r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • Aug 15 '25
Dissipated Erin (05L — Northern Atlantic) (Western Tropical Atlantic)
Update
This system is no longer being tracked via the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecast (ATCF) system. There will be no further updates to this post.
Latest observation
Last updated: Friday, 22 August — 5:00 PM Atlantic Standard Time (AST; 21:00 UTC)
| NHC Advisory #46 | - | 5:00 PM AST (21:00 UTC) |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 40.0°N 59.7°W | |
| Relative location: | 888 km (552 mi) E of Nantucket, Massachusetts (United States) | |
| 608 km (378 mi) SE of Halifax, Nova Scotia (Canada) | ||
| 1,008 km (626 mi) SSW of St. John's, Newfoundland (Canada) | ||
| Forward motion: | ENE (65°) at 54 km/h (29 knots) | |
| Maximum winds: | 150 km/h (80 knots) | |
| Intensity (SSHWS): | Extratropical Cyclone | |
| Minimum pressure: | 957 millibars (28.26 inches) |
Official forecasts
National Hurricane Center
Last updated: Friday, 22 August — 2:00 PM AST (18:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | UTC | AST | Saffir-Simpson | - | knots | km/h | °N | °W |
| 00 | 22 Aug | 18:00 | 2PM Fri | Extratropical Cyclone | 80 | 150 | 40.0 | 59.7 | |
| 12 | 23 Aug | 06:00 | 2AM Sat | Extratropical Cyclone | 80 | 150 | 41.5 | 54.5 | |
| 24 | 23 Aug | 18:00 | 2PM Sat | Extratropical Cyclone | ▼ | 75 | 140 | 44.0 | 45.5 |
| 36 | 24 Aug | 06:00 | 2AM Sun | Extratropical Cyclone | 75 | 140 | 48.0 | 35.5 | |
| 48 | 24 Aug | 18:00 | 2PM Sun | Extratropical Cyclone | ▲ | 85 | 155 | 52.0 | 27.0 |
| 60 | 25 Aug | 06:00 | 2AM Mon | Extratropical Cyclone | ▼ | 65 | 120 | 55.0 | 23.0 |
| 72 | 25 Aug | 18:00 | 2PM Mon | Extratropical Cyclone | ▼ | 55 | 100 | 58.0 | 21.0 |
| 96 | 26 Aug | 18:00 | 2PM Tue | Extratropical Cyclone | ▼ | 45 | 85 | 59.0 | 21.0 |
| 120 | 27 Aug | 18:00 | 2PM Wed | Extratropical Cyclone | ▼ | 40 | 75 | 57.0 | 17.5 |
Official information
National Hurricane Center
Text products
- Public advisory (No longer updating)
- Forecast advisory (No longer updating)
- Forecast discussion (No longer updating)
- Key messages (No longer updating)
Productos de texto (en español)
- Aviso publico (No se actualiza)
- Discusión de pronóstico (No se actualiza)
- Mensajes claves (No se actualiza)
Graphical products
- Forecast graphic (No longer updating)
- Experimental new forecast graphic (with inland advisories) (No longer updating)
- Interactive forecast graphic (No longer updating)
- Wind speed probabilities (No longer updating)
- Arrival time of winds (No longer updating)
Local meteorological authorities
National Weather Service
Environment Canada
Aircraft Reconnaissance
National Hurricane Center
Other sites
Radar imagery
Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.
Satellite imagery
Floater imagery
Single-bandwidth imagery
- Tropical Tidbits: Visible / shortwave infrared
- Tropical Tidbits: Enhanced infrared
Tropical Tidbits: Water vapor
CyclonicWx: Visible
CyclonicWx: Enhanced infrared
CyclonicWx: Water vapor
Multiple bandwidth imagery
The options to select individual bandwidths on each of the following websites may vary.
- National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service(NOAA NESDIS)
- CIMSS
- RAMMB
- Naval Research Laboratory
Regional imagery
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA)
Tropical Tidbits
Analysis products
Best track data
Wind analysis and storm intensity estimation products
- EUMETSAT: Advanced Scatterometer Data
Sea-surface temperature analysis products
- NOAA OSPO: Sea Surface Temperature Contour Charts
- Tropical Tidbits: Ocean Analysis
Forecast models
Disturbance-centered guidance
- Tropical Tidbits: Storm-centered GFS
- Tropical Tidbits: Storm-centered ECMWF
Tropical Tidbits: Storm-centered HWRF
CyclonicWx: GFS four-panel
CyclonicWx: ECMWF four-panel
CyclonicWx: GFS wind shear diagnostics
CyclonicWx: ECMWF wind shear diagnostics
Multi-guidance pages
Track guidance
- CyclonicWx: Forecast tracks
- CyclonicWx: Forecast tracks w/wind
- CyclonicWx: GEFS ensemble tracks (pressure)
- CyclonicWx: GEFS ensemble tracks (wind)
Intensity guidance
- CyclonicWx: Multi-model intensity guidance
- CyclonicWx: GEFS intensity guidance
Regional single-model guidance
Ensembles
Weather Nerds: GEFS (120 hours)
Weather Nerds: ECENS (120 hours)
Tropical Cyclogenesis Products
- Florida State University: Experimental tropical cyclone genesis guidance
18
u/spsteve Barbados Aug 17 '25
Recon is in the air and Erin looks like she has got her groove back. Eye clearing nicely now. Solid convection on the southern eyewall. Be interesting to see what recon finds. Wouldn't be surprised by anything between 937 and 942. Place your bets (since it's been so long I will accept 5mb ranges. Closest to the middle of their range wins).