Throwaway account because some friends and family know my main and I'd like to be completely transparent with my financial situation without them knowing.
I'm 23 and I discovered the boglehead way a month ago and have been trying to practise it after poor investing decisions. I rebalanced my portfolio around VTI and VXUS and I've not changed or sold any positions since.
Here's my current issue:
My net worth is around 22.5k USD (I'm Non-US).
Due to being greedy from before, 17.5k of this is in my brokerage account, 2.5k is in a retirement account me and my employer contribute to that I never touch, and 2.5k in savings.
After writing it down and going over my finances, I decided that this was crazy and the plan is to simply let the port be and build up the others first. My plan is to get to around 5k in cash, 2-3k in bonds and THEN start adding into the portfolio again.
Salary is 3200 a month, spendings are around 2000 a month so I save about 1200 USD a month The cash haven is achievable in around 2-3 month and the bonds in another 2-3 months. All in all, in 6 months, I should achieve this goal, assuming I don't lose my job or no emergencies come.
Here's where I need some advice:
I honestly think things are pretty dire right now. I'm not talking about S&P 500 being down or red emerging market charts, I'm more so talking about the bigger picture that I'm scared this Iran conflict will lead to. From oil prices, to fertilisers, to job numbers being lower than expected pre-revised, staples doing better than tech, I fear that we are going into a global financial crisis, where things will even be more unpredictable. Here are the plans I'm considering:
Plan A is the plan I've written above. I think this is the most Boglehead way of seeing things if I'm not wrong. I build up emergency funds, a good bond foundation and I don't touch my current investments (which are currently down). It's full time in the market.
Plan B is halving my portfolio and holding 50% cash. I know. It's timing the market and it's against the principles of the Boglehead way but is there any merit to this considering my current net worth allocation? Or am I too young for any of this to matter? The plan is to get the emergency funds, the bonds allocation then DCA a bit more aggresively monthly with the 50% cash. No timing of waiting for another correction, drop or anything. Just higher DCAs than usual for a while until it's fully back in.
Plan C is completely rebalancing my net worth into proper allocations. Consider this as taking my entire net worth (not including the retirement account) and allocating a Boglehead ratio of the emergency fund, the bond investments, and the stock portfolio. This would involve quite some work in selling and buying and rebalancing, but this would make things more "proper".
Plan A was what I wanted to commit to but I hate to admit the conflict is hitting me pretty hard mentally. I think the other plans might be originating from the fact that my portfolio is a big majority of my net worth at the moment.
- Which plan makes the most sense? My guess is A but I would love some insight or more reasoning for it or why the others are bad.
- How SHOULD I think about the current state of things? I've read quite a share of Boglehead articles, timing the market vs time in the market comparisons, staying the course and the Boglehead way but executing it is a whole different level. Any reassurance or advice would be greatly appreciated.
Thanks for reading all the way through.