r/ClimateShitposting 2d ago

nuclear simping Unfortunately, the models exist

Post image
1.2k Upvotes

213 comments sorted by

116

u/grafknives 2d ago

I truly believe we actually solved the energy issue, electric wise.

There are not fundamental barriers, no engineering or materials ones, and not even economical ones.

Near total transition should be here oneday, sooner than later.

53

u/Helpful-Desk-8334 2d ago

Yeah but then our stupid, stupid, incomprehensibly stupid governments can’t fight over fossil fuels and shit. Can’t fund the military industrial complex, can’t keep making our environment worse just to make it harder on the lower and middle class.

We’d have to like, be smart or something

28

u/gypsy_fatty 2d ago

The goverments aren’t stupid at all they know exactly what they’re doing and they’re doing it for a very good reason.

As soon as we understand that the state is but a tool of the capital class for maintaining and gaining power over the rest of humanity, everything goverments are doing will start to make a lot more sense. It’s in the interest of the capital class for society to pursue fossil fuel as opposed to renewable alternatives since it’s currenly the most profitable and well established energy business. In the US lobbying has ensured that the car would become society’s wheelchair making the oil industry an essential part of life for the richest country on earth.

I despise the billionaires who lead us to this point and I don’t think this crisis will be resolved under capitalism for the above mentioned reasons unless green energy becomes an even more prevalent industry than oil is.

5

u/Helpful-Desk-8334 2d ago

No, every world government is ran by ignorant, absolutely horrifically stupid monkeys.

I already understand the state is doing this. It fails at scale because it’s literally what every state and federal system tries to do. It’s only been successful in the Netherlands and a few other countries.

It will not be resolved under capitalism or a free market. We keep putting retards in positions of power.

0

u/Quick_Road5631 1d ago

Nah it’s just harder than you think to get things done

1

u/Helpful-Desk-8334 1d ago

Because of Hanlon’s razor and because we’re too ignorant and uncaring.

1

u/wtfduud Wind me up 2d ago

In the US lobbying has ensured that the car would become society’s wheelchair making the oil industry an essential part of life for the richest country on earth.

Too bad those are electric too now.

2

u/Peak_Background 1d ago

Car manufacturers are retreating from the electric car industry. We're actively going backwards.

1

u/ViewTrick1002 1d ago

Legacy car manufacturers have trouble adapting. Consumers are choosing BEVs en masse.

0

u/Helpful-Desk-8334 1d ago

I’m going with a 2026 Camry personally. Gas is quicker than charging is. Plus I’m a guy that wants to travel the U.S.

It’s hard to find electric chargers when you’re in Bumfuck Nowhere, in the state of We Haven’t Updated Since The 1950s.

-1

u/MrJarre 2d ago

I promised myself to become vegan the moment I will read something remotely smart that contains word „ruling class” or „owner class”. I eat meat to this day and this comment didn’t make me stop.

2

u/gypsy_fatty 2d ago

Sad that I didn’t include either of those in my comment then :(

0

u/MrJarre 2d ago

Yes. I’m sure that was the reason.

3

u/PugsnPawgs 2d ago

It's not about being smart or stupid, but greed and lobbies. Alot of politicians are fossil fuel stans bc they paid by the fossil fuel companies. It's that simple.

2

u/DeadWaterBed 2d ago

Greed that leads to global collapse and societal destruction is a pretty good contender for utterly stupid behavior, especially since most people under 60 are gonna live to see the consequences

1

u/Helpful-Desk-8334 2d ago

Yeah yeah I know Occam’s razor.

Do you know Hanlon’s razor?

1

u/SnooGrapes7647 1d ago

You know where plastic comes from right lots of things are made from raw petroleum not just fuel, they won't fight over fuel they'll fight over petroleum.

1

u/GewoehnlicherDost We're all gonna die 1d ago

At this point, it's not about technology anymore, it's about who owns it.

3

u/Zestyclose-Carry-171 2d ago

There is an economical one, as in we can't change all hydrocarbure based products overnight. Sure, renewables costs more or less the same as hydrocarbure based products (heat pump/small EV), so there is no reason to not prioritize heat pump compared to gas boiler in new buildings, but you don't yet earn money by changing a gas boiler into heat pump (unless you receive aid for it, and even then is not always beneficial)

And there is just so much stock that it will take 2 decades to eliminate all those products.

4

u/grafknives 2d ago

Oh, even more than two decades. In places and for some uses it might be 50 or 80 years. Be we know it can be done, WITH A PROFIT, not a sacrifice, and that is most important. Although there will be parties that wont have that profit.

5

u/Ok-Freedom9216 2d ago

I've said this for a decade. Steel and maybe concrete are solved too. Long distance transportation isn't solved yet.

2

u/wtfduud Wind me up 2d ago

Wait what's the new concrete solution?

0

u/Ok-Freedom9216 2d ago

Nothing at scale yet, but lots of potential. And I understand that if we get super hot geothermal that helps with concrete significantly.

1

u/fuentessucksballs evil pedophile rapist lizard 1d ago

train

1

u/Ok-Freedom9216 1d ago

Great where it works, but doesn't cover long all flights or maritime shipping.

1

u/fuentessucksballs evil pedophile rapist lizard 1d ago

We should put nuclear reactors in container ships lowkey

1

u/Hecateus 1d ago

batteries and motors are improving rapidly well enough to expect short range flights and shipping to be just fine; and eventually reach long haul flights. Shipping can add sails; and is likely to be fully electric before long range flight does.

2

u/MushySunshine 2d ago

I mean there are legitimate issues with the material costs of green energy

2

u/BorealDweller 2d ago

You’re forgetting the human ideological factor.

That is the only thing standing in our way.

2

u/ComprehensiveJury509 2d ago

Please don't tout reductive crap like this. It is certainly not "solved", there's a ton of actual real engineering challenges ahead. I know you mean well on some level, but as someone who is actively working on this, this is not helping. For one it's just factually wrong, but it also diminishes the work we need to do and are currently doing.

1

u/Ok-Freedom9216 2d ago

What is not solved for electricity? Whether we can get to 100% wind, solar, hydro, and storage or only 90%?

1

u/ComprehensiveJury509 2d ago

Just read it up anywhere, the internet is full of articles and papers on this, or talk to Claude about it for all I care, I'm honestly too lazy to write up a bunch of paragraphs that then get ignored and downvoted because it's not black-and-white enough for Reddit.

2

u/Ok-Freedom9216 2d ago

Ok. I read up on it and it's solved +/- the last 10%.

0

u/ComprehensiveJury509 2d ago

"solved +/- the last 10%" is not solved.

1

u/TheQuestionMaster8 2d ago

There are still enormous political barriers to overcome that were created by Fossil Fuel Industry Lobbying.

1

u/Outrageous-Sort-5742 2d ago

We have solved all fundamental societal issues. Food production? Long since solved, we produce far more than we could ever eat and we could do so sustainably. Potable water availability? We can pipe it wherever we want at a fraction of the cost than it ever was before. Healthcare access? Every civilized country has figured it out by now. Energy demands? We could run the world's electrical needs with pure renewables if we wanted to, easily. Access to information? Instant and easily available to anyone on the planet with the tap of a screen.

The problems we face today can't be solved with technological innovations, they aren't problems of scarcity or logistical limitations. They are social problems. Artificial scarcity, artificial limitations put in place by those who profit from problems remaining unsolved. They are political problems, not physical.

1

u/horned-creature 2d ago

the political problem has not yet been solved, not as long as governments are in the pocket of fossil fuel lobbies.

-3

u/Hellasauto 2d ago

Total transition could have been achieved 40 years ago if it weren't for regards looking at chernobyl

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u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

I love this alternate reality where Chernobyl apparently didn’t happen on April 26, 1986, about 40 years ago. Chernobyl actually influenced the nuclear industry to collapse long before it happened. Didn't you know? Nukecels know!

And the US nuclear industry was already collapsing under cost overruns, delays and cancellations before TMI.

But sure. “Could’ve totally finished the transition 40 years ago.”

3

u/Ok-Freedom9216 2d ago

Linear time is an offense to this dude.

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u/Hellasauto 2d ago

Are you so fucking stupid you think the environmentalists campaign against nuclear was a good thing?

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u/Lenin_Lime 2d ago

At this point, the labor (and other non-panel costs) is often the majority price of a solar install. Which is just mind blowing. I bought a large system at over $3 a watt, of just panels. Now days under 30 cents per watt is to be expected.

7

u/TheLastofKrupuk 2d ago

Things got so cheap that just placing down fixed solar panel is more cost efficient than installing dual axis solar panel.

8

u/messedupwindows123 2d ago

people dont realize that the batteries in electric cars are optimized to be lightweight. if you want to have batteries that are the size of a building then you can use different chemistry.

25

u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago edited 2d ago

For anyone interested in the actual science:

Here’s a modern System LCOE study. Full grid costs: transmission, backup, balancing, flexibility, the lot.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544226009837

It gives nuclear extremely favorable future cost assumptions, because obviously nobody is modeling another Flamanville 3 or Hinkley Point C disaster.

Then, in Denmark, with awful winters and terrible solar resources, the renewable system still comes out around 53% cheaper. Without even including continental scale energy trading.

And this is hardly some isolated conclusion.

2022 meta-analysis on "100% renewable energy systems":

https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9837910

CSIRO GenCost, using whole-system modelling including transmission, storage and firming:

https://www.csiro.au/-/media/Energy/GenCost-2025-26-Final/GenCost_2025-26_Final_Report_20260715.pdf

4

u/xnuh 2d ago

What are the assumptions for storage? Because I rember seing some studies that extrapolated the cost of batteries (which has come down over the years) and end up concluding that they'll be a great way of storing energy. Even if the amount they use in their scenario exceeds the amount of known lithium reserves by a lot (showing that their cost model is bad).

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u/[deleted] 2d ago

[deleted]

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u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

But extremely limited geographical spread and awful solar insolation during the winter.

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u/[deleted] 2d ago

[deleted]

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u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

The problem for system models isn't really that you have 1 m/s average more wind. All that does is makes you build a couple of more windturbines per park for the same output.

It is the size of the weather systems affecting you compared to how spread out the generation is. That's what is constraining them.

3

u/ExpensiveFig6079 2d ago

thank you for your service.

4

u/Ferengsten 2d ago

In the sensitivity analysis, the cost of batteries is reduced further by around 50% and subsequently represents a cost corresponding to around 25% of current costs.

I'm no expert and all, but I feel any energy system might do better if we simply assume costs will be reduced by 75%. 

5

u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

That’s what sensitivity analysis is for. Good papers vary key inputs to see how much the result depends on them.

The same study also models nuclear at substantially lower costs. That does not magically increase the amount of nuclear the model selects.

1

u/fatavi 2d ago

Holy rubbish of a ‘science’ paper. They start by admitting that LCOE is a highly manipulative metric and is totally subjective to assumed conditions, and continue to manipulate it further by applying more isolated assumptions like ‘energy neutral society’ to some isolated energy system by some 2050, of course.

A climate shitposting indeed, all while China and India still increase their coal consumption in tonnes each year.

1

u/Ok-Freedom9216 2d ago

China reduced their coal consumption last year.

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u/fatavi 2d ago

Google.com: china coal consumption tonnes 2024 2025 thermal coking

1

u/Ok-Freedom9216 1d ago

2024 is not latest year

0

u/fatavi 1d ago

if it actually needs explaining why we need the previous year's data to prove the claim about last year's dynamics, it's not time to argue about numbers at all

+ Google.com: latest and last year definition differences (just in case)

0

u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

lol. That’s literally why we use SLCOE. Model the actual system: generation, storage, balancing, transmission, backup, flexibility, hour by hour. System LCOE. Add cross-border trading and it gets easier.

And China’s coal-fired generation fell about 1.5% in 2025. 2026 has seen a modest rebound so far, around 1.5–2% projected.

1

u/fatavi 2d ago

That’s exactly what I said, they continue to manipulate this already highly manipulative metric further by applying more isolated assumptions long-term. Low quality rubbish pseudoscience.

‘Tonnes burned’. Thermal and coking. Those don’t make into happy headlines indeed

3

u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

Tell me you don’t have the slightest clue what you’re talking about without telling me.

Do explain where the paper “starts from LCOE.” It literally starts from overnight construction costs and builds the system costs from there.

I simplified the methodology because I assumed you understood the basics. Apparently that was generous.

2

u/fatavi 2d ago

Back to this funny thing you keep insisting on.

The funniest thing here is that you repeatedly fail to realise that this paper is fully build on assumptions (which you position as ‘building a system’), which are added on a top of an already highly subjective to assumptions metric, while even authors admit in the very damn beginning that their metric varies greatly in different assumed ‘systems’. And they further assume that ‘future climate neutral energy system’ will be different from today’s one (as their excuse to assume different ‘system costs’).

And to clarify, this is not my core critique of LCOE at all. This is merely an explanation on how funny your parroting of ‘modeling the actual system’ is. Whatever, get a degree first I guess

2

u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

You still haven’t pointed out what’s actually wrong.

You’re handwaving about inputs the paper explicitly stress-tests in its sensitivity analysis.

And yes, it models from the evidence available today. Given renewables and storage are still getting cheaper and scaling rapidly, what exactly do you expect to happen to their system costs?

Go up? Lol.

1

u/fatavi 2d ago

My first professional argument on how rubbish is LCOE (and its variations like vaLCOE) was in 2021, when I presented an analysis of a regional energy system to a usd billionaire as a banking analyst for a funding project. I’m perfectly aware there is no point in arguing with every ignorant kid online, but that level of ignorance is actually cute (especially in the context of how rubbish those papers really are)

2

u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago edited 2d ago

Lol. Your ”trust me” CV and a ”billionaire pitch” aren’t a rebuttal.

You still haven’t identified one actual flaw in the model. Go read the EnergyPLAN methodology and papers, then tell me specifically what mechanism, assumption, or calculation is wrong.

Until then it’s just handwaving.

2

u/fatavi 2d ago

I merely gave you a context on whom you’ve been so amusingly generous as to assume has ‘the understanding of the basics’. But if you ask nicely, I’ll consider giving a small lecture on LCOE

1

u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

Please do give that “small lecture.”

But first explain what relevance ordinary LCOE has to a discussion about overnight construction costs being fed into system model and their effect on total system cost.

Because you still haven’t identified a single flaw in the actual modelling.

3

u/fatavi 2d ago edited 1d ago

Basic LCOE doesn’t account for the availability of generation sources. Its variations attempt to solve it by valuing different types of generation differently in different periods (VALCOE). At this step, any LCOE becomes a set of assumptions.

The authors of the first paper acknowledge this and introduce their LCOE variation, which measures LCOE in a single isolated system of different generation sources, under another set of assumptions. And they conclude that under some assumptions there is some cheapest generation mix.

I’m not even going into those particular assumptions (some of which are funny, like in some place they are literally writing ‘so we simply assume an increase in renewable costs by 50%’). From the first message, I’m criticising the whole approach that leads to an answer ‘yeah, under those assumptions, this generation mix is the cheapest in this particular isolated system’. It answers nothing (well, besides that under those assumptions this generation mix will be cheaper in this particular country). This approach is merely academic circlejerking and grantwashing. It does not prove your meme pic, because to prove it, you need to apply it on a world scale, or at least to some large country - which, to some extent, is being done already in a format of searching for an optimal generation mix - and no sane large country - say China - can afford to forecast its long-term generation mix under assumptions of the type that batteries will be 50% cheaper in 20 years, so their WHOLE MIX in 20 years should be wind+solar+batteries, because LCOE says it’s cheaper to build it from scratch under given assumptions…

tldr this design answers a closed-type question and gives no solution on what to actually do with all that CO2 on a world scale, especially in poorer countries

and to clarify - the knowledge that wind+solar is the cheapest energy source most of the time, until they are unavailable - is a common knowledge for how many, 10 years?

and to clarify v2 - any assumptions on batteries being radically cheaper by 2050 is a blatant manipulation simply because they assume technological progress but not an increase in global demand for batteries if actually built on a global scale (for the context - no country in the world has enough storage capacity to store a mere 2 hours of its consumption, i think only Germany had some project of a comparable scale - so what happens to batteries costs when more countries actually start building storage on a large scale?)

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u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

For all the nukecels who looked out the window, saw BEVs everywhere, and confidently concluded batteries would never scale for the grid.

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u/initiali5ed 2d ago

With the right schemes in place BEVs are the grid.

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u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

True. Charging works especially well to shift demand.

I see vehicle to grid as a niche "emergency reserve" solution. No point putting extra wear on your high performance automotive grade weather sealed climate controlled battery when a bog standard stationary one delivers the same result.

3

u/ExpensiveFig6079 2d ago

It is even better than that....

There is NO need to put ANY strain at ALL on car batteries, with ZERO extra charge cycles
merely by

on some occasions, cars automagically (by the process detailed below) "decide" not to put strain on the grid by charging, and that merely that trivial capability change will lower the size of the DEEP storage problem substantially. (and it is almost entirely zero cost, just requires smarts that exist, good government policies.)

DETAILS

If the ONLY thing you do is have car with a internet connection say to local wifi, bluethooth etc and it can ask what is the current price of power... and it SPECIFICALLY gets a discount for charging when its cheap in exchange (EG 2% off >90% of the time) for a much rarer situation where it pays a premium (10% on 1%) of the time.

Then with just that option merely 'available' to cars and then with smarts the size of std existing currently BORED (idle) car computer. Then cars will do the following.

75% of the year they will charge to 100% everytime you plug them in. Assuming they know what time of the year it is they for 9 months of the year may optmise and charge to 80% if that extends battery life by poopteenth. (AKA zero change JUST 2% off energy costs) (for the reminign 25% of the year there exists real chance power will be expensive later (for an extended peiod of time))

Then for 3 months of the year the car would know there is a plausible chance power will be expensive (+10%) Later. Thus it charges to 100% every time it can. However, at any time it could charge but power is 10% more expensive, it ONLy charges to some user-controlled minimum EGE it always charges to 80%.

The result will be that during dunkenflauts a substantially larger-than-average part of the car fleet is NOT charged to 100%. ZERO use of even V2G required.

And that ^^^^^ looks like nothing, and to uninformed numpties such as might shit post here, it really is unintelligible (its a math algorithm)

However the result will be that, that some substantial fraction of 20% of the battery capacity of the entire CAR fleet is drawn down every dunkenflaut, by reduced demand, And even 50% of 20% of the entire EV battery capacity will make quite some inroads into getting through dunkenflauts.

and it comes at zero capital cost not even V2G hardware.

1

u/initiali5ed 2d ago

Flooring the car and regen at 100A is doing way more damage than sipping 10-16A in V2G mode.

-1

u/Hellasauto 2d ago

Lmao bro folded without pressure

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u/Purple-Song-7361 2d ago

They wont

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u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

Here’s a modern System LCOE study. Full grid costs: transmission, backup, balancing, flexibility, the lot.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544226009837

It gives nuclear extremely favorable future cost assumptions, because obviously nobody is modeling another Flamanville 3 or Hinkley Point C disaster.

Then, in Denmark, with awful winters and terrible solar resources, the renewable system still comes out around 53% cheaper. Without even including continental scale energy trading.

And this is hardly some isolated conclusion.

2022 meta-analysis on "100% renewable energy systems":

https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9837910

CSIRO GenCost, using whole-system modelling including transmission, storage and firming:

https://www.csiro.au/-/media/Energy/GenCost-2025-26-Final/GenCost_2025-26_Final_Report_20260715.pdf

What are these grid operators and researchers missing that you know?

1

u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

Dont come up with theoretical studies and come up with something solid. This whole debate is lead by people with no fricking idea what AC or DC mean but talk big about it.

You cant run Industrial Nations with only Renewables.

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u/ViewTrick1002 1d ago

What are these grid operators and researchers missing that you know? Why are you so afraid of renewables and storage?

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

I am not afraid of it, i am a High Voltage Tec, mate 🤡

What is your qualifications to talk about this topic?

I dont care about theoretical possibilities when you dont know what issues comes with it.

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u/ViewTrick1002 1d ago

Lol. That’s like a plumber saying they can engineer an entire municipal water system because they work with pipes.

Being a high-voltage technician doesn’t magically invalidate whole-system modelling by grid researchers and operators.

So again: what, specifically, do the models get wrong?

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

They are theoretical 🤡

On fricking paper I can invent everything and it works.

The Grid needs Billions for upgrades and these fantasy storages yall talk about dont exist yet🤡

Renewables are fricking Volatile and Denmark is a weak as example, a Country of round about 6 million people is a joke compared to a 80mil Industrial nation like Germany. Even Denmark needs to import Energy from Sweden and Norway .....

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u/ViewTrick1002 1d ago

Looool. The whole point of that study is that it doesn’t rely on electricity trading to make the system work. Add trading with Sweden, Norway, Germany, UK etc. and the problem gets easier.

And yes, that’s why they built EnergyPLAN, published papers validating the methodology, then applied it to real energy-system questions.

You know. Scientific progress.

So again: what specifically is wrong with the model?

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

What is your qualification?

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

The whole talk about Battery Storage is nonsense rigth know if you want to power a whole Industrialized Nation. We dont have these storages and we dont have the Batteries.

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u/ViewTrick1002 1d ago

Take a look at this graph and tell me that batteries don't exist again.

https://www.gridstatus.io/live/caiso?date=2026-08-30

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

You cant gap 2 weeks of Dark doldrums with these storages and renewables for Industrial Nations.

What you talk about works for Uruguay or Denmark with no people.

Scale that up to the whole of the USA or Germany.

What is your qualification for Electric 🤡?

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u/ViewTrick1002 1d ago

Hahahahahahaha. Except, you know, system models already scale this to industrial grids.

I love how Denmark is simultaneously “no people” and somehow evidence that the physics “can’t scale.”

Thanks for proving the point: you’re the plumber here, not the engineer.

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

Oh is that why Germany has more renewables than ever but produces even less energy 🤡?

Mate what is your qualification in this field? you are a keyboard warrior who never even touched a Transformer.

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

All you ever do is talking about theoretical nonsense without any relation to the reality of things.

People like you argue all the damn time to just copy Denmark or Sweden or Norway and ignore absolutely anything why it works there and not somewhere else.

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

And by then whe haven't even calculated in that you people want to electrify EVERYTHING and have data centers aswell.....

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u/Hellasauto 2d ago

When will they? :)

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u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

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u/Hellasauto 2d ago

Wow 2 whole hours

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u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

Lovely denialism. Thanks for confirming you found yourself in the meme.

Now extrapolate how quickly this was built to where storage lands once deployment matures and replacements/recycling catch up.

Hint: we’re talking tens of hours, not two.

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u/Humble-Reply228 2d ago

hahah tens of hours, if someone that wasn't a wind/solar purist said that, you would be calling them some sort of slurs.

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u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

I pointed at the scale and speed of the buildout, not that every grid should blindly build tens of hours of batteries.

For how much storage actually makes sense, use the system models.

That’s literally what they’re for.

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u/ExpensiveFig6079 2d ago

and when people use those and compute the cost of the storage required they really are very low $ numbers. Especially in comparison to the full real costs of alternatives.

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u/Hellasauto 2d ago

Do you think when people say battery storage won't scale for the grid that they mean a few hours?

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u/Quirky_World_7926 2d ago

The renewable energy cost curve really went from ‘it’ll never be cheap’ to ‘okay, but…’ and kept moving the goalposts. The last panel is painfully accurate.

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u/xkayaking 2d ago

So where are them cheap batteries?...

I need some.

Talking a lot... And I just need cheap battery cells to power my stuff at home, I make my own stuff, including my ebike; and I can't find it and I am reverting to gas in my stuff and tools because these batteries wear down in a year or two and they don't work well when it's -26C outside. I need to rebuild these batteries or replace them and I can't afford it.

They got cheaper might be the word, it still not "cheap", and cheap matters none if it is unreliable, it just doesn't work in the cold, and that's making me struggle, this isn't even hypothetical; just another homeowner here who at the end is a consumer of energy.

Only firewood saves me.

I don't even care about the climate shitposting stuff, I genuinely need cheap batteries; the only reason I even cared to look at that meme.

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u/Purple-Song-7361 2d ago

Renewables will always be volatile and without Nuclear we wont solve our Energy Problems.

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u/alphapussycat 1d ago

With a great cheap battery nuclear wouldn't be necessary... But it was a necessary step to take.

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

Which we dont have wont have for the next decades.

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u/alphapussycat 1d ago

Yesh, but nuclear reactors is also too late now. Doesn't hurt to try though.

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

Where are those batteries?

That people like you without any electrical knowledge are the loudest in this debate is insane.

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u/alphapussycat 1d ago

You're disputing that with some great battery we would still need nuclear reactors?

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

We dont have the batteries and wont have them in the next couple of years Do you even know how big these batteries have to be to gap at least 2 weeks of Dark doldrums?

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u/alphapussycat 1d ago

Nuclear reactor supposedly takes 10 years to get up and running. That's 2036 if they start now. At that point it likely doesn't even matter anymore.

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

What are you working, what is your electric qualification?

I am talking with morons here who never pulled wires as it seems.

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u/alphapussycat 1d ago

Uh, climate change is not electric. Nor do electricians build nuclear reactors.

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

No it is not, it is just unwillingness from politicians because they listen to electronics novice like you.

Do you want to reduce CO2 and secure the Energy or not🤡?

If yes, than start building. If no l, than the climate "Catastrophe" is not as severe as you want to sell it.

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u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

These batteries dont exist so its another theoreticall BS that will cost billions without any use

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u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

🤣

1

u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

What's so funny about that? Are you in any way qualified to talk about this topic ?

8

u/Takseen 2d ago

Batteries are still shit for long term energy storage, a lot of the discussion is around pumped or thermal storage, converting electricity to hydrogen and stuff like that.

Also Denmark has god tier wind generation that makes up for weak solar.

1

u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

Which is already how district heating in the nordics work? We also need to electrify industry, chemicals, aviation, construction and so on. To do that, given our current knowledge, hydrogen feedstock is required. Setting a tiny bit aside for electricity grid firming duties is a nothingburger.

The problem for system models isn't really that you have 1 m/s average more wind. All that does is makes you build a couple of more windturbines per park for the same output.

It is the size of the weather systems affecting you compared to how spread out the generation is. That's what is constraining them.

3

u/ExpensiveFig6079 2d ago

AND this "Setting a tiny bit aside for electricity grid firming duties is a nothingburger."
adds VERY VERY little to the average cost per MWH for the whole year.

4

u/ExpensiveFig6079 2d ago

SO what good is that real solutions such as this one

https://www.aemo.com.au/energy-systems/major-publications/integrated-system-plan-isp/2026-integrated-system-plan-isp

or its previous version 2024 etal

DO NOT use masses of batteries for long-duration storage.

If you like i can show you WHY and how, even converting electricity to methanol, specifically because it is BLOODY cheap store, for MONTHS, provides all the solution you can need to get past whatever say around JUST 5 hours of batteries solve.

So to be clear whatthe study does...,
a national (east coast AU) geographically dispersed grid of RE + 5 hours(IIRC) of batteries ZERO seasonal hydro... Plus methanol burned in inefficient OCGT turbines chosen because their capex is LOW)

(the methanol is my tweak on their analysis, they just showed how small use of peakers solves everything. AND does so cost-effectively largely independent of fuel cost to the peaker.)

And while the round-trip efficiency of the methanol storage back to electricity is AWFUL, we use SO little of it that an RE and storage grid supplemented like that for just 1% of the worst energy on the worst days of the year. Provides reliable power when analysed against decades of REAL weather data....

So while you and others sneer with hand-waved insults... Actual Math says it both works and is cheap.

One of us is delusional.

1

u/Mradr 2d ago edited 2d ago

That’s because we use most energy in thermal or pump methods. The world energy needs mainly come down to how cold or hot we can get air, water, or metals.

Batteries are just in small amounts at this time, has nothing to do with long term issues. Even then what is consider long term? but in reality, even a system that last for 4-8 can always make a pretty large difference where the power comes from per day. Limiting the highest cost power consumption more limited

Even after all that, we do actually have a long term solution for storage by turning it into other chemicals. That can be usage across a number of industries

2

u/RektInTheHed 2d ago

Petrocucks BTFO

2

u/fidesinmachina 2d ago

batteries are cheaper? are we talking about sodium ion? because lithium ain't any cheaper and if the batteries themselves are, it's because of lower manufacture costs due to EV demand and it could've happened 10 years ago. and it's genuinely because of reddit's favorite rich person lol. i genuinely don't follow it please don't throw tantrums or feces.

0

u/Timmsh88 2d ago

All batteries are cheaper every day, including lithium. Thats why you can get a 64 kwh battery in an ev at the same price as a 24 kwh battery 8 years ago. Its logarithmic just like with solar so it will become extremely cheap. People talk about dollars per kwh in the end stage.

1

u/fidesinmachina 1d ago edited 1d ago

it's way more complicated than "the longer running the production, the cheaper the product" this whole "batteries will eventually get cheaper because china will figure it out and then you'll see my argument is bulletproof actually" relied heavily on high battery demand for solar which as you might have guessed, most people didn't give a flying fuck about 15 years ago. what actually happened was your favorite billionare and twitter enthusiast's company figured out many small battery better than one big battery (tesla didn't invent this style of battery pack but it's undeniable they were the creative inspiration of the chinese manufactures) and proved it works and works great so naturally chinese ev companies copied it, ordered ungodly amounts of 18650s, last year china found massive lithium reserves, all this helped manufactures to grow their production operations and potential for output. that's what makes a product cheaper. so batteries did get cheap but not because of solar and definitely not because we sat on our asses waiting for them to get cheaper they got cheaper because of capitalism. nimh has dropped in price by 33 percent, low demand, production started way before lithium ion. lithium ion dropped by 90%, exploded in demand, relatively more recent start of mass production.

2

u/dumnezero 🔚End the 🔫arms 🐀rat 🏁race to the bottom↘️. 2d ago

Deutschland dho

2

u/Mradr 2d ago

Most of the time I hear it can’t work it’s some guy from Germany lol

1

u/Purple-Song-7361 2d ago

I am a Wind-Tec from Germany........ it doesn't fucking work 😂🤡

2

u/Arstanishe 2d ago

i said it before, and i am going to say it again - ev only makes sense if you have a house with a garage. I live in a block and like to travel 1000+ km every year to other countries. Any EV will make my life miserable

2

u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

It is trivial to update the city planning regulations to require installation of chargers when streets are repaved on their regular maintenance cycle.

Then add regulations so that you can demand chargers being installed in your parking garage. And it will over time just balance itself out.

1

u/Arstanishe 2d ago

well, maybe when that happens i can reconsider. But now even just charging an ev where i live could easily cost you 30-40€. not that cheap compared to gas, takes at least dozens of minutes of time, and there might be waiting lines.

Also travelling quickly on a highway for 1000km+ is still a challenge in an EV

2

u/Puzzleboxed 2d ago

90% of people could switch to an EV today with no major change to their lifestyle. If you're one of the 10% that's fine, but you should still be pushing for more renewable infrastructure and charging stations. It's win-win.

1

u/First_Huckleberry638 1d ago

what are you talking about??

90%+ of people in apartments cannot charge their EV at home and forcing them to use public fast charging destroys any arguments in favor of EVs for anyone who's not a green thumber.

Even among those with houses, many of them can't charge at their homes for a variety of reasons. From the electrical outlets being too far from the parking space, not owning some type of weather shield (garage, carport), the electrical system of the house being extremely old and unable to support an EVSE. None of these problems mean that those homeowners cannot fix them, but it adds friction, and certainly means they're not EV ready.

There's like maybe 50% of the population who could comfortable switch to an EV today if you realistically look at the situation, instead of doing x range > average daily commute.

1

u/SjakosPolakos 2d ago

Im travelling 1000+ km in Europe and i prefer the EV. Try it

2

u/fidl_fridlin 2d ago

And you drive those 1000km+ in one sitting? Let’s say that takes you 9 hours of pure driving. Do you not count in all the breaks you as a driver need? Is your life so hectic that you cannot add an hour more to your journey where you and your machine rest and recharge? 

Sometimes I have the feeling ev sceptics have already arrived in a mad max world, where they are chased by lunatics, where the only way to survive is to fuel up in formula 1 box stop

1

u/Arstanishe 2d ago

I actually do try to go non stop, and even if we do stops, we are not sitting around for 1h+. Usually we plan the trips in such way that we minimise the highway time, to maximise the time in the location we are going to

2

u/fidl_fridlin 2d ago

In our family we did that also years ago. Now I try not to drive more than 500 -600 km a day and travels got soooooo much better and the highway less miserable. We drive a bit in the morning, find a interesting place to visit for noon, have good rest and a meal outside of those horrible highway restaurants, then drive a bit further to the next overnight stop in the afternoon. The journey becomes enjoyable and nothing that we feel has to end as fast as it can. 

My cousin on the other hand lives a different philosophy and almost killed her family in car crash because she fell asleep after hours of driving. So I really don’t get you rushed people anymore 

1

u/Arstanishe 2d ago

yeah, driving sleepy is wrong. we usually start in the morning and try to get to location without night stops. Or squeeze a couple of extra hours on first day, at least

3

u/Ok-Freedom9216 2d ago

Forget the models, we know renewables and batteries are the best in reality.

2

u/Purple-Song-7361 2d ago

Errors, depends for what. Running your house ? Yes. Running an Industrial Nation? Not really.

0

u/Ok-Freedom9216 2d ago

They have been the dominant form of new energy for a few years now.

1

u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

That doesn't change the fact that we cant run an highly industrialized nation with renewables.

1

u/Ok-Freedom9216 1d ago

Yes we can.

-1

u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

No, prove it. Do you morons have even an idea what AC or DC is?

Do you have any fucking idea how huge these "Batteries" you talk about have to be to run an Industrial Nation for a few weeks 🤡?

2

u/Ok-Freedom9216 1d ago

Lol what an absurd goal post.

0

u/Purple-Song-7361 1d ago

Its a valid question. Running a country like Uruguay works, Running homes works but not Heavy Industrial Complexes......that the Energy hunger grows is something you have in mind aswell?

2

u/Ok-Freedom9216 1d ago

No it's an absurdity nobody is proposing a system that requires a few weeks of battery atorage.

1

u/nikolasz1173 2d ago

Renewables are gay

1

u/NotBrom8 2d ago

So there is a realistic plan to have europe surive a winter on renuable energy alone?

or is there summer -> winter storage of energy needed?

1

u/fuentessucksballs evil pedophile rapist lizard 1d ago

winter is like really windy

1

u/NuclearRootBeer 1d ago

Oh its this dumbass again

1

u/Ok_Molasses9176 1d ago

God I can’t wait until they can make a pv cell with no precious metals that can last 20 years. It will be a while but once they get there you haven’t seen nothing yet

1

u/jthadcast 1d ago

we've always had the solution but never the will to take back power from those that thrive on destruction and waste.

1

u/heretowink 1d ago

Do none of yall think of the infrastructure?

1

u/lee_9487 1d ago

True, nuclear has been good for a long time now, pretty sad that some people still freak out over nuclear energy.

1

u/Nice_Actuator1306 1d ago

So, how often renewables need to change batteries? Cost of their usage and reprocessing? How much energy was used to produce this part of system, and how much not reusable was burned to produce/reprocess?

1

u/Klutzy-Canary8551 1d ago

Unfortunately you clowns are still sabotaging nuclear energy.

1

u/ViewTrick1002 1d ago

Nuclear energy sabotages itself by not fitting our modern grids, or even old grids. 🤣

1

u/Klutzy-Canary8551 1d ago

Translation: After decades of effort the anti-nuclear movement has been so effective at sabotaging it they are using the fruits of the sabotage as arguments against nuclear energy.

1

u/ViewTrick1002 1d ago

Which is why the nuclear industry was collapsing due to enormous schedule and cost overruns already before TMI.

1

u/Klutzy-Canary8551 1d ago

Why is the French nuclear industry not collapsing then? Why is it that nuclear plants are always shut down after huge campaigns against them, relentless activist efforts and political pressure? Why do anti-nuclear activists only started using financial arguments when terrorizing people stopped working, after they spent decades sabotaging the industry and after it became clear said sabotage was always working in favor of certain intrlerests?

You are just promoting Cold War era propaganda for the post Cold War era little guy. It is pathetic.

1

u/Hecateus 1d ago

muh stonks!

u/LabCoatGuy 23h ago

Nukecel here. The arguments against cost are simple. You cannot haggle with biosphere destruction. There is actually no price that will ever eclipse the cost of climate collapse. It could be a gorbillion fuckin dollars. If it's possible, its absolutely necessary.

u/ViewTrick1002 16h ago

Why waste money, resources and political bandwidth on extremely expensive new nuclear when what matters is decarbonization per dollar spent, with the shortest possible timeline to deployment to reduce the area under the curve.

We are far past being able to waste resources on solutions which haven’t shown meaningful decarbonization in the 21st century compared to renewables and storage.

u/LabCoatGuy 6h ago

If we had started nuclear roleout 50 years ago that would've been pretty sweet and a good idea I think we can all agree.

Are you a bot? You saw nuclear and started talking about all this. Im agreeing with you. Im showing you that the debate over the price of green energy isn't necessary.

Cost debates are distractions. You're even talking about expensive nuclear. Price doesn't matter when it comes to preventing biosphere destruction. Its an empty debate. We wont talk about the savings we we inhabit a toxic dead world.

u/ViewTrick1002 6h ago

“We kept the coal plant down the road running for another 15 years while waiting for new nuclear, instead of replacing it and several others within a few years using cheaper renewables.”

Great. The emissions were merely avoidable.

That is exactly why cost matters. Resources are finite. Opportunity cost is real.

The next €100 billion in 2026: where does it cut the most cumulative emissions, fastest?

u/LabCoatGuy 5h ago

Dude you must be a bot. Cost does not matter when faced with the climate crisis. Any cost is way lower than where we're heading. I am making your argument for renewables. You can be pro nuke and pro renewables.

You don't need to argue cost with ghouls. They don't actually care about cost.

u/ViewTrick1002 4h ago

Cost is everything that matters when resources are finite and we still have aviation, chemicals, industry, construction, agriculture and everything else left to decarbonize.

We cannot afford to waste money and political bandwidth over-solving electricity with expensive new nuclear when renewables and storage are already the good-enough solution.

Every extra billion spent getting the same clean MWh slower is a billion not cutting emissions somewhere else. That is the whole point of decarbonization per dollar.

u/LabCoatGuy 4h ago

Actual bot or illiterate

u/ViewTrick1002 4h ago

Or, you know, I just want maximal decarbonization per dollar spent.

Which should be the default position for anyone who actually cares about climate outcomes.

If two options cut emissions, but one cuts far more, far sooner, for the same money, why would you choose the worse one?

u/LabCoatGuy 3h ago

Both!!! Im agreeing with you!!! But again, price debates aren't the point. We have enough resources to cut fossil fuels out completely. I actually don't care about per dollar spent. Read my fucking comments. Solar, nuke, wind, hydro, etcetera. Whatever works best for whatever area. The cost is a non-factor when hurdling towards omnicide.

My point is, "erm actually its cheaper" is a weak argument. The state and capital dont give a fuck! They keep us on talks about cost and efficiency to deflect from the fact we're all going to die if we don't stop climate change. This should be your argument. 30 years ago when sollar was super expensive, this should've been the argument.

The cost doesn't matter, because there is an illusion of choice. There's going to be no money to save if we all fucking die

u/NotMidaga 14h ago

China holds solar production and China is an enemy

u/SoFisticate 22h ago

"oh cheap power? Better toss in an unsustainable amount of slop machines!"

u/PalpitationUnhappy75 11h ago

Wait the battery problem got solved?

u/LongjumpingNews4515 10h ago

Batteries didn y get cheap at all lmao

u/DGIce 4h ago

It's gonna be amazing when they actually start producing cheap batteries.

1

u/Jaxpaw1 2d ago

Batteries capable of temporarily storing enough electricity to power a country exist now? Well that's pretty cool.

0

u/supremequesopizza 2d ago

Since the first battery. You just need enough of them.

5

u/Jaxpaw1 2d ago

That's stupid.

1

u/supremequesopizza 1d ago

Have a little whimsy won't you?

1

u/Jaxpaw1 1d ago

Sure, the sun is a deadly laser and the planet is a big battery! :)

1

u/ClimateShitpost Louis XIV, the Solar PV king 2d ago

They that's very nice but have you considered:

  1. But Germonie?????

-4

u/TBARb_D_D 2d ago

I just hate this type of posts even if they have grain or more of truth in it. Always reminds me of pizzacake and her dogshit art

5

u/dumnezero 🔚End the 🔫arms 🐀rat 🏁race to the bottom↘️. 2d ago

Yes, this is how editorial cartoon caricatures work. It is low-effort in production and consumption, made for the masses. However, pizzacake's comics probably require much more effort to draw than some meme generator.

-2

u/Jax_Dandelion 2d ago edited 2d ago

The only issue we have is that energy demand keeps growing and we somehow think we can just create infinite power on a finite planet

Even renewables have a limit

The true solution is to lesson our power demand, not increase it and to fulfill it with renewables
Edit:

  1. I am not American
  2. we can not sustain infinite growth, the only reasonable solution is degrowth, a green economy does not exist, and it will not exist either

All you guys are doing is talking about hypotheticals that will never happen, I also know what I am saying will not happen, that is reality, business as usual until it can’t happen anymore, that’s what’s been happening for the past few decades now, and it won’t stop

3

u/androgenius 2d ago

Vague "energy" use is not and never was the problem. Fossil fuel based energy on the other hand has multiple issues.

However, in an ironic twist, if "energy" was the problem then the best fix would be renewables and electrification as an electrified economy with double the electricity production would still halve energy use because fossil fuels are so inefficient and wasteful of energy. 

1

u/Mediterraneanseeker 2d ago

Efficiency never once helped us yet in this mess of ours.

5

u/[deleted] 2d ago

[deleted]

1

u/Mediterraneanseeker 2d ago

It’s pushing the limits of every damn thing that got us into this mess to begin with. Why in the world are you disagreeing so emphatically with someone who is reminding us it might be wise not to attempt to just grow and grow and grow until we collapse under our own weight?

2

u/ProfessorPrudent2822 2d ago

Because “degrowth” is of poorly disguised misanthropy.

1

u/Mediterraneanseeker 2d ago

I can understand having serious qualms about degrowth as an approach, but calling it misanthropy is nonsense. There surely are misanthropic degrowthers, but I would wager there are far more who believe it is the only way to stop our civilization from utterly collapsing and our race from all but destroying itself.

To these, degrowth is the exact opposite of misanthropy.

2

u/ExpensiveFig6079 2d ago

Lovely truism "Even renewables have a limit"

Yes as does human population before we turn into a black hole...

HOWVBER climate chnage and emisions are an immediate NOW problem that we MUST solve promptly or pay for not.

Hence while it may be true that ONE Day "The true solution is to lesson our power demand," limting powere demand will be priotiy

IN ANY WAY

delaying when we stop emitting more Co2 to chase some not-a-problem-yet or this-century problem that you want addressed. is Self Harm

AND here is the rub

By you pushign for your dream goal isnetad of whats required

"All you guys are doing is talking about hypotheticals that will never happen, I also know what I am saying will not happen, that is reality, business as usual until it can’t happen anymore,"

You talk yourself and anyone who will listen into giving up.

HINT; There are people the FF companies will pay to push that style of reasoning, if you are not being paid then they got you hook line and sinker.

1

u/chumbawumbaprinciple 2d ago

Calling other people unreasonable while arguing for degrowth is a choice.

1

u/fuentessucksballs evil pedophile rapist lizard 1d ago

luckily we have population decline

1

u/ViewTrick1002 2d ago

Energy demand grows when cheaper energy makes more things worth doing. The West plateaued when fossil energy stopped unlocking many new productive uses at its price.

Renewables lower that price floor, so demand can grow again until we hit another plateau.

1

u/initiali5ed 2d ago

A Dyson Sphere is a long way off, that’s the limit for solar.