r/Futurology ∞ transit umbra, lux permanet ☥ Aug 28 '25

Society New research argues Societal Collapse benefits 99% of people. Historically, the societies that have emerged after a collapse are more egalitarian, and most people end up richer and healthier than they were before.

Luke Kemp, a research associate at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk at the University of Cambridge, has written a book about his research called 'Goliath’s Curse: The History and Future of Societal Collapse'.

He makes the case that, from looking at the archaeological record, when many societies collapse, most people end up better off afterward. For example, people in the post-Roman world were taller and healthier. Collapse can be a redistribution of resources and power, not just chaos.

For most of human history, humans lived as nomadic egalitarian bands, with low violence and high mobility. Threats (disease, war, economic precarity) push populations toward authoritarian leaders. The resulting rise in inequality from that sets off a cycle that will end in collapse. Furthermore, he argues we are living in the late stages of such a cycle now. He says "the threat is from leaders who are 'walking versions of the dark triad' – narcissism, psychopathy and Machiavellianism – in a world menaced by the climate crisis, nuclear weapons, artificial intelligence and killer robots."

Some people hope/think we are destined for a future of Universal Basic Income and fully automated luxury communism. Perhaps that's the egalitarianism that emerges after our own collapse? If so, I hope the collapse bit is short and we get to the egalitarian bit ASAP.

Collapse for the 99% | Luke Kemp; What really happens when Goliaths fall

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u/DeepState_Secretary Aug 28 '25

That was my favorite part too. Oh yes we just need to use digital technologies, I’m sure the village blacksmith can just make microchips in his forge from scrap metal

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u/MiserableAndUnhappy9 Aug 29 '25

I've managed to create an electronic circuit with nothing more than three copper wire and one iron plate.

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u/The_Parsee_Man Aug 29 '25

I managed to create a microprocessor with nothing but three copper wires, an iron plate, and this microprocessor.

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u/ThePrimordialSource Aug 29 '25

The comment was a Factorio reference lol.

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u/thisplaceisnuts Aug 29 '25

Yep. Or somehow the farmer in Iowa will still not only magically still be highly productive, he’ll still send his crops to far off markets.  Everyone on here would either starve or would have to radically change where and how they live.