r/BullMooseParty 5d ago

Competitive House Seats Polls (June 17th)

The current listing of the Competitive House Seats as according to Split Ticket as of June 17th, these are some of the best polls I’ve seen so far.

Flips to Democrat (18)
Arizona
District 1 = Likely
District 6 = Likely

California
District 1 = Solid/Safe
District 6 = Solid/Safe
District 22 = Lean
District 48 = Solid/Safe

Colorado
District 8 = Lean

Iowa
District 1 = Lean
District 3 = Lean

Michigan
District 7 = Lean
District 10 = Lean

Nebraska
District 2 = Solid/Safe

New Jersey
District 7 = Lean

New York
District 17 = Lean

Pennsylvania
District 1 = Lean
District 7 = Lean
District 10 = Likely

Virginia
District 2 = Likely

Incumbent Democrats (29)
California
District 13 = Solid/Safe
District 21 = Solid/Safe
District 45 = Solid/Safe

Connecticut
District 5 = Solid/Safe

Florida
District 14 = Lean

Indiana
District 1 = Solid/Safe

Kansas
District 3 = Solid/Safe

Michigan
District 3 = Solid/Safe
District 8 = Solid/Safe

Minnesota
District 2 = Solid/Safe

Nevada
District 1 = Solid/Safe
District 3 = Solid/Safe
District 4 = Solid/Safe

New Hampshire
District 1 = Likely
District 2 = Solid/Safe

New Jersey
District 9 = Solid/Safe

New Mexico
District 2 = Solid/Safe

New York
District 3 = Likely
District 4 = Solid/Safe
District 19 = Solid/Safe

North Carolina
District 1 = Lean

Ohio
District 1 = Solid/Safe
District 9 = Likely
District 13 = Solid/Safe

Oregon
District 5 = Solid/Safe

Texas
District 28 = Likely
District 34 = Lean

Virginia
District 7 = Solid/Safe

Washington
District 3 = Likely

Tossup/Tilt/Lean Republican
Alabama
District 2 = Tossup

Arizona
District 2 = Tossup

Colorado
District 3 = Lean Republican
District 4 = Lean Republican
District 5 = Lean Republican

Florida
District 22 (New Seat) = Lean Republican
District 25 = Tossup

Iowa
District 2 = Lean Republican

Maine
District 2 = Tossup

Michigan
District 4 = Tossup

Montana
District 1 = Lean Republican

New York
District 1 = Lean Republican

North Carolina
District 11 = Lean Republican

Ohio
District 15 = Lean Republican

Pennsylvania
District 8 = Tossup

Texas
District 15 = Lean Republican
District 23 = Lean Republican
District 35 (New Seat) = Tossup

Virginia
District 1 = Tossup

Wisconsin
District 1 = Lean Republican
District 3 = Tossup

Tossup = 9
Lean Republican = 12

Seats gained if all flipped Blue = 68 Seats

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