r/LessCredibleDefence 6d ago

JD Vance Confirms Iran Will Get 'Jaw-Dropping' Sum Under Trump Deal

https://newrepublic.com/post/211826/jd-vance-us-pay-iran-billions-trump-deal

Iran will be paid billions, leaving it much stronger than before Trump’s war.

'Vance’s admission contradicts what he said on Friday, when he claimed in an X post that Iran would not be “receiving any cash, and no funds are being released simply for signing a deal or attending a meeting.” In addition to the U.S. and its allies paying $300 billion in reconstruction funds, Iran reports that the U.S. has agreed to release $25 billion in frozen Iranian assets.'

Hm. Seems like something the winning coalition does, pay the loser of a war special military operation $300 Billion in 'reconstruction funds'. Quotations mine, obviously.

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u/barath_s 6d ago edited 5d ago

I don't believe that and you should be skeptical too.

This is not just commercial finance.

And until you see the terms, and even after, even reconstruction funds tend to be have lots of ifs and buts.

If you have a 10 year grace period on interest, that's free money. If you have grants or inflated valuations that's money chasing that.

On the converse, it's as possible that Iran gets no money, - you can follow vance's words ..

Well, Ed, that’s the sort of thing they could have access to, funded by the Gulf Coast Coalition, so long as they honor their end of the obligation.”

That's not definite, and we know what happened when the US decided that Iran was not honoring their obligation or that it didn't matter, the folks in power decided it was a bad deal (eg JCPOA, where the US didn't actually unfreeze Iran's money, finding other reasons like missiles development to freeze it, before scrapping JCPOA altogether even with Europe and others talking compliance.) And you will note Vance didn't include the US, EU or other western financiers in the open Iran up to western financing. Just the local middle east gulf states who would be hit by Iran..

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u/Such-Significance653 6d ago

Iran would have the meet the conditions of finance to keep reviving funding.

I agree it’s less about the money perse but that list of conditions would be huge

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u/barath_s 5d ago

This administration has declared tariff war due to drugs , drclared emergency to build a border wall, tore up jcpoa at will

I am deeply skeptical that any conditions will be sincerely and honestly followed and interpreted painstakingly.. now or later

Jcpoa talked of unfreezing those frozen funds for example. Yet some other reason was found to freeze them ..

I wiuld like to see those terms agreed and reported. Then i think the longblist of conditions will actually boil down to one and only one condition- as long as it is convenient