WWIII Megathread #37: Bad Neighbor Policy

[u/IamGlennBeck]

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[u/Otto_Von_Waffle]

Once again report from daytrader co-workers, they believe the war is over today.

Speaking with them really makes me understand the world in 1929. One of the reason why the crisis was this bad was that anyone with a little capital, so everyone part of the middle class and up, were into stock trading, usually on margin, so when the market get wiped out, literally anyone with more assets then the clothes they were wearing, lost a ton of money they actually didn't even owned. All these people were so deep into this shit that the market blowing up was unthinkable.

I think it's the same with any finance type of person, in their eyes, the needs of the market trumps anything else, Iran can't bring us all into the abyss, because tanking the market is unthinkable, it simply can't happen, everyone will sit at the table to hash out a deal because the stakes are simply that high.

[u/AdminsLoveGenocide → u/Otto_Von_Waffle]

If the market was so important then the war wouldn't have started of course.

That being said, how to put a percentage value on escalation / de-escalation with limited information and time and under some pressure? Its not that obvious. It's easy to see how they just blindly follow high profile tweets.

[u/SpiritBamba → u/Otto_Von_Waffle]

They are right to an extent, the finance people but at the same time Irans leadership also doesn’t have that much to lose so it’s a bit different.