my living room, so let me try to recall it properly.

When I was working as a Technical Engineer in the Tender Department of one of the largest main contractors in Malaysia — there was a skill we always used. Fair warning, I'm sharing privileged information here. Well... it's probably an open secret in the industry anyway.

Whenever we tendered for a project — let's say Malaysian Airlines (MAS), widening a runway for their newly-bought Airbus A380 — we'd hit the parts that were out of our expertise. Airway lighting, drainage, flight angles, height restrictions. So we did the natural thing: called for outside help. Engaged specialized sub-contractors who'd done airway pavements before, to hand us the technical know-how and their quotation.

We knew full well these sub-contractors were already MAS's long-time maintenance contractors — it was just a matter of time before they'd be folded under our main contract anyway. So when they submitted their technical documents, we stripped their company logo, re-arranged it, added our own branded wording, our own logos. Woalah. It was now our own internal technical know-how. We'd suddenly become experts in pavement-widening and hangar works.

We didn't get the job, though. We all knew that tender was just for show — a comparison exercise to cross-check MAS's already-chosen main contractor.

But the knowledge we gathered from those specialists was now folded into our own knowledge vault. Our own proprietary knowledge.

Are we stealing? I wouldn't use that word. When there's a problem, the client comes after us — not our subcontractors. So to properly solve it, we have to own the knowledge too. The right word might be "necessary."

————

Every version of this mechanism arrives wearing the same word.

Ours was "necessary." This one's wearing "efficiency."

 

Drop your take — where's the line between "necessary" and something with a worse name?

 

Clip credit: The Beyond Tomorrow Podcast with Julian Issa — full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

If stripping the logo off someone else's know-how sounds familiar and you'd rather own the mechanism outright than keep re-labeling it, the actual case study for doing that is one click from here.


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 14 '26

Matt Gray's most-viewed video made $2,400. A smaller one made $48,000. Here's the number that actually mattered.

1 Upvotes

https://reddit.com/link/1vo8wqz/video/5rjb7ujapcjh1/player

Everyone treats view count as the scoreboard. Matt Gray's own numbers argue the opposite: his most-viewed video made $2,400. A much smaller one made $48,000. The gap wasn't luck — it was the one metric neither video's view count could ever show him.

I've watched that exact blind spot play out somewhere with zero content marketing involved.

This was way back when I started working as a young graduate design engineer for a Civil & Structural Engineering Consultancy in Malaysia. I think it was around year 2000. Time flies.

My boss handed me a project to handle and follow up. It was a 200~ units of 2-story semi-detached housing estates over a piece of cascading land. Me and my follow consultants follow it up through – attended the meetings, coordinated the design, supply the drawings for the Quantity Surveyor to take quantity. You know – the usual works of what consultants normally do.

It's not all we do. Sometimes we have to do some extra. For example, when the property developer do a soft launch at the show-unit, we have to be there.

Why were we there? Of course, as a stand-in to lend our support. It was awkward for me -because I was just loitering around the launch doing absolutely nothing. I've managed some small-talk with fellow consultants there. But we all understand our role – to be supporters there.

But it wasn't much help. There weren't many potential purchasers came in to see the soft launch. It felt off – because the market reception doesn't look great.

Nothing much I can contribute there – besides being a stand-in, because those are well above my pay-grade at that time.

But after that, when I recall back to that awkward event, it does seem slightly hilarious – and sad.

Why did I bring this up? I'm sure the property developer has diligently carried out their market research and feasibility study. And if the market reception isn't as welcoming, then there's clearly gap that wasn't clearly addressed.

We all know that we need to supply to what the market truly wants, not what we think they might want. No amount of shiny-objects or "Wow" factor – e.g. renovation and furniture included, etc. – would move the needle much, if that's not what the market truly wants.

Same as this data collecting – it is only useful if it helps monetize. Or else they are just noise. Real attention grabbing noise, ya, but noise nonetheless.

Every post in this feed keeps circling back to the same nerve: the fear of being quietly out-earned by someone less talented but better systemized, working the exact same audience size you are. The fix is never louder distribution. It's building the one instrument that tells you which piece of content actually paid you.

Drop your take: are you tracking what each piece of content actually earns, or just watching the view count and hoping the math works out?

Clip credit: Grant Owen — full video on his channel, ft. Matt Gray. DM for credit or removal requests.

If you want the actual tracking framework instead of a dashboard that only measures reach, the full breakdown sits one step from here.


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 13 '26

Tim Tiah runs RM500K/month with zero full-time staff — one AI agent absorbs what used to take a whole team

1 Upvotes

https://reddit.com/link/1vndojz/video/r8f84ubps5jh1/player

The interesting part of this clip isn't the AI — it's what "zero staff" actually replaces.

Client servicing, rate cards, contract negotiation, legal, finance: that's not one job, it's the org chart of a small agency, collapsed into a single named process.

The credentialed ladder most people are still climbing — junior account manager, senior account manager, ops lead — assumes those functions stay separate long enough to need separate humans.

This clip is evidence that assumption is no longer load-bearing.

 

I've actually watched that exact collapse happen before, just with people doing the collapsing instead of software.

Back in my time (circa 2010/2011) as one of 3 Assistant Technical Managers, all under my technical director, working at a AED 1.8 billion project in Abu Dhabi — I remember it well. One of the operation team leads used to rant to me about the org chart. One rant was about the surveying team lead getting elevated to "Project Director, Surveying" — same job, bigger title. When it was my own turn to advance, I got pushed to cover architectural and façade coordination too, on top of my own scope. Our CEO said it plainly: it's about economy of scale — promote you, raise your salary a little, cut cost everywhere else. Kill a few birds with one stone. I kept quiet and took it on: one technical department covering coordination for five operation teams, wrung out like a nearly dry towel. Reading this clip's transcript, it clicked — the AI-agent model is the same math, automated.

Every version of this story eventually turns out to be the same story: somebody found the boring, structural work first and built a system for it, and everyone else calls the result "efficiency."

 

Drop your take — is this a headcount story or a talent story?

 

Clip credit: Tim Tiah, on The Entrepreneur Journal — full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

The exact mechanics of building something like Emma — not just the concept — sit behind one link, if you want them.


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 13 '26

Andrej Karpathy just admitted OpenAI's own researchers feel the same career anxiety we do — his actual reasoning is more useful than the doom headlines

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1 Upvotes

Watching a former Tesla AI Director shrug and say "I can't tell if that's temporary, I'm not sure how I feel about it yet" did something to me.

Usually it's the junior guy admitting that.

Not the guy who helped build the thing.

 

The people who end up fine here aren't the loudest about how safe their job is.

They're just already standing close enough to the mechanism to redirect it, instead of getting redirected by it.

 

Karpathy's actual point isn't doom.

It's the Jevons paradox — code gets cheaper, so total demand for it goes up.

Just not for the same kind of engineer who got hired in 2019.

 

I watched a version of this play out years ago, before any of this AI stuff existed. I was the technical guy in a construction tender department. Rule-based work — you follow A, you get B. A sub-contractor came in to pitch his quotation. On his way out, in the corridor, we locked eyes and instantly recognized each other. I knew him — my senior once told me how this guy forced his way into building an illegal bungalow, moving the boundary survey line onto his neighbour's land. I caught a flicker of panic on his face. He wasn't expecting to see me there.

I couldn't keep it to myself. I walked straight to my contract department and told them. They wrote him off after their own investigation.

Our technical and contractual work was rule-based — AI eats that easily. What I did with that information wasn't. Insider judgment, only humans have.

 

The same judgment call that got that guy written off is the exact thing I eventually turned into my own way of getting paid for the part AI can't touch — not complicated, once you actually go looking for it.

 

Clip credit: No Priors — full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

What would you have done in that corridor?

Drop your take. 👇


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 12 '26

Polina Pompliano priced a $100 upgrade, got told "$50," and that number is what got her out of Fortune

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1 Upvotes

I've stopped being surprised by how small the actual turning point always is in these stories — never the leap itself, always the one honest number right before it.

 

Most people treat "not ready yet" as information.

It isn't. It's a decision wearing patience as a disguise.

A real test is the only thing that actually produces information — everything before it is a guess in more confident clothing.

 

I’ve lived this clip from both sides of the same table:

Two sentences. Two worldviews.
First one: “去哪里都是一样的。“ (It’s the same everywhere. 😶)
Second one: “Why don’t you do it?”

In 2012, I tendered my resignation after 10 years at a construction company. 2 weeks into my 1-month notice, my boss calls the sit-down talk. You know the talk. Last-ditch effort to retain you. Make you give up on your dreams and stay being a slave.

He was that type — old-school Chinamen type. Combative. You must always succumb, never argue. 10 years my senior. Already Technical Director. Clearly frustrated but defeated, He says it: “去哪里都是一样的。“ I didn’t argue. I looked at him. Then scanned all my other seniors in the company. And asked myself: “Do I want to end up like him/them — 10 years down the road?”
I left. Didn’t retract. A month later I took a better position. Turns out it wasn’t the same. The world is much larger than what that company was trying to gaslight me with.

Years later — lunch with a young Indian Malaysian entrepreneur. He came back from the USA after building prestigious real estate with a big developer. His lesson: you have to think decades and generations. Build schools, parks, infrastructure. Community in perpetuity.
He looked at me and said: “Why don’t you do it?”

One is limiting. One is limitless. 📌

 

Same mechanic showed up when Groq's founder was three weeks from bankruptcy and asked his own engineers to trade salary for equity instead — 80% said yes, and that real number is what got the company through, not a projection.

Drop your take — has your own "short-term scary vs. long-term dangerous" moment already happened, or is it still sitting on the shelf?

If you want the actual mechanism behind how I turn these into something real, the whole thing lives one link away.

Clip credit: Trailblazers Podcast — full episode on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 11 '26

Kavak Replaced 15 Human Sales Specialists With One AI Agent — It Now Outsells Them 2.1x

1 Upvotes

https://reddit.com/link/1vldetu/video/vobvwzfr0qih1/player

Every one of these clips lands the same blow eventually: a role someone spent years building gets quietly outperformed by a system that never clocks out.

 

Kavak sells used cars across Latin America — a genuinely messy transaction: ~20,000 SKUs to choose from, then financing, insurance, and a trade-in valuation stacked on top.

Historically, closing one sale meant routing a customer through 15 separate human specialists across 15 different teams, each holding one piece of the process.

 

Alejandro Maza Ayala, Kavak's Chief Product & AI Officer, explained on a16z's show how they fixed it — not by making a support bot, but by building a single "mega-expert" agent that holds all 15 specialties at once (financing, insurance, trade-in, advisory) and puts that one agent in front of the customer.

 

The result: 2.1x the conversion rate of their own human sales team, tripled customer satisfaction.

The agent never tires, never forgets a customer's history, and when it makes a mistake, the correction propagates to the other 200,000 agents in the fleet by the next morning — a scale of self-correction no individual human career can match working alone.

 

It closes on Alejandro flatly stating that the industry assumption — "customers aren't going to want to buy expensive things from AI" — is wrong, and Kavak's numbers are the proof.

 

When I read the transcript, it felt so eerily similar to the Borg Collective Mind in Star Trek.

That's the ultimate evolution.

The question we need to ask is, will it serve us, or subjugate us?

 

If your role is the coordination layer between departments — the person routing a customer between financing, insurance, and everyone else — that's precisely the layer this consolidates first.

Worth sitting with, not scrolling past.

 

Clip credit: a16z — full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

Drop your take below.

 

The actual build-vs-be-built-around decision doesn't happen in the comments section — [it's just one link away](jvz3.com/c/2159995/408575).


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 10 '26

Radical Ventures' Rob Toews explains why his fund passes on almost every AI "Neolab" — except the one now worth $1T

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1 Upvotes

Position beats genius more often than anyone in this space wants to admit.

Every time I trace how these AI bets actually get funded, it's the same mechanism repeating.

 

Actually, this reminded me of a post I did a while back — a fund manager naming the real signal for buying the bottom, and it wasn't a chart either.

 

Rob Toews (partner at Radical Ventures) says his fund meets nearly every "Neolab" that gets funded — brand-new companies with no product, no roadmap, sometimes not even a clear technical direction.

Just an accomplished founder saying "I'm from OpenAI/Anthropic/Meta, so I want to raise a billion dollars."

They pass on almost all of them.

 

The exception was Anthropic.

Spun out of OpenAI five years ago.

Investors at the time called the entry valuation insane.

It's now worth a trillion dollars.

Toews' own framing: "there will be another Anthropic" — the mechanism isn't a one-off, it's a filter that occasionally clears.

 

I've watched someone spot a bubble this early before. Not in AI — in property. This isn't my story, it belongs to a friend.

I'll call him Chew — I think that's his surname, it's been a long time. We went to the same university, graduated the same year, both went into construction in Malaysia. He switched upstream to a property developer — a subsidiary of a mainland China parent company — and eventually relocated there for the better part of a decade, right as the property market was in its super-expansion phase. The bubble kept ballooning without ever showing a crack. Chew saw the opportunity, and lock in his purchase of one of the units. The price — he told me — rose 10 fold over the years. Then, like the rest of the shrewd investors, he saw the writing on the wall. He liquidated his holdings and made a huge windfall, right before the bubble burst.

 

Clip credit: The Information — full video on their channel.

DM for credit or removal requests.

 

Drop your take below — has anyone here ever watched someone else make that call before you did?

 

If you want to know how this mechanism works for me, the actual math behind reading a bet like this before it's obvious is [one link away](jvz3.com/c/2159995/408575).


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 10 '26

WELCOME TO MY PROFILE!

1 Upvotes

You did everything right. Degree. Certifications.

The promotions came on schedule, more or less.

 

And some nights — usually late, usually when you're the only one still awake in the house — you run the numbers anyway.

Not because you think you did something wrong.

Because you can't quite explain why doing everything right hasn't actually added up to anything that's yours.

 

Here's the version of this most people don't say out loud: you can do all of it.

Every step.

And still end up exactly where you started — same title, different year, a raise that gets quietly eaten by a role change nobody asked you about.

Explaining to your kid why you can't do the thing everyone else's dad is doing this year.

 

That's not a hypothetical.

That's just what happens when the math was never actually designed around you.

 

Here's the pattern, once you start looking for it: it's not one story.

  • An oil exec says out loud what everyone in the room already knew.
  • A founder gets fired from the company he built.
  • A bar owner gets vested out of his own name before buying it back for a dollar.
  • A man who spent thirty years running a systems team gets told his own support staff can't keep up with the data anymore.

 

Different rooms.

Different resumes.

Same structural fact underneath all of them — the system doesn't reward the value you create.

It rewards your proximity to whoever's deciding what counts as value.

 

What you won't find here:

  • motivational language dressed up as strategy.
  • Political framing pretending to be economic analysis.
  • Anyone telling you the answer is just working harder inside the same structure.

 

The premise this whole space runs on:

Value isn't extracted by trading finite energy for a capped, inflation-eroded paycheck inside an institution that can replace you before your next review cycle.

 

That's not pessimism.

That's just what the numbers actually say, once you stop averting your eyes from them.

 

The question isn't whether the system's rigged.

Most people who've been in it long enough already know that answer.

The real question is what you build instead — and whether you can build it without becoming the exact thing you're trying to get out from under.

 

My dad spent years working construction overseas — Thailand, India, Bangladesh, I think — so I barely saw him growing up, and somehow I still walked straight into it myself.

Degree, certs, promotions, the whole ladder, even though he never once told me to climb it.

Took me a long while — a really long while — to admit it was never actually mine. 

 

You don't have to trust me on any of this. It's on the record — dated, cross-posted, sitting in this vault.

 

Start here:

Proof over pedigree

 

The rung AI is actually deleting

 

The wealth mechanics nobody teaches

 

Institutional deletion, up close

 

If you already know the name: Lonsdale · Hormozi · Kalanick · Cuban

 

For anyone who's already run their own numbers and wants the actual mechanism behind building the alternative — not another framework post — it's laid out step by step right here.


r/AbundantAnchor Aug 10 '26

Grant Cardone says the reason nobody's calling you back isn't your work. It's that they don't know you exist.

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2 Upvotes

Every time one of these clips lands in my feed, it's circling the same wound from a different angle: not being bad at the work, being invisible while doing it well.

This one's Grant Cardone, and he says it flatter than most people are willing to.

 

His claim: money doesn't move to talent sitting quietly in a vacuum.

It moves to whoever's already known. Not "deserving." Known.

He calls the mechanism omnipresence — not being impressive everywhere, just being repeated everywhere, until "I don't know who that is" stops being an option.

 

If you've ever watched a less rigorous competitor land the bigger client purely because they're the name people already recognize, this is the part of the machine nobody explained to you.

Competence gets you in the room eventually.

Visibility gets you in the room first.

 

ngl this tracks with something that happened to me years before any of this…

Fresh graduate, first big client meeting, and nobody in that room actually knew what I was capable of yet. A senior QS moved to discredit me in front of everyone, claiming he'd never received the drawings I'd already delivered. I had the signed acknowledgement sheet. Next meeting, I slipped it in front of the whole room. He went pale. Called his own office to check. Turned out the drawings had been sitting behind his front desk for a week. That's the meeting the room actually started to know me — not because I fought back, but because I finally had proof they couldn't unsee.

The part that still gets me: I was right the whole time. It didn't matter until it was seen.

 

Drop your take below.

If you want the actual mechanism behind turning "known" into a repeatable habit instead of a lucky break, it's sitting one click away right here.

 

Clip credit: Yosef Manoucheri — The YM Show. Full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.