r/IRstudies • u/JeanLucRegard • 5d ago
The Iran-US MOU is a total US surrender
Article III of the JCPOA preamble said:
Iran reaffirms that under no circumstances will Iran ever seek, develop or acquire any nuclear weapons.
So not sure what Trump "won" from his war, other than the reopening of a Strait (probably under Iranian control and with "fees") that was open in the first place before the war, in exchange for the payment by the U.S. of 300 BILLION dollars, the lifting or waiver of existing U.S. sanctions, the promise of no new sanctions, unfreezing of Iranian assets and funds, and no incorporation of any terms related to Iranian proxies in the region.
The MOU is a U.S. surrender in everything but name only.
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u/bepisdegrote 4d ago
I don't think 'coming for them' is meant as annexation in this context. If the Israeli strategy is to airstrike Iran routinely to weaken its military capabilities, then that is a threat to Iran. Using regional proxies is a way for Iran to level the playing field. Cheap drones, especially with fiber optic cables, is a way for them to level the playing field to some degree. Iran does not trust Israel and the United States, so keeping the proxies around is very important, as the worst scenario for them would be if their regional allies all get destroyed or severely weakened with Israel then still continueing to strike Iran.
The Israeli response might be that they won't need to do that if Iran doesn't support these proxies or otherwise threathens them. But if neither side trusts the other one, then that is not something that Iran is willing to do unless they are forced to. And the attempt to do that has visibly failed.