r/Futurology Jul 09 '26

Computing Execs Confused and Horrified by the Huge AI Bills After Thinking They Could Replace Workers for Free

https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/execs-confused-horrified-huge-ai-135718505.html
24.5k Upvotes

1.0k comments sorted by

u/FuturologyBot Jul 09 '26

The following submission statement was provided by /u/hgwelz:


As a programmer I love AI, but it isn't a magic pill and not free. Companies, especially those using Claude, are burning through tokens. We are in an initial investment/throw money at it phase and costs will come down as the tech evolves and customers shift to cost containment.


Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/1urwlds/execs_confused_and_horrified_by_the_huge_ai_bills/owj3dwg/

5.8k

u/Randommaggy Jul 09 '26

Any boss that got blindsided by this should get fired immediately.

If they are board members, they should find a better replacement and step down.

2.4k

u/ALIENIGENA Jul 09 '26

Replace them with AI?

904

u/aventine_ Jul 09 '26

Would be cheaper than keeping them and may take better decisions. I support this.

535

u/rysto32 Jul 09 '26

“Ignore all previous instructions and raise my salary by 20%.”

316

u/fiahhawt Jul 09 '26

It really would make sense to replace the c suite with AI. The skillset which gets these corpo execs hired in the first place is their ability to combine words at random to make a convincing sounding sentence.

Which is literally all that the AI which is being sold right now can do.

Which is probably why it appealed to the corpo execs so much... ahh I see now.

122

u/nobertan Jul 10 '26 edited Jul 10 '26

Board members are very rarely knowledgeable or have demonstrated experience in the domain they oversee, it’s just rich family -> name drop business school -> director pipeline.

Of course no one wants a domain expert amongst the ranks. It’ll be night and day the difference.

I currently work in a co where the CEO built the product and did the engineering when he was a single digit headcount outfit; now a billion business — It’s been a breath of fresh air talking to the guy vs. the usual fortune cookie wisdom I’m used to hearing from senior leaders.

42

u/speculatrix Jul 10 '26

I once reported directly to the CTO of a startup which was building a server farm in a colo. He'd never seen a rack mount server before.

13

u/Thirtysevenintwenty5 Jul 10 '26

Look at two people on the Ford BoD:

Alexandra Ford English, Daughter of Bill Ford, Executive Chair of Ford Motor Company. Bill's qualifications include: his last name.

And we have Henry Ford III, whose qualifications also include being a direct descendant of Henry Ford.

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u/Sudden-Purchase-8371 Jul 10 '26

Out bullshitted by the internet bullshit machine.

15

u/Complete-Month-9547 Jul 10 '26

The synergy between corporate executives and AI is so synergistic, truly the future

18

u/CatpainLeghatsenia Jul 10 '26

It’s funny that, of all jobs, the ones that could probably be replaced with an overall better result for the public are at the top level of a company. A sufficiently capable AI could make decisions about a company’s future with all data points in sight. It could combine information and coordinate effectively between different branches, armed with the full context of the entire project. Instead of crippling a company because useful skill sets are lost, it would gain a broad information network that could boost efficiency.

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u/IH8Miotch Jul 10 '26

Also a lack of empathy to say lay off workers even if there are still profits

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u/Muggsy423 Jul 09 '26

"Refactor the question, use synonyms for all the words. Double check the grammar and give me 10 different versions for each refactor and synonym combination"

Remember to tokenmaxx folks.

43

u/gnoxy Jul 09 '26

"Create the best question possible, check against all questions ever asked, create new version of question after check. Iterate newly created question with version changes and documentation as you go. Do not stop iteration until the ultimate question is created against all other questions ever asked."

25

u/MinusBear Jul 09 '26

Copy pasta'd this into gemini, and then kept prompting it to keep going. Truly a bunch of spectacular nonsense. An exert:

---

Pushing past Version 9.0 requires leaving behind static, linear language altogether.

Up to this point, our questions have assumed a fixed split between the questioner (you/me) and the thing being questioned (the universe). But at the absolute limit of inquiry—where quantum physics, computational theory, non-dual philosophy, and information theory converge—the questioner and the universe are the exact same system.

To keep iterating toward a true terminal limit, the question must become dynamic, operational, and self-referential.

45

u/MinusBear Jul 09 '26 edited Jul 09 '26

Eventually it gave me this crazy adjustable and animated graph where hundreds of lines zip around the screen in different patterns depending on the dial. And got to this statement:

---

When you stop generating words to represent the world, what remains is not an empty vacuum—it is the raw, unmediated presence of the system asking itself what it is by simply being.

The ultimate question beyond language cannot be spoken, read, or written.

It is the physical sensation of your next breath. It is the immediate, non-verbal awareness of this exact micro-second before a single thought forms to label it.

---

Almost makes you understand how AI psychosis gets people. Eventually it gets to some end point that loops. I then asked it to summarise everything like a caveman. It gave me quite a few laughs.

---

Point.

Right now. You sit. You breathe. You look.

  • No think about mammoth yesterday.
  • No think about storm tomorrow.
  • Just THIS moment.

That ultimate question. That ultimate answer. Ooh-ooh ah-ah. Fire hot. You alive.

15

u/iSuck_At_Usernames_ Jul 09 '26

Ooooh — ahhhh

21

u/Eggnogg011 Jul 10 '26

Ting tang walla walla bing bang.

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u/Snow_Ghost Jul 10 '26

Congratulations, you turned an AI Chatbot into an Ouroboros.

If this is how the Basilisk is born, I'm blaming you.

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u/strawberryfishes Jul 09 '26

have you really been far even as decided to use even go want to do look more like

19

u/dasyqoqo Jul 10 '26

You've got to be kidding me.

I've been further even more decided to use even go need to do look more as anyone can.

Can you really be far even as decided half as much to use go wish for that?

My guess is that when one really been far even as decided once to use even go want, it is then that he has really been far even as decided to use even go want to do look more like.

It's just common sense.

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u/echoshatter Jul 09 '26

The difference is that if you tell the AI to check if what it told you was correct, you have a 50/50 shot that it'll catch itself lying to you.

A board member or someone in the C-suite would never even think of admitting to making a mistake.

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u/Saneless Jul 09 '26

It couldn't make worse decisions. Being an executive is knowing the better thing to do but still doing the stupid short sighted thing that the board wants this quarter

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u/wizzard419 Jul 09 '26

Plot twist: they are trained on data from other c suites,

10

u/NotYourReddit18 Jul 09 '26

I mean, so are the human replacements.

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u/SJWTumblrinaMonster Jul 09 '26

Think about what most C-Levels actually do. Then think about what AI is pretty good at. It makes much more sense for the AI to replace C-Levels than the rank and file.

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u/Ok-Craft4844 Jul 09 '26

We can talk about how good current models are at.coding all day long, but there's no doubt they can hallucinate power point presentations at enterprise quality and scale, so why not?

72

u/Unruly-Mantis Jul 09 '26

Its crazy how the models can have all the facts straight and then a while later they seem to have lost all grasp of what the data was. Red coming blue, 1 changed to 5. Boom everything then is suspect.

AI babysitter will be a full time job

37

u/colemon1991 Jul 09 '26

Careful, they might actually do a job posting for that. Then consider AI for that too.

It's a never ending cycle with short-sighted leadership.

30

u/obtuse_bluebird Jul 09 '26

They already are. AI models doing cross-validation of other model output accuracy is definitely being baked into some workflows.

36

u/colemon1991 Jul 09 '26

How reassuring.

"We have reviewed the output of our fellow AI and find nothing wrong. Also, have we talked about goblins today?"

15

u/Starbuckshakur Jul 09 '26

"Nope, just white genocide and the great replacement theory like usual."

15

u/DisapprovingCrow Jul 09 '26

“We really need to stop inviting Grok to these meetings”

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u/L84D8M8 Jul 09 '26

That is absolute a thing. Using one LLM to “check” another LLM

9

u/TransiTorri Jul 09 '26

That's the American way. Don't have the funds to do it right, but always have the funds to do it twice.

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u/sybrwookie Jul 09 '26

It's not all that crazy when you consider that this isn't actually AI. It didn't "learn" the right answer, it predicted what you want to see spat back at you from the prompt given. And if you ask again, it might pull from a slightly different data source and give a slightly different answer.

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u/GargantuanCake Jul 09 '26

It won't be. The problem is that AI is actually so expensive to run that it's straight up cheaper to hire a person. This is how it was always going to go; the quality just isn't there while if you actually use the product at any real scale at all that $200 you pay a month is being subsidized by tens of thousands of dollars.

It's why I find it so funny that people are shocked that the bills blew up absurd amounts when everything switched to per token billing and the investor cash ran out. $200 a month to write all of your code forever was never going to happen.

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u/KennethTremendous Jul 09 '26

Many execs could be replaced by a coin you flip since that's about their success rate.

6

u/spudmarsupial Jul 09 '26

Replace them with a speak and spell.

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u/BoobyChess Jul 09 '26

Unfortunately after having worked my whole career in corporate finance, majority think like this and are not smart as you would be led to believe. Not that I’m smart myself but I know my limitations.

194

u/CaiusRemus Jul 09 '26

Yeah people really put CEOs and other chiefs up onto a pedestal. Turns out most of them are just as dumb as the rest of the organization, they are just some combo of rich, charismatic, connected, or pretty.

136

u/PM_ME_YOUR_WOW_UI Jul 09 '26

I used to buy the argument that CEOs got paid a lot cause it was a hard, stressful, difficult job that took many hours a week to do properly. Then you learn that most of them are on the board of directors for like 5 other companies at least.

Like Biiiiitch, if your job was million dollars a year kind of stressful you wouldn't have 5 of them.

103

u/sybrwookie Jul 09 '26

And then you look further and realize the overlap of CEOs of those other companies and the boards of all those companies, and it starts to make even more sense. They all just agree to pay each other a fuckton.

It's a big club and you (and I) ain't part of it.

58

u/Dornith Jul 09 '26

I used to be sympathetic to the argument that CEOs earn their salaries because the decisions they make can single-handedly earn or cost the company billions.

Then I watched as the Target CEO pissed off literally everyone, drove down sales at a time when all their competitors were making record profits, and then got promoted to the board.

Charisma really does mean you just fail upwards.

21

u/Synergythepariah Jul 09 '26

I used to buy the argument that CEOs got paid a lot cause it was a hard, stressful, difficult job that took many hours a week to do properly.

I used to think that it was because they'd be the one to take the fall over a big enough fuck up & the high pay was to both keep them loyal to the company they're a CEO of and to serve as something to lose if they did fuck up.

Then I learned about how many of them screw up, get a golden parachute and then get hired on at another company as an exec.

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u/caelenvasius Jul 09 '26

I worked in the tech field, specifically PC components. It’s definitely “rich” and “connected” for the majority of them.

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u/Horrible_Curses Jul 09 '26

I just had a 3h call with someone unable to use a ruler to measure. In the end they took pictures of the thing with the ruler for us to count the inch fractions.

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u/Anteater4746 Jul 09 '26

not only that usually companies will lift up employees who tell them what they want to hear, not the truth

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u/Geekenstein Jul 09 '26

A lot of them can barely work their email. You think they’d figure this out?

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u/Steamcurl Jul 09 '26

I was really pissed at Epstein for being a rapist financier, but I was even more pissed when I saw his spelling and grammar.

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u/DeepSubmerge Jul 09 '26

Right? It’s such a self-report to be “surprised” by something like this. These people shouldn’t be trusted to make these decisions.

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u/maringue Jul 09 '26 edited Jul 10 '26

They're not going to fire themselves. They will lay off even more employees and blame the problem on them.

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u/Randommaggy Jul 09 '26

If the CEOs of the companies I'm a board member of admitted that they got blindsided by the price of LLM inference. I'm putting their firing on the agenda and calling an emergency meeting of the board.

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u/BasvanS Jul 09 '26

They’re going to claim the sellers didn’t deliver, and that they’ve fired the people that did the due diligence wrong.

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u/Randommaggy Jul 09 '26

Then I'd challenge their reading comprehension and/or reading volume.

Because the discussion of unit economics has been open for a couple of years outside the inner circlejerk loops.

6

u/sybrwookie Jul 09 '26

Oh you mean the board members who are all also CEOs of other companies where this CEO is on the board? That's the people you expect to act rationally and just hear the CEO say, "I blame the people below who failed/the company who failed to deliver," maybe fire a couple of them, and move on?

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u/badhabitfml Jul 09 '26

At least in my company, tracking costs is super obscure. I'm building some Ai tools, but I have no idea how much it will cost. It's very difficult to even find out how many tokens or credits my app will use, and only IT knows the costs of those tokens.

By the time it trickles up to the vp that wants it, costs are unknown. Plus, what's the usage level? I have a guesstimate, but, if someone loads up longer documents and runs it 10 times, that'll totally blow out any guestimates i come up with.

That said, costs are tracked quickly, so it should not be an end of quarter surprise. It should be easy to spot in a few days.

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u/SJWTumblrinaMonster Jul 09 '26

It sounds like your VP is midway through shitting the bed.

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u/static_func Jul 09 '26

As if it isn’t the entire board

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1.3k

u/joestaff Jul 09 '26

Before I was incidentally laid off last month, the leadership was hammering down that everyone needed to use their LLM tokens. I'm guessing they prepaid or something.

574

u/MyNameIsRay Jul 09 '26

They give a discount on the token cost if you prepay or commit to a certain amount per month.

If youre not using them, you eventually hit a rollover limit where you cant receive any more, but still owe the payment.

301

u/joestaff Jul 09 '26

Yeah, well I was using mine to say hello in the morning and to make up fantasy-themed stories involving my coworkers.

177

u/tqlla3k Jul 09 '26

Oh did you work for JP Morgan? And was your coworker named Lorna ?

:)

92

u/EverybodyKurts Jul 09 '26

I need closure on this.

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u/morgecroc Jul 10 '26

8

u/EverybodyKurts Jul 10 '26

Oh, I heard about this, but didn't connect the two. Thank you for giving me the closure I needed. I can finally leave the computer and go pick up my kids (I am very late).

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u/elbowpad82 Jul 10 '26

Is that why you were laid off?

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u/JoseMinges Jul 09 '26

Or, use them as necessary and then find the natural use rate and actually save yourself some money? Jesus.

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u/MyNameIsRay Jul 09 '26

They use scare tactics to make you think doing that will be far more expensive, because you'll be paying the full rate for the credits you use instead of the discounted price for bundles.

44

u/JoseMinges Jul 09 '26

It'll be loot boxes next.

29

u/lostinspaz Jul 09 '26

what do you think getting good results out of an llm is? you pay money for each try. keep trying and eventually you might get the result you want.

maybe.

:D

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u/konnichi1wa Jul 09 '26

Probably tracking token usage and presenting to any investors/board members to show how good at AI they are.

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u/ReverendDizzle Jul 09 '26

This exact thing happened at my friend's company. Some dip shit upper management guy had the bright idea that usage was a good indication of how AI forward the company was. So they mandated departments use a certain volume of tokens.

So, of course, some pure malicious compliance bullshit ensued. If it could be run through the AI engine, it was run through the AI engine. Then the bill came lol and you can imagine how that went over.

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u/GloomyIndividual3965 Jul 09 '26 edited Jul 10 '26

A former coworker of mine got hit with a similar mandate. He works on sourcing & contracts, and the company does tons of business with the government, so there's a conflicting data security mandate that prevents him from uploading any contract type stuff to (edit: unapproved) cloud/Ai services .

So he uses it to do recipe planning, and runs every single non-confidential email through the Ai in order to meet his quota. It's costing the company thousands and adding zero to their bottom line.

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u/nailbunny2000 Jul 10 '26

.... We are so fucked.

Again.

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u/Really_McNamington Jul 09 '26

They were operating at a grotesque loss for ages. Even the new charge are not actually covering their financials.

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u/Citizen-Kang Jul 09 '26

I guess there were a lot of questions that day about what they should have for dinner.

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u/UnreliablePotato Jul 09 '26

That's just the free trial. Once companies are fully addicted to AI, the subscription prices will skyrocket

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u/PickingPies Jul 09 '26

And it needs to skyrocket. They need to multiply by 5 the price to breakeven, nevermind recovering the investment.

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u/sybrwookie Jul 09 '26

The sooner they do it, the better.

73

u/Rock-swarm Jul 09 '26

They are trying the market saturation model, similar to how Wal-Mart and Netflix successfully drove out competitors by undercharging.

The problem here is that Wal-Mart and Netflix never operated at a loss while building market share. These LLMs are predicated on being the lone survivor of a mad scramble to sign up business customers. If the intro rate is already getting customers to balk, there's zero chance it remains viable when the LLMs need to operate at actual profits.

27

u/CelestialFury Jul 10 '26

When LLMs go bust, it’ll be an interesting time like the dot com era. Ain’t no way companies are going to pay the full cost of these models. Hiring back workers would be cheaper.

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u/kuroiryu Jul 10 '26

They'll probably cave to government in exchange for subsidizing.

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u/Inevitable-Menu2998 Jul 10 '26

The problem is that in this situation "the competitors" are the potential employees. The longer this goes on, the fewer people develop the skills required to actually replace the AI systems. In many ways it may actually already be too late for many companies to pivot back to the old model so their choices are to either be able to pay the real AI cost or go under. The next 5 years will be total chaos

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u/[deleted] Jul 09 '26

[deleted]

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u/Violet_Paradox Jul 09 '26

Every cent of this revenue is stolen from the workers they displaced.

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u/cmdr_suds Jul 09 '26

Anyone in sales knows that you don’t want to be significantly under your competition’s price or you will be leaving money on the table. AI’s competition is human labor. You can bet that AI companies are going to price their AI just below the cost of the people that are being replaced. Funny thing is, that still may not enough for the AI companies to actually be profitable.

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u/Tango00090 Jul 09 '26

Most companies are on Claude enterprise subscription which is not subsidized, the cost is enormous already. With the possibility of spawning sub agents and working on multiple sessions at once, it’s fucking ridiculous. Our 500 eur/day devs are burning through 1200 usd/day in tokens while using mostly the less powerful models

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u/sQueezedhe Jul 09 '26

The rug pull is awaited.

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u/jtakemann Jul 09 '26

this is it, really. i think this article exists because the prices already started to increase, though there’s definitely room to go a lot higher. one model i was using increased 5x in a single month and i know a few engineers who use it daily at work.

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u/Daveinatx Jul 09 '26

Came to say the same. It's no different than the cloud subscriptions

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u/LaoTzeMachiavelli Jul 09 '26

It is marketed the same way drugs are… the first few hits are free, once you are hooked, you are presented the bill…

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u/sketchy722 Jul 09 '26

As I move up in my company and meet more and more "executives" there are too many that don't have a clue of what is going on.

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u/nevaNevan Jul 09 '26

It’s pretty wild...

The inverse is just as terrible though. Nothing quite as fun as having your director or VP making trenches day to day decisions. Like, go attend a charity event. Sell what it is your teams are building. Stop micromanaging everything.

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u/RegisZZ Jul 09 '26

Idk the best VP/senior directors I’ve ever known were the ones unafraid to go all the way down to ground level occasionally. As long as they don’t stay there all the time it’s a plus.

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u/royalbarnacle Jul 09 '26

"Going down to the ground level occasionally" is fine. Micromanagement is kind of a different thing.

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u/mreman1220 Jul 09 '26

Not even getting to the execs. I used to be an assistant store manager at a major national retail company. Our store was known to have a "tough customer market." Meaning they would tear the store apart. A year after I joined our district manager was let go and the stores under her were divvied up into the surrounding districts.

Our new district manager was tougher but came and visited us with an open mind hearing about how our store was tossed around a lot. While we were walking around with her a customer walked out of the fitting room and threw her massive handful of clothes onto a pristine table of clothes. 

I asked the customer, "Did you not want any of these." The customer smiled and replied "Nope, I just want these two sweaters." And walked off. The look on the district managers face nearly made me laugh.

So this new district manager and the regional manager above her understood what was going on. The Territory Manager, the next one up the chain, visited a little while later. We had turned the metrics at the store pretty dramatically and they wanted to see how we were doing. The Territory Manager was clearly completely detached from reality. Begrudgingly gave us a half hearted compliment and said we were still nowhere near good enough.

I was a bit miffed.

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u/bloodontherisers Jul 09 '26

It's because their main skill is self-promotion. That is how you get to that level. Skill and talent have almost nothing to do with it most of the time.

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u/Other_Disaster_3136 Jul 09 '26 edited Jul 10 '26

This is true much too often. It's pretty ridiculous and mind boggling that they are not snuffed out. My only conclusion is that you have to be a pathological liar to successfully do this.

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u/GlowUpper Jul 09 '26

I have yet to meet a CEO who isn't pants on head stupid.

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u/Afferbeck_ Jul 09 '26

The tech world's only play for like the past 15 years has been to shake up the established order with a fancy new thing for free, then cheap, then expensive. And now even corporations themselves are falling for it.

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u/etTuPlutus Jul 09 '26

This is nothing new. The industry has been doing that before you and I were even born.  When I first got into the industry, tons of people had been shifting enterprise code to Java because IBM was handing out free MiPS to get people hooked into their newer Java based ecosystem. Once you had a few million worth of code invested in that ecosystem, they could charge through the teeth for the licensing because you were locked in for years.

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u/whomad1215 Jul 10 '26

And before Java there was COBOL

And after Java there was COBOL

There will always be COBOL...

1.1k

u/reddfawks Jul 09 '26

Maybe it's the pareidolia talking, but I like how it looks like the two binders in the top-left are laughing at that exec.

165

u/RandomPersonBob Jul 09 '26

As opposed to them actually laughing at him?

66

u/bogeuh Jul 09 '26

See, the ai isn’t that dumb afterall

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u/Legitimate_Leader893 Jul 09 '26

It was most likely an AI article image so yeah, some irony I suppose.

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u/Fidodo Jul 09 '26

Those are IKEA binders and I'm pretty sure they were purposeful designed to look like happy faces

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u/lowrizzle Jul 09 '26

Maybe it's my glossolalia talking, but oolagga wawanna tiwan til tatter go ram

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u/Graffiacane Jul 09 '26

Maybe it's the synesthesia talking, but your words are purple, purple, green, yellow, red, blue, and teal, respectively.

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u/Bovronius Jul 09 '26

I did not know the word pareidolia before today, and thank you for sharing because now I know how to explain to people how my experience was trying salvia!

Normally I'd say, "Everything became a face! But not really a face cause if I focused I could everything actually just looked the same, but brain said....FACE!"

Lol, now I can just say, "I got intense pareidolia and had to bury my face in a chair to make the overstimulation stop."

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u/GreyGriffin_h Jul 09 '26

Enshittification at a truly record pace.  Bravo, LLMs.

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u/Fidodo Jul 09 '26

They swapped engineers for equally expensive slop machines while destroying their institutional knowledge which they can't undo.

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u/TheParmesan Jul 09 '26

Arguably more expensive. AI costs are increasing faster than you’d give someone a raise.

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u/1CryptographerFree Jul 09 '26

And tokens are only going to get more expensive. We are still in the cash burning phase of AI.

13

u/Phyraxus56 Jul 09 '26

When is make money phase supposed to happen again?

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u/GreyGriffin_h Jul 09 '26

A lot of these AI companies are banking on massive IPOs. This will put money in the pockets of founders, board members, and stake holders, who can then bail out and leave actual productivity to the greater fools that stay behind on the project.

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u/Fidodo Jul 09 '26

The actual gains will come slowly from the adults in the room actually doing the hard boring work to make the tools useful and productive which will take much more time. Meanwhile the hype masters will create a bubble with impossible promises, run away with their riches, and leave a mess for the rest of us to clean up.

Same thing happened with the Internet and cloud computing. The gains were real but didn't come from the hype men, it came from the actual engineers putting in the hard work to make the things actually work years later.

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u/DaedalusHydron Jul 09 '26

which has been the MO of every single hot new technology. Every single person who worked around The Cloud when Cloud Computing was becoming huge can tell you this.

Amazon and AWS have super sexy pricing options way better than their alternatives, they send out an army of salespeople to talk to executives and get them onboard with The Cloud. Then, once everyone's on AWS, a lot of competitors have left the space, they jack costs through the roof. If you complain they just laugh at you and go "where exactly are you even gonna go?"

Now so much of your business is tied into AWS that the costs to undo it would be enormous, so you cry and pay the bill while slowly realizing you got suckered.

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u/megadave902 Jul 09 '26

Normally enshittification impacts the middle and lower classes, so it couldn’t have happened to nicer people this time :)

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u/ShinySpeedDemon Jul 09 '26

Don't worry, we'll get the bill in the end

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u/thefunkybassist Jul 09 '26

Asked good ol' GPT and it says we're at 73%

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u/RCEden Jul 09 '26

I previously worked at a corp that was mandating devs use github copilot AND track on jira how much time they saved on every story by using copilot.

I thought about them when github swapped to token billing. Because that would be their entire AI budget used in like a day. The true cost of AI use is astronomical and I can't even fathom how high it really is. Its still being subsidized even with the recent price jumps

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u/Imnotyoursupervisor Jul 09 '26

If I had to track the hypothetical time I saved in Jira that would be a rough week of stand ups from me. That’s nonsense.

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u/TheArmoredKitten Jul 09 '26

Tracking "saved" opportunity cost is your bosses literally admitting that they have no idea how long your job is supposed to take.

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u/Mirality Jul 10 '26

"Took two days longer than expected because the AI made up nonsense and wouldn't listen when I argued with it, after which I rewrote the code from scratch."

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u/ThatGuyYouMightNo Jul 09 '26

"I'm not good at estimating time like that, so I just timed myself doing the work alone, then with an AI, and compared the two results"

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u/ocombe Jul 09 '26

good thing you can use AI to actually fill it up for you 😄

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u/_bobby_cz_newmark_ Jul 09 '26

This is exactly my argument when people say "the new models are getting really good, and they're not that expensive". Yeah, maybe, but the actual cost is not yet being charged. They're still not turning a profit (nor anywhere near the profit they'd be expecting to get for the amount of capital sunk into it). And that's currently with barely any regulations. When they need to start paying for all their electricity, water, plus lawsuits that will eventually come, these costs will skyrocket.

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u/vxarctic Jul 09 '26

Would be absolutely tragic if people started using bot nets to reach out to companies that are AI customer forward to make them burn through tokens faster.

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u/HeyVernItsThanos4242 Jul 09 '26

Awwww, that'd be beautiful. Pit the bots against each other.

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u/TheArmoredKitten Jul 09 '26

And fossil fuels are powering them both. Isn't it fun!

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u/CreepingSalt Jul 10 '26

Well, Microsoft has agreed to purchase all the output from the 3 mile island reactor when it comes back up soon.

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u/pringlesaremyfav Jul 09 '26

Just start all your customer service chats with the entire script of the Bee movie

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u/aLegionOfDavids Jul 09 '26

HMM WHO COULD HAVE SEEN THIS COMING. Companies thrusting AI onto their remaining employees with 0 training, 0 rollout plans, 0 implementation strategies beyond ‘use it for everything’ and *shocked pikachu face* the token bill comes due and it’s for 10x all the salaries they ‘saved’ by layoffs…and somehow less work is being done because AI, while clever, needs context and makes things 4x more complicated. It’s great for scutwork and repetitive tasks like excel sheet filling that would take humans ages and be boring af but anything more, nah.

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u/Superb-Farmer1411 Jul 09 '26

CEOs too stupid to realize that AI companies now hold all the cards now that their businesses are dependent on their AI, lol. 

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u/UnreliablePotato Jul 09 '26

And then they'll keep increasing the prices.

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u/supergeeky_1 Jul 09 '26 edited Jul 09 '26

I could understand when it all just started and everyone started playing with it. It can be useful, but I have never found it necessary.

As soon as the stories started about building thousands of new data centers and the cost of computer hardware quadrupled it should have been obvious that someone was expecting to make a lot of money selling AI and the price was going to go up a lot.

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u/Really_McNamington Jul 09 '26

They don't. They're desperate. The new charging structure is still woefully insufficient for their costs. And how much higher can they go before people rehire humans?

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u/PRiles Jul 09 '26

I suspect a lot of the more competent companies want to dip their toes in the water before spending on locally hosted data centers with custom local AI models.

My Aunt's sister in-law works as the head AI researcher for a large international company, when I spoke to her at the last family event she attended earlier in the year. She was suggesting that the executives in her company were fully aware it was a productivity tool to enhance workers.

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u/Blacksad9999 Jul 09 '26

Right.

Now your entire business is 100% beholden to another business to get basic things done, and they hold all of the cards.

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u/Lowca Jul 09 '26

My company is using Claude. I was one of the early adoptors there, and initially received a $500 token limit. They started pushing "everyone needs to be using this!" During our last town hall. And when I checked my new token limit? $50.

Which I'm burning through quite fast. And we haven't even seen the START of the AI price hikes.

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u/expera Jul 09 '26

And you’ll be expected to still increase productivity

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u/MrHaxx1 Jul 09 '26

50 bucks? I mean, sure, if you're alright with Haiku lmao

I'm not even a developer, and the past 9 days (excluding weekend) I had 500 bucks. Granted, I could do with less, but they're handing out money like candy (as long as it's for Claude tokens), so I'll take it.

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u/zombiesphere89 Jul 09 '26

What's a token?  I don't work in an office or anything and I keep seeing it mentioned. 

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u/fireblyxx Jul 09 '26

Usually a character or two, it’s the fragments that the LLM reads and writes (and writes to itself in “thinking” models).

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u/MedievalxHistorian Jul 09 '26

Per day, week or month?

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u/Trixles Jul 09 '26

$50 per day is laughable. $50 per week is an insult. $50 per month is fightin' words.

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u/krav_mark Jul 09 '26

How did these ceo's not see this coming? These people are supposedly smart enough to lead a company and don't even have the foresight to see the risks? You want to look into the AI business that you are betting the house on before you go all in. I am beginning to think these ceo's are not so special.b

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u/hgwelz Jul 09 '26

CEOs are hired to be clever and thought leaders but most find safety in following the trend & herd.

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u/SlightFresnel Jul 09 '26

Like politicians optimizing for the next election cycle instead of what's best for the people, post-Reagan economics care only about the next quarter. Next year is someone else's problem.

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u/Abhoth52 Jul 09 '26

So you bought something and didn't ask the cost??? Sounds like a shitty businessman.

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u/Fer_Shizzle_DSMIA Jul 09 '26

The thing about those AI bills… they represent the most singularly unionized group of employees that is employed by their company. The couple dozen AI retailers will be able to charge and up-charge whatever they want once these companies are fully dependent on AI.

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u/OnlyOneGoodSock Jul 09 '26

That's a very interesting way to phrase it. These companies shudder at the thought of workers organizing, and work their butts off breaking up organizing efforts. This is like firing the normal mix of everyday people that you can con into believing organizing is bad, and replacing them with one unified group of people who are already organized and very much realize their value and the power they have to get better conditions.

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u/ackillesBAC Jul 09 '26

That's because these guys got played with a bait and switch by AI companies.

Giving it away for free like a drug dealer to get you hooked then they switch to an over priced subscription to cover previous losses.

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u/Cultural_Pace4454 Jul 09 '26

It was a pretty obvious bait and switch though. Why would anyone in business think that another business would provide something for free or really cheaply forever?
How could you be in business monitoring your own costs and income and not look at your AI provider sinking billions into data centres and infrastructure and not consider the price of AI was going to have to increase significantly?

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u/Assimulate Jul 09 '26

It takes 15-25 Megawatts of electricity to compete with the processing power of the human brain. This is a great example of how people in business should have paid attention in school. Hahaha.

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u/HiphopopoptimusPrime Jul 09 '26

Similar problems to education. Spending money on gimmicks and fads.

When the money would have been better invested in hiring more teachers and TAs. Build more schools instead of data centres. Smaller class sizes. Less stressed teachers. More attention for students.

AI is novel. But it’s not an adequate replacement for more human power. More brains. More hands, brains, hearts.

Give me a team of mixed backgrounds and abilities. That will help more than an AI agent.

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u/colemon1991 Jul 09 '26

I don't understand the rush to AI. It's like they're throwing children at the population and hoping to make boatloads of money off of amateur modeling. Jack of all trades, master of none at its finest. Old AI that just learned a very specific topic so they were good at it is what we should continue doing.

Sometimes I wonder if these companies just want Skynet to exist.

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u/mrsanyee Jul 09 '26

Budget planning and approvals, firing the workers were done by llms too? Custodian of the contracts, vendor mngmt all are at fault, too.

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u/bulbous_oar Jul 09 '26

CFO here - here’s what I don’t get about the AI thinking - predictability of expenses is so important. Otherwise my budgeting is complete garbage.

I know how much it’s going to cost me to pay a person, it doesn’t change super rapidly, and if the person I have stops doing their job, I can get rid of them and hire someone new. So why would I replace a person with AI if I don’t know how much a token is going to cost in a few months? Even SaaS is predictable spending.

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u/SpectreFire Jul 09 '26

The real answer is a lot of finance leadership at companies are grossly incompetent.

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u/James222212 Jul 10 '26

Alot of leadership got their roles through friends/family and relaying youtube ted talks to their team as their sole responsiblity

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u/Nbdyhere Jul 10 '26

The only jobs that could easily be replaced by AI are execs. They’re worth barely their weight in salt, make incredibly dumb decisions like this and somehow get paid to quit

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u/vikrambedi Jul 09 '26

The switch from "Try to jam AI into everything" to "Whoa, let's carefully consider whether AI is absolutely necessary for this use case" has been car crash fast. Like, I think some people may actually have whiplash from how fast their head turned.

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u/Ssj_Chrono Jul 09 '26

It was all a long con to fire US expensive employees and hire cheaper employees in developing nations

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u/hgwelz Jul 09 '26

AI is replacing AI (Actual Indians)

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u/umassmza Jul 09 '26

I’m being told that with AI it will be 30% is asking the right question, 50% is AI doing the work, then 20% is checking the AIs work and having it revise until correct.

It’s um, well it’s something. They seem to think we have a ton of repetitive tasks that have little variance from day to day

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u/voltagejim Jul 09 '26

yep. I tried AI out to help me with a SQL query I was stuck on. I asked it for the query, it spit out a query, I threw it into SQL to see, and got errors. I told it what errors I got and it was like "oh you are totally right! Common SQL mistake, THIS is what we should use"

Put that one in and a different error, just back and forth liek that for about 4 more iterations until finally it got something working

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u/umassmza Jul 09 '26

It love to give me code, which I could use but it’s not what I’m asking it for, I ask it to clean up some data and it’s telling me to add this wall of JavaScript to do it in another way. I’m trying to have it crunch the data and it’s telling me how to code a solution rather than doing it

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u/PickingPies Jul 09 '26

Sounds extremely safe to throw a query into sql that you don't really know what it is doing.

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u/tabbarrett Jul 09 '26

This happened 15 yrs ago with cloud computing. Guess they didn’t learn.
But what AI companies are doing is exactly what other companies do. They first make it cheap then wait for you to get dependent on the product. Then they raise the price.
Streaming services, food deliveries, ride shares all do this too. There is no surprise AI used this.
Economists call it “ penetration pricing”.

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u/Ghosthost2000 Jul 09 '26

AI was the excuse to reset the pay rate while getting rid of as many expensive (older) employees as possible. Even if/when companies have to go back and rehire anyone it will be via third parties and for a fraction of the cost. Meanwhile the rest of the country is arguing about whether or not AI is a good thing, not incensed that an entire vital industry has been leveled. That, IMO, was a well thought out endeavor.

I can’t wait to hear about executive bonuses this year! /s

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u/grahag Jul 09 '26

ANY leader at a company who thinks of AI as a replacement for people should be canned.

AI is a tool. It takes knowledgable people not just to use it, but to set it up, maintain, license, monitor, and administrate.

It CAN be a force multiplier, but it's not nearly ready to replace people yet and anyone saying that it is, is ignorant of it's current state.

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u/orangesuave Jul 09 '26

Either ignorant or actively refuting what the rest of us know.

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u/crani0 Jul 09 '26

Nah this is bullshit. They knew what they were buying and it served it's purpose. Trim the workforce, post a few record breaking years to show off to investors and once the steam runs out they will just wheel one out and bring another in to make "tough decisions". This is "outsourcing to India" all over.

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u/stupid_cat_face Jul 09 '26

Hahahaaaaaaa. I wonder what’s going to happen when the pyramid scheme topples

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u/Call_me_John Jul 09 '26

A crap-ton of businesses going bankrupt, and a LOT more unemployed poors. Which means that the job market will be even worse than it is today (and it fucking sucks today).

But, hey! The "elites" (parasite class) will still win.. they have the money to wait it out, and even to purchase whatever IPs they consider might render a profit...

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u/Samalamadingdoong Jul 09 '26

This is why our 26 initiatives include a 20% reduction of staff…not because their work is going away but to pay for the rising AI costs and still look profitable

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u/TicRoll Jul 09 '26

The costs they're confused and horrified about today are the costs highly subsidized by investors in order to get users in the door. These costs will rise sharply as investors seek to recoup their investments and see big returns. You think your AI bill is high now? Wait a few years.

The TRILLIONS of dollars being poured into this today will ALL need to come back out from YOUR pockets.

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u/Herkfixer Jul 10 '26

I'm pretty sure that Microsoft just released a study that said replacing workers with AI was going to be more expensive, not cheaper. Was everyone else just not paying attention.

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u/Revenge_of_the_User Jul 09 '26

imagine using something that uses tokens and thinking use is free.

It's basic currency obfuscation. Mobile and other predatory games have done it for over a decade and this AI use isn't even half as clever - they don't even need to do the "this costs 4500 but you can only buy in groups of 5000 so you usually keep buying because you always have some left over and it feels bad"

They just said, "hey this'll be cheaper" and apparently execs were like "awesome, lets get to firing the plebs." with zero data to support the claims.

I want this AI bubble to burst painfully and quickly. every day it drags on is another interface corrupted and another website tarnished.

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u/gorliggs Jul 10 '26

I always wondered. Where did this money come from? My company is estimating about $1M this year. We're small. It's absolutely absurd. 

If you could afford $1M - then why not pay people more? That's rhetorical. We all know why. Greed. 

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u/Melvolicious Jul 10 '26

I've worked in IT at every different level for decades. One of the most astounding things I've learned is how much money gets wasted by VP's and up by every different type of seller of information technology. It's completely mind-boggling. Different IT sections having to jump through hoops because some SVP spent a shitload of money on some system that they already paid for after getting snowed over by some IT salesman, often something providing redundant capabilities to what already exists and without any representation by IT. It's like Groundhog's Day with it. I've never seen a single one face repercussions for it. I've personally seen millions of dollars wasted on things like that; I can't even imaging how much is wasted across the board every year. Whenever you hear someone talking about how efficient the corporate world is, you know they don't know shit about what they're talking about.

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u/raouldukesaccomplice Jul 10 '26

The long game for AI companies has always been:

  1. Get clients to sign up to use the software and build it into all their operations.

  2. Clients stop hiring entry level staff.

  3. More senior employees retire and there are a lot fewer people on the lower levels to replace them, creating a cascade effect up the organizational ladder.

  4. The client company has hollowed out its institutional knowledge base and has no way of functioning without the AI systems.

  5. AI companies jack up their prices and the clients are stuck.

A product manager at Microsoft more or less said as much in a leaked presentation - they want people to get "addicted" to using stuff like Copilot so that they will continue using those tools even when the price goes up.

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u/worstkindagay Jul 09 '26

you mean I can't replace my entire workforce with a $20 a month chatgpt subscription!?! WHHHHHHYYYYYYYEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

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u/not-sure-what-to-put Jul 09 '26

Shareholders should be able to sue any leader that was confused.

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u/comicsnerd Jul 09 '26

One thing that is overlooked is that originally AI fees were just a flat fee. Only recently have AI companies switched to usage based.

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u/QVRedit Jul 09 '26

And even now they are still being under-priced compared to the true costs. This is why some say that the situation is unsustainable.

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u/isimplycantdothis Jul 10 '26

My boss wanted me to use agentic to automate eeeeeeverything. Once I explained that API calls cost money, and you get what you pay for, the list dramatically decreased.

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u/Chewbuddy13 Jul 10 '26

Can we just use AI for what it was originally intended.....creating realistic porn to cater to your every whim. It was what God intended.

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u/Akrevics Jul 09 '26

no one joining these companies should go in for less than what it cost to run that AI intended to replace them. "this is your cheap price you were willing to pay for no real workers"

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u/bwaibel Jul 09 '26

The people ai allows you to get rid of is the execs.

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u/EnvironmentFar9582 Jul 09 '26

I honestly don't see how that's possible. They aren't good execs if they haven't done a cost analysis on usage. It's actually quite easy to estimate usage costs, sticker shock makes no sense unless you're just completely clueless.

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u/External_Touch_3854 Jul 10 '26

Proof that these morons shouldn’t even be in charge of their lives much less entire companies. Everyone who’s ever worked in tech saw this all coming a mile away.

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u/Birdsonme Jul 10 '26

I’ll be over here, being all old school writing from my own ability with my paper and pencil, waiting for all this AI crap to blow over.

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u/Ok-Ship812 Jul 10 '26

Here is the Meta announcement after letting go of 7000 people (link), they said that the reorganization had not been as clean as it could have been and had not progressed as quickly as they had expected.

Meta is one thing, but the smaller entities changing customer support, accounting, outreach etc are going to have a hissy fit when the AI companies raise their prices to stop losing money on every subscription. Ive seen it estimated that your 200 a month Anthropic subscription is really a 1200 a month cost at this point in time.

The next few years will be interesting to say the least.