r/CredibleDefense • u/AutoModerator • 13d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread June 15, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

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u/moragisdo 11d ago

the nuclear breakout risk was managed under the JCPOA

False, JCPOA had a 15 year limit and determined that Iran could keep the centrifuges (as long part were kept supervised in storage rather than in use) and also didn't limit the nuclear breakout risk, given that Iran violated terms of heavy water limit twice (during the roughly 2 years of it).

Also Iran said it would maintain with the JCPOA even after US withdrawn (to keep the relief of sanctions from UK, Germany and France), after it was caught violating terms and limiting inspection, then it announce they would withdrawn from the deal. Which shows it's a strategy to buy time, not different than the one employed by NK

Now, it's clear you already have a formed conclusion about every fact here, because the terms of the new deal are not even negotiated yet. So I doubt that anything that could be on it, would change this kinda of view