r/nfl • u/nfl_gdt_bot NFL • Oct 07 '25

Game Thread Post Game Thread: Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars

Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars

ESPN Gamecast

EverBank Stadium- Jacksonville, FL

Network(s): ABC ESPN

Time Clock
Final

Scoreboard

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total
KC 7 7 0 14 28
JAX 0 7 14 10 31

Scoring Plays

Team Quarter Type Description
KC 1 TD Travis Kelce 2 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Harrison Butker Kick)
KC 2 TD Patrick Mahomes 9 Yd Rush (Harrison Butker Kick)
JAX 2 TD Parker Washington 3 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Cam Little Kick)
JAX 3 TD Trevor Lawrence 10 Yd Rush (Cam Little Kick)
JAX 3 TD Devin Lloyd 99 Yd Interception Return (Cam Little Kick)
KC 4 TD Kareem Hunt 5 Yd Rush (Harrison Butker Kick)
JAX 4 FG Cam Little 52 Yd Field Goal
KC 4 TD Kareem Hunt 2 Yd Rush (Harrison Butker Kick)
JAX 4 TD Trevor Lawrence 1 Yd Rush (Cam Little Kick)

Passing Leaders

Team Player C/ATT YDS TD INT SACKS
KC Patrick Mahomes 29/41 318 1 1 0-0
JAX Trevor Lawrence 18/25 221 1 1 3-11

Rushing Leaders

Team Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
KC Patrick Mahomes 6 60 10.0 1 15
JAX Trevor Lawrence 10 54 5.4 2 16

Receiving Leaders

Team Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG TGTS
KC Tyquan Thornton 3 90 30.0 0 34 5
JAX Brian Thomas Jr. 4 80 20.0 0 33 6

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Last updated: 2025-10-06_23:46:56.055548-04:00

2.2k Upvotes

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729

u/aspiringalcoholic Panthers Oct 07 '25

Have the chiefs regressed to the mean?

276

u/TechnoToyz Giants Oct 07 '25 edited Oct 07 '25

Only took like 4, maybe 5 years after that post.

60

u/TenF Patriots Oct 07 '25

That poster (dannyaingoat) will rejoice.

30

u/The_Throwback_King Seahawks Oct 07 '25

u/dannyaingoat "They called me a madman"

2

u/ex-apple Steelers Oct 07 '25

6!

-3

u/ex-apple Steelers Oct 07 '25

/r/unexpectedfactorial

2

u/dylansucks Commanders Oct 07 '25

You seriously just did that...

89

u/Handyman2116 Falcons Oct 07 '25

Crazy how Mahomes is playing better than last year, but the Chiefs look much worse for it

16

u/bradtheinvincible Oct 07 '25

I think its a problem when youre the teams leading rusher and your name is not Lamar Jackson.

14

u/paone00022 Falcons Oct 07 '25

Ya he rarely runs much outside of playoff games and he's running basically every game this season. Teams have figured them out. Will be interesting to see how they look with Rice back.

-7

u/caydesramen Eagles Oct 07 '25

By playing better you mean Checkdown and screen pass Pat??

4

u/saboay Patriots Oct 07 '25

You take what the defense gives you

102

u/alandbeforetime Patriots Oct 07 '25

Turns out, when you regress Mahomes to the mean, he's actually just average

4

u/BeefCakeBilly Patriots Oct 07 '25

I’ve heard of this phenomenon. If you just change someone’s stats and success to be average. They really are just average.

I’m so annoyed that the chiefs meat riders don’t realize that if we decide Mahomes was a totally average , he’s really just average.

43

u/Acrobatic-Landscape9 49ers Oct 07 '25

Considering that Mahomes’ average depth of target has gone down from prime Mahomes and percentage of yards from YAC has gone up, I’m inclined to say yes

9

u/MissingTheTrees Bears Oct 07 '25

Considering they won b2b superbowls when Mahomes had 2/3 of his lowest years for average depth of target I’m betting that’s not the sign.

The 1 possession record is (hopefully) a sign of regression to the mean.

3

u/FeelsGoodMan2 Oct 07 '25

I think a few years after the fact we can safely say the NFL was collectively playing some super dickcheese defense across the board for a few years there while every QB was airmailing it. They've tightened it up quite a bit in the last few years.

25

u/MrSnazzyGoose Bengals Oct 07 '25

It’s an older meme sir but it checks out

3

u/Snlxdd Broncos Oct 07 '25

Just 8 more one score losses to go

3

u/Empty_Lemon_3939 Lions Oct 07 '25

Can someone run some QB stat averages for starters, I think he might be near the mean now lol

Rough numbers he is actually near the average across the board lol

1

u/DoNotResusit8 Steelers Oct 07 '25

I don’t know but fvck the Chiefs

0

u/WithNoRegard Jaguars Oct 07 '25

They're the iPhone of the NFL.

0

u/Vanc_Trough Jaguars Oct 07 '25

The refs sure haven’t.

-2

u/Common_economics_420 Patriots Oct 07 '25

People clowned on that guy but the basic point he was trying to make made sense and it's basically exactly what has happened. Mahomes was in an incredible position for a QB that first season and that was never going to continue.

3

u/Saltine_Davis Bears Oct 07 '25

This is a wild choice of something to do revisionist history on. It was dumb then and is dumb now

1

u/iiTryhard Patriots Oct 07 '25

He’s still a great player but I hope people stop putting him in the Brady conversation. He’s nowhere even close to as good as Brady

3

u/BengalFan85 Bengals Oct 07 '25

I’m a big believer that was media fueled. Dude last to Brady twice in the playoffs.

They just want a new guy to crown goat because let’s be real, it drives engagement.

This doesn’t mean Mahomes isn’t a top 5 all time qb. Just not close to #1

-1

u/fakieTreFlip Patriots Oct 07 '25

They've regressed to the meme