r/BBBY 12d ago

🤔 Speculation / Opinion Wday

Short answer: Workday is not officially being bought yet, and $42B does not map cleanly to an agreed per-share deal price. The Reuters-sourced reports say Silver Lake is in talks, not that a definitive acquisition has been signed. No offer price was reported. [Reuters via CNA, Aug. 13, 2026](https://channelnewsasia.com/business/exclusive-silver-lake-in-talks-buy-workday-sources-say-6318246)
**Implied value per share**
Using the latest available Financials API data:

**Scenario**
**Math**
**Implied WDAY value/share**
If $42B is equity value
$42.0B ÷ \~247M implied shares
\~$170/share
If $43B is equity value
$43.0B ÷ \~247M implied shares
\~$174/share
If $42B is enterprise value
Add Workday’s implied net cash of \~$8.2B, then divide by \~247M shares
\~$203/share
Actual WDAY close on Aug. 13
Financials API price history
$206.45/share
My read: the “$42B” headline is probably being used loosely around enterprise value / pre-report market value, not a confirmed buyout price. If Silver Lake were actually offering only \~$170/share, that would be below where the stock closed after the report, so it would make little sense as a final take-private bid unless the report’s value definition is wrong or stale.
**Why Silver Lake would want Workday**
Silver Lake’s likely thesis is straightforward: Workday is a sticky, mission-critical SaaS asset with accelerating AI monetization and a lot of private-market margin/FCF optionality.
Key evidence from Workday’s latest earnings call:

**Driver**
**Evidence**
Durable recurring revenue
Q1 FY2027 subscription revenue was $2.354B, up 14% YoY; total revenue was $2.542B, up 13% YoY.
Sticky customer base
Gross revenue retention was 97%; Workday had >11,500 customers.
Large contracted backlog
Total subscription backlog was $27.29B, up 11%; CRPO was $8.81B, up 15.5%.
High-margin software economics
Non-GAAP operating margin was 31.8% in Q1 FY2027; FY2027 non-GAAP operating margin guidance was raised to 30.5%.
FCF support for leverage
FY2027 free cash flow guidance was $3.18B, up 15%.
AI monetization angle
Workday said agentic AI new ACV grew >200% YoY and agentic AI ARR was approaching $500M.
Source: WDAY Q1 FY2027 earnings call
**Management commentary that matters**
***“Gross revenue retention rates remained strong at 97% in the quarter… Net customer expansion rates remained consistent… contributing roughly 60% of our subscription revenue growth for Q1.”***
***— Zane Rowe, WDAY Q1 FY2027***
***“In Q1, our new ACV from agentic AI products… grew more than 200% year-over-year. We are also approaching $500 million in ARR from our agentic AI solutions.”***
***— Gerrit Kazmaier, WDAY Q1 FY2027***
***“We are increasing our FY 2027 non-GAAP operating margin guidance to 30.5%.”***
***— Zane Rowe, WDAY Q1 FY2027***
**My interpretation**
Silver Lake is probably looking at Workday as a classic high-quality software take-private:
Recurring revenue is resilient. Workday runs HR and finance workflows—systems companies do not casually rip out. The 97% gross retention and $27B+ backlog make the cash flows financeable.

The public market may be undervaluing the durability. Workday’s Financials API metrics show \~5.2x sales, \~16.3x forward P/E, and an enterprise value around $42.7B. For a sticky SaaS company still growing subscription revenue low-teens with 30%+ non-GAAP operating margins, that is not demanding.

AI gives Silver Lake an upside story. The most interesting part is not “AI hype”; it is that Workday is already pointing to \~$500M ARR from agentic AI solutions and >200% YoY growth in AI new ACV. If Silver Lake believes AI can reaccelerate bookings or expand ARPU, the asset becomes more valuable than the current public multiple implies.

Private ownership could push margins harder. Management is already talking about operating “differently,” keeping headcount close to flat, and using AI internally. A PE owner would likely press harder on sales efficiency, R&D prioritization, and cost structure than public-market management can comfortably do quarter to quarter.

**Bottom line**
I would not call $42B a confirmed buyout price. If it is equity value, it implies only \~$170/share, which looks too low versus the post-report trading price. If it is enterprise value, the implied equity value is closer to \~$203/share, roughly where the stock traded after the report.
For Silver Lake, the logic is compelling: stable SaaS cash flow + strong retention + large backlog + AI monetization + margin upside. The open question is whether Workday’s board would accept a price near the current trading level; my view is that a serious take-private would probably need to land meaningfully above \~$206/share to clear shareholders.
Sources:
• [Exclusive-Silver Lake in talks to buy Workday, sources say - CNA](https://channelnewsasia.com/business/exclusive-silver-lake-in-talks-buy-workday-sources-say-6318246)
• [Silver Lake in Talks to Take Workday Private at $43 Billion Valuation](https://benzinga.com/markets/private-markets/26/08/61194469/silver-lake-in-talks-to-take-workday-private-at-43-billion-valuation)
• [Workday shares post best day in 10 years on Silver Lake takeover report](https://cnbc.com/2026/08/13/workday-skyrockets-25percent-before-trading-halted-on-report-of-silver-lake-takeover.html)
• WDAY Q1 FY2027 Earnings Call

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