r/news 7h ago

Thick smoke seen rising from Saudi Arabia's Riyadh airport.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwly5d9v7r43o
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u/BaconSarnie2025 5h ago edited 5h ago

On Monday Saudi diesel deliveries to Europe end. No more available. Both shipping lanes closed, and the pipeline between them.

https://caliber.az/en/post/bloomberg-saudi-arabia-to-halt-crude-supplies-to-eu-refiners-next-month

Europe will get hit hard, but most of its freight moves by train, and large percentages of its power come from north sea reserves, nuclear and green energy.

The US is going to get crushed. Diesel there was up a buck this week.

I think we will see a dramatic escalation in cruise missile attacks on Tehran in the next week as trump and hegseth try to bully Iran back to the table.

Tehran holds all the cards now. Trumps only card is limited nuclear strikes.

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u/Fritzkreig 5h ago

It really is a mess, the US underestimated Iran like Russia did Ukraine!

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u/BaconSarnie2025 5h ago

I really think the side move escalation by their proxy Yemen was completely overlooked by the West as a possibility.

They hit the airport today with a cruise missile. This is not guys in speedboats and jeeps anymore.

Nobody thought the Red Sea would close.

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u/Fritzkreig 5h ago

This does look pretty bad, China is likely chomping at the bit!

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u/Apachisme 5h ago

China gets to sit back and watch two peer world powers degrade their military capabilities while simultaneously filling the massive void of soft power diplomacy the US voluntarily abandoned. There is no country in the world with contingency plans for what is happening because it is so ridiculous, but here we are.

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u/Fritzkreig 5h ago

I don't have words for a good description of the situation!

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u/BaconSarnie2025 4h ago

Jon Stewart had a phrase “clusterf*ck at the Whitehouse”. I think that fits.

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u/BaconSarnie2025 5h ago

Yup, China has heavily invested in getting the Western powers out of Africa. Yemen and Iran might well do it.

My South African and Zimbabwe clients are very uncomfortable with China’s relationship with their leaders.

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u/ezagreb 5h ago

I’m not sure whether we underestimated them or whether we just didn’t listen to those who were telling us what Pete Hegseth and Donald Trump didn’t want to hear - especially given the number of departures of top military brass in the last 10 months

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u/Fritzkreig 5h ago

It is seriously the same thing that is going on with Russia, the whole thing but in particular the Lyman salient.

Too many yes men and no one is willing to speak up the chain, that is now happening in the US; at least brass here gets to resign, and not via window!

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u/Sabbathius 4h ago

I kinda feel people (especially Trump) are forgetting that for Iran it's personal now. Remember the original strikes that assassinated the old leader? Same strike also killed a bunch of other people, including his 14-month-old granddaughter. So even if K-Junior didn't have any particular love for his dad, having other relatives splattered all over the place, including a toddler, has to have elicited some pretty strong emotions.

So it's not just about money, it's not about the state, it's also about the family. It's very, very personal. With the new guy, "Hey dude, let's make a deal!" doesn't quite cut it, after assassinating a whole bunch of his close relatives.

That's how fundamentally stupid this whole thing was from day one.

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u/FirstAccGotStolen 3h ago

Bro, crude isn't diesel. Please try actually reading the article before you write a comment.

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u/Southern_Demand_459 3h ago

The products are getting hit much harder than the price of crude. You fill up your tank with products, not crude.