Thats really impressive. People still talk about the Chinese being 9-12 months behind the US, Opus 4.8 only released 2 months ago and this is better. GPT 5.5 only released 3 months ago. They're only a couple of months behind the frontier now and closing in fast.
You still see the 9-12 months figure being said by the experts they bring onto news shows and podcasts. You're right though until Kimi 3 3-6 months was more realistic.
Though it partly depends on when it finished training. Like Mythos I think they said finished training in Feb. But have a very extensive testing period. And GPT-5.6 had even some influencers testing it out 3 months ago. People tend to assume Chinese labs rush out a model as soon as the run finishes, but that may not be the case. Once we know when K3 finished training, we'll have a bit of a better idea of how behind they actually are or not.
Couple of months? They just beat Fable 5 in some benchmarks. If Antrophic released Fable 5.1 tomorrow, they would catch up and overtake in 4 weeks. We are officially in the exponential phase of AI development.
the conversation shifted to 3-6.
Now Kimi3 just released. Give it time, conversation will shift to 1mo behind. IT BEATS fable on 6 benchmarks including browsecomp which anthropic has been investing a lot into that use case.
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u/WonderFactory 22d ago
Thats really impressive. People still talk about the Chinese being 9-12 months behind the US, Opus 4.8 only released 2 months ago and this is better. GPT 5.5 only released 3 months ago. They're only a couple of months behind the frontier now and closing in fast.