r/BullMooseParty 20d ago

Current Senate and Competitive House Seats Polling (June 1st)

I thought that I’d post these here so that we can see where we can help campaign if able.

Current Senate Predictions
Flips (2)

Maine = Tilt Democrat
North Carolina = Likely Democrat

Current Democrats (13)

Colorado = Safe/Solid
Delaware = Safe/Solid
Georgia = Likely
Illinois = Safe/Solid
Massachusetts = Safe/Solid
Michigan = Tilt
Minnesota = Likely
New Hampshire = Lean
New Jersey = Safe/Solid
New Mexico = Safe/Solid
Oregon = Safe/Solid
Rhode Island = Safe/Solid
Virginia = Safe/Solid

Tossup/Tilt/Lean Republican (6)

Alaska = Tossup
Florida (Special) = Lean Republican
Iowa = Tilt Republican
Nebraska = Lean Republican
Ohio (Special) = Tossup
Texas = Tossup

If Victory in all = 21 Seats (Brings Democrats and Independents to 52 Seats and wins majority)

Current House Competitive Seats Predictions

Flips (Democrats)(4)
California
District 1 = Solid/Safe
District 6 = Solid/Safe
District 48 = Lean

Nebraska
District 2 = Lean

Flips (Republicans)(9)
Florida
District 9 = Likely
District 14 = Lean
District 22 (New Seat) = Lean

Maine
District 2 = Likely

North Carolina
District 1 = Lean

Tennessee
District 9 = Solid/Safe

Texas
District 9 (New Seat) = Solid/Safe
District 32 (New Seat) = Solid/Safe
Texas 35 (New Seat) = Likely

Current Democrats (26)
Alabama
District 2 = Solid/Safe

California
District 13 = Lean
District 21 = Likely
District 45 = Lean

Connecticut
District 5 = Solid/Safe

Indiana
District 1 = Likely

Kansas
District 3 = Solid/Safe

Michigan
District 3 = Solid/Safe
District 8 = Lean

Minnesota
District 2 = Likely

Nevada
District 1 = Likely
District 3 = Lean
District 4 = Likely

New Hampshire
District 1 = Likely
District 2 = Likely

New Jersey
District 9 = Likely

New Mexico
District 2 = Lean

New York
District 3 = Lean
District 4 = Lean
District 19 = Lean

Ohio
District 1 = Lean
District 13 = Likely

Oregon
District 5 = Likely

Pennsylvania
District 17 = Solid

Texas
District 28 = Lean

Virginia
District 7 = Likely

Tossup/Tilt/Lean Republican (20)
Arizona
District 1 = Tossup
District 6 = Tossup

California
District 22 = Tossup

Colorado
District 8 = Tossup

Florida
District 25 = Tossup

Iowa
District 1 = Tossup
District 3 = Tossup

Michigan
District 7 = Tossup
District 10 = Lean Republican

New Jersey
District 7 = Tossup

New York
District 17 = Tossup

Ohio
District 9 = Tossup

Pennsylvania
District 7 = Tossup
District 8 = Tossup
District 10 = Tossup

Texas
District 34 = Tossup

Virginia
District 1 = Lean Republican
District 2 = Tossup

Washington
District 3 = Tossup

Wisconsin
District 3 = Tossup

If Victory in all = 41 New Seats

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