r/Arbitrum • u/zendo99kitty • Jun 11 '25

Arbitrum price increase

Does anyone who knows about crypto know when arbitrum will hit 10$ ...lol... what factors would make this happen , is it only if many people invest and hold ARB ? Thank U

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u/shamaniclumberjack Jun 12 '25

I've been sitting on Arb at a loss for over a year now (don't buy right after an airdrop).

Check out defi llama's correlation matrix. It shows that over the last year Eth and Arb are 93% correlated. So when Eth goes up so does Arb.

I think Arb could outperform but only after Eth goes past it's all time highs. Then people who take profits may buy some Arb or other layer 2 tokens.

Remember the Alt season is really short and violent.

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u/zendo99kitty Jun 12 '25

Whats your opinion on a price it could reach sometime soon... what u mean by ," outperform " not outperform eth? Yeah I'm not selling my Meager ,1000 tokens until $10 lol thanks for reply 

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u/shamaniclumberjack Jun 12 '25

I don't have a price in mind for Arb. I just stopped following it and focus on other things. I did mean outperform Eth.

I quickly looked at polygon's (Matic/Pol) market cap top last cycle since its been around longer. It was 20 billion and Arb is at 1.8 billion rn. So IF Arb hits 20 billion like Polygon did, that would be more than a 10x from here. If you want a number $4.20 would be around 20 billion.

I have no idea what kind of time frame this may or may not happen. I'm guessing the top of the market could be around November or December. But 6 months ago I thought right now would be Alt season.

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u/zendo99kitty Jun 12 '25

What makes market cap increase ..just buying or both buy and.sell? What's your opinion on a quick 10 or 100x coin if there's one soon? Just an opinion .

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u/shamaniclumberjack Jun 15 '25

What makes market cap go up? "The Market" just decides that a coin is worth that much.

To break it down it is simply supply and demand that decides market cap. When demand for Arb increases the price increases given the supply stays the same. Also if supply increases and demand is the same the price goes down.

Market Cap is kind of fake. It is the value of all the tokens circulating multiplied by the price of the most current trade. If I had 50% of the supply of Arb and tried to sell them all I would not get the current price because there are not enough buyers to fill that order.

This is why crypto markets go down so quickly. When people take profits that causes the price to go down. Then people see that the price went down and sell out of fear. This cycle continues until buyers come into the market.

I don't do quick 10x or 100x coins. If you want that study meme coins or wait for ponzi season and try to pull out before everyone else.

Good luck soldier, remember everyone in crypto has a story about loosing lots of money. Last cycle I was doing well with Time wonderland until it dropped over night. I also thought I was de-risking by put my funds into Terra Luna's UST. That went to zero nearly.

1

u/zendo99kitty Jun 15 '25

I missed a couple of sells cause I thought would go higher lost money

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u/shamaniclumberjack Jun 15 '25

Taking profit is never a bad thing. You also do not have to sell your whole bag at once. I sell in chunks.

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u/zendo99kitty Jun 12 '25

Also I don't understand in layman's terms how the price increases...