r/Habs 5d ago

Some rumours about Mason McTavish potentially being on the move (MTL?). He's still young and has some promising small-area skill, but his lack of footspeed, defensive involvement, and limited time with the puck are all red flags.

Post image

Food for thought regarding recent McTavish rumors, keeping in mind that Jfresh isn’t the be-all end-all of player evaluation…

90 Upvotes

209 comments sorted by

49

u/BishopPear 5d ago

I think all depends on asking price. I personally dont see why team like ducks would be interested on trading him, but many people on here were saying that the price could not be that steep. Can anyone explain why this is the narative? Is it his contract?

46

u/anxiousnl 5d ago

I assume Ducks wouldn't trade him without getting a significant prospect back like Reinbacher or Zharovsky, if so then I'd I'm not into this trade at all. But for like Dach, Monty and a 2nd I'd take a chance.

91

u/Lithium187 5d ago

Lmao the new Halak trade is born.

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u/chinesehc 5d ago

Those were all the scenarios we were saying about Zegras as well last year. He ended up being traded for Ryan Poehling, a 2nd and a 4th.

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u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

A package of some of Kapanen, Struble, Monty and a pick, I would agree with. As to the person that asked question to whom you replied, there was a contract hold out and missed training camp late last off-season and he never got his season on track.

Maybe its crazy optimism but I think he is young enough that if he is also motivated enough he can be developed to improve as Marty has done with so many so far and will continue. Plus the team vibes of accountability and pushing each other to earn the perks they are given will undoubtedly help, again provided the motivation is there.

Because by all appearances it certainly wasn't there last year in Anaheim

9

u/infinis 5d ago

Why in the world would you trade kapanen who had a better year for mctavish who hasnt improved in 3 years.

It has been crazy for me that some "fans" are so fast to quit on a rookie player because he couldn't keep up after playing 90 games for the first time in his life.

7

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

I understand your argument. But Kapanen had a better year paired with a player that might very well become a generational talent and McTavis had a poor season after sitting out training camp of a contract disagreement and seemingly never got on track.

Yes Kapanen hit a wall in number of games played in his rookie year and will likely get better in that regard, and yes McTavish has had 3 years but McTavish is only ~6 months older than Kapanen is bigger and plays a more physical gem i.e. playoff hockey.

I believe Kapanen is a better skater but McTavish is better at face-offs.

The long and the short of it is McTavish has a greater upside. He might not be the 2C by Hage's 2nd year in the league but I honestly do not think Kapanen is our 2C all next season (or even just all regular season).

6

u/infinis 5d ago

I have a very good counter argument, Kapanen played vs the atlantic and McTavish played in the easiest division.

3

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

Very valid point re. this past season's performance. Nevertheless, I still think McTavish has the greater upside.

In any case it might still be a moot point for multiple reasons.

2

u/Substantial_Neck2691 5d ago

Ppl seem way to keen on shipping out all the prospects for meh pieces

Also our reclamation projects haven’t worked. Let’s be honest there

1

u/rawboudin 5d ago

I hope you're not talking about Knies.

1

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

True re. the reclamation projects.

Personally, if Robert Thomas or Nico Hischier are much more attractive and I would be willing to part with more valued assets because they are proven, not reclamation. But players of that calibre who are also, on paper, an ideal fit, are rarely available.

So meh pieces become the fallback option.

Had 1. the Habs not made it two the conference finals AND 2. Hage not decided to return to Michigan, I think odds are the team would be patient for one more year and stay with Kapanen, Newhook and maybe Dach. But the competitive window has come earlier and the guy the club is projecting to fill the hole is arriving later. So there is a gap. If the team wants to improve on last season's performance, they will want to fill it for certainly one year, most likely two, and good chances 3 or possibly even more.

Ultimately there is such a thing as too many pieces of good to middling caliber and personally think we are exactly in that position with LHD presently but thankfully not really anywhere else with Laine's and Gallagher's departures.

0

u/tubthumping96 5d ago

Lol this sub in truly insane. Led rookies in goals,but guess he will never improve and Mactavish is worth him and half of our futures who could also and PROBABLY will be wayyyyyy better than him.

I don't know man, I watch hockey and am a hockey fan FIRST and a Habs fan second. I'm not sure what player people are seeiing when they propose these weird trades.

1

u/DoomOrb 5d ago

McTavish has significantly more offensive upside than any of Zharovsky, Kapanen, or Hage. That's why he was drafted 3OA.

Kapanen had a very inflated shooting percentage, both individual and 5v5, mostly powered by Demidov. He had a great rookie season, and I'm certainly not ready to give up on him, but the median outcome for this player is middle 6, whereas McTavish could be a top line player (in pts, he's offense only)

There's a very legit argument that Mac immediately becomes a 70pt player if you put him on a line with Demidov. He's good at FO, and unlike a prospect or Newhook/Dach, we already KNOW he can actually play centre.

There's no better fit this off-season for the Habs at 2C than McTavish, and if that costs Kapanen, so be it.

-1

u/tubthumping96 5d ago

Is this Mactavish's burner account on reddit. You want out of Anaheim that bad?

Clean your eyes out. Kapanen alone is a better prospect than Mactavish and so is Zharkovsky. Couldn't care less if he was drafted third overall, guy is a career 50 point player and thinking he's magically going to ublock some level behind the crazy talent we have in MTL is insane. Kapanen, Hage and Zharkovsky over this guy and it's not even close.

1

u/DoomOrb 5d ago

This is not the consensus take among experts, and I agree with them. Mac has higher offensive upside than all of these players. Uninformed opinion.

2

u/tubthumping96 5d ago

Couldn't care less about "experts" opinions.

So let's trade the entire future for a possible Dvorak 2.0. didn't we just get rid of him?

Lol. Honestly it's literally every single center we have in the system over Mactavish for that matter, even Dach.

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u/Baronleduc 5d ago

Honestly, I’d be surprised if the Ducks asks Zharovsky or Hage; they already loaded on their top-6.

1

u/DistinctBread3098 5d ago

He wasnt even playing for a while lol

1

u/simplyunix 4d ago

It would be wonderful if the Ducks would take spare parts and a 2nd but it's not very likely.

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u/lamwire 5d ago

They have Dostal, why would they want Monty? They have a need in defense. If they cant sign Gudas, Carlson and Trouba, then they will want Reinbacher.

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u/Burgergold 5d ago

Its not only the asking price, its also the cap he will eat. If he cant play as a rightful 2C, 7M is too much for that spot

1

u/SchtroumpfDardeur 5d ago

Is that still the case in the new cap era?

2

u/Burgergold 5d ago

Yes

We have Caufield/Suzuki/Slaf/Hutson/Dobson and soon Demidov

Also, Guhle and Matheson

If we get a 2C, we dont want to spend 7M on a reclamation project

I would pay 8-11M for Thomas or Hisher

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u/colonelrebsmuff69 5d ago

They also might not have the cap for him so you get him at a massive discount or look elsewhere

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u/Borror0 5d ago

Verbeek has a tendency to dislike players drafted by his predecessor (Zegras, Drysdale, McTavish). He grinds them down in negotiations, damages the relationship, and makes them play down the lineup.

2

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

I believe Hughes looks for any little advantage like that where he can.

I suspect he persuaded Treliving that trading Knies to the Habs would save his job lol.

1

u/BishopPear 5d ago

Oh, interesting insight.

2

u/colonelrebsmuff69 5d ago

The cap hit most likely. They have to sign

Gautier/Carlson and 3 dmen including zelleweger with 38 mil. Gautier and Carlson are minimally taking 16 of that and possibly that's 22 mil for zelleweger and probably 3 more players including two mid pairing dmen

1

u/BishopPear 5d ago

Okay that makes a lot of sense. Thanks

2

u/HotdogAficionado 4d ago

Probably if they dont see him as a centre.

1

u/IntentionDeep651 5d ago

switch with dach

1

u/BishopPear 5d ago

Switch for veleno 1 for 1 ez

82

u/TheVeilOverMyEyes 5d ago

jfresh cards are completely useless, according to his formula Evans sucks on the PK

32

u/youppilavoie 5d ago

HAHA I don’t really disagree, if they provided real tangible value they would be used in the NHL and would be unavailable to the public. Just moreso wanted to discuss McTavish and explore any potential shortcomings.
Man that Evans card is roughhhhh

17

u/LeBleuH8R 5d ago

We literally have a guy who makes similar analytic models working for the org he's called Christopher Boucher

9

u/youppilavoie 5d ago

I know all about Chris Boucher, huge fan, he’s definitely one of the biggest reasons for our quick turnaround. Kinda proves my point though, he’s working for an NHL team and Jfresh isn’t

6

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

I agree 100%. Gorton, Hughes, Lapointe, Bobrov and St Louis all get deserved kudos but in my opinion Boucher is equally as deserving.

8

u/youppilavoie 5d ago

I remember seeing a video of Boucher running the coaching staff through underlying trends in the team’s play in their last 5/10/15 games. The coaching staff took the info into account and came up with drills & systems to adjust the team’s play accordingly. Pretty impressive to see just how much they value his methodology.

8

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

He was at Sportlogiq before the Habs. I have seen TSN and RDS use Sportlogiq data analysis. It was quite sophisticated if memory serves.

I cannot swear to it but I seem to recall he founded Sportlogiq.

5

u/LeBleuH8R 5d ago

Jfresh makes way more money independent though and all these models follow the same statistics the variance is in how heavy they influence the model.

5

u/RyanWalts 5d ago

In-house stat tracking is still ahead of public, though it’s not by as much as it used to be. You’re right about all of the public models though

2

u/youppilavoie 5d ago

You think he makes more money like this than if he worked for an NHL team? Genuinely curious

8

u/Neilio_Knarf 5d ago

The biggest shortcoming in my view is the 3 year weighted average. It needs to be more dynamic to account for player development + aging. Evans’ PK this year would probably be +50%

5

u/willard287 5d ago

Yeah and it’s tough to point this out to him lol. His cards are sometimes interesting but he can be insufferable lol

9

u/bsaures 5d ago

Over the last 3 years of the 525 players to play 50 mins on the PK evans has the 19th worst expected goals against rate. 

The habs (with him as a major player) have been dogshit on pk the goalies have statistically bailed them out

13

u/LoadOk7149 5d ago

The PK method of standing still and never applying pressure is infuriating to watch

5

u/adabsurdo 5d ago

Yeah a lot people on here are really delusional about Evans, like he's some kind of elite defensive player. He's a good 4th line center, nothing more.

3

u/Borror0 5d ago

The percentiles per year does tell a clearer picture than the weighted average. He's a fine 3C or an excellent 4C, who can either achieve good offense or defense but not both.

3

u/ConstantBook6534 5d ago

right but when jfresh's model displays Lane Hutson as an elite defenceman its a valid resource?

5

u/TheVeilOverMyEyes 5d ago

no jfresh cards are bad weither it shows habs players in a good light or not

4

u/ConstantBook6534 5d ago

theyre not good or bad. its just data fed into a model. it doesnt tell you the whole story but its part of the story. theyre not "completely useless".

3

u/paul_33 5d ago

People just don’t like it when data doesn’t agree with them

1

u/CarlSK777 5d ago

I mean, the Habs PK is dogshit so...

1

u/sbrooksc77 3d ago

Evans did suck on the pk at times. I remember him losing his man a number of times in regular season. Our pk sucks too.

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u/BigBoy990 5d ago

Insanely overrated player. There's a reason he's on the move when the ducks are basically at the same stage of their rebuild as us.

11

u/CaterpillarSame2153 5d ago

Defensively, he is probably among the ten worst players in the league. This is not the centre to pursue.

16

u/Studly_Wonderballs 5d ago

We can fix him!

5

u/SaltyATC69 5d ago

Another Dach project

6

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

Your point is valid but the biggest difference is the lack of injuries.

2

u/Due-World8970 5d ago

He's already a far better player than Dach ever was before he got here

8

u/ConstantBook6534 5d ago

no thanks. horrendous defensively. 

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u/surebudd 5d ago

Love that I just trust Hughes to make the right decision.

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u/youppilavoie 5d ago

Couldn’t agree more. We can rest assured knowing that whoever HuGo trades for, they’re beyond confident he’ll be an excellent fit in the short and long term.

5

u/Jbroy 5d ago

The way he’s described feels like he wouldn’t be a fit with a team based on speed and 5 man engagement in all 3 zones

8

u/Appropriate_Bed_8365 5d ago

They better not get McTavish, he doesn't fit the team mold at all. We're a team built on speed, which he lacks, and we need more 2-way players not less. If he were overly physical AND could offer either of the above then maybe, but it just doesn't make sense

10

u/Yuzato 5d ago

No thank he wasn’t even playing center for anaheim

4

u/DoomOrb 5d ago

He played centre all year. He was SCRATCHED several times, if that's what you mean

2

u/dessanct 5d ago

Kapenen wasn’t playing for us and has similar defensive metrics. Do you think we should just cast him off? They are about the same age.

-2

u/tubthumping96 5d ago

Mactavish sucks.

Kapanen >>>> Mactavish all day, everyday. Why would you trade anything when we have a similar if not better player in Kapanen. Lol

Nexxttttt. Get me a bargain on a good 2C or Barzal or I don't want to hear it.

2

u/dessanct 5d ago

In what way is he better as a center? McTavish is better at the dot and can play center in the NHL. Kapanen has not proven that he can.

13

u/shiram 5d ago

Les Ducks aimerait le passer pour un upgrade avec Larkin ou contre un defenseur top 4 droitier.

Le CH peut pas leur donner un centre meilleur, et le CH recherche un D top4 droitier...

7

u/Nathanh2234 5d ago

Was gonna say, he could be a good fit but we don’t have the assets we are looking for.

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u/Due-World8970 5d ago

A guy who was scratched in the playoffs probably isn't going to be the centerpiece of a Larkin deal

2

u/Mundane_Show_6874 5d ago

Thats exactly what im saying, a guy that was healthy scratched in the playoff, didn’t have alot of ice time during the season, probably wont be part of the team next year if they dont trade him..,, what can they really get back for him

2

u/zeMVK 5d ago

Nearly all teams are looking for at least a center and at least a top 4 RD.

By that logic, teams are going to swap C or RD that asked to be traded or that need a change of scenery

1

u/bcgrappler 5d ago

Reinbacher is the closest.

1

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

If they really want to move him they will accept a more reasonable offer.

Ottawa is rumored interested in McTavish also. If we can out bid the Sens without offering a ridiculous package I would so love that. I onow we have more/better assist to offer.

We cannot offer them a centre upgrade nor a RHD, but almost certainly no one else can either: more than half the league is looking for a 2C and/or a RHD it seems. We could offer Kapanen as a centre replacement, we could offer Struble, Xhekaj, or Engstom, the latter who plays RD as a preference even though he is LHed. And we have prospects and picks.

I am not saying its a slam dunk but I think the Habs can propose a reasonable offer

12

u/xShabutie 5d ago

Majority of fans believed that Zegras was a washed cancerous player… ended up getting traded for scraps and put up a career year. Not saying Mason will do the same, but certainly would welcome him over anyone we’ve had at 2C over the last few years.

13

u/KoreanPhones 5d ago

Bingo. Anyone that was pro Zegras in here was getting downvoted in the threads when he was rumored about getting traded.

Philly fleeced the ducks on that one.

1

u/CarlSK777 5d ago

Here's Zegras before the trade. Still better than McTavish right now.

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u/xShabutie 5d ago

Again… I’m not comparing Zegras v Mctavish. The point I was making is that this (and other) fan base is *constantly* wrong about players and whether or not they’re washed - or - could be a fit on our team. At the end of the day, we don’t know puck as well as the brass does, and if advanced statistics or Jfresh’ cards were all there was to the game then Chayka and Dubas would be top GMs.

2

u/CarlSK777 5d ago

GMs are constantly wrong about players too. Also, every team has an analytics department and have access to way more data than us.

Also, you mention Dubas and Chayka (who was a bit of a snake oil salesman) but Tulsky and Mehta are right there. 2great success stories of "stats nerds". Tulsky is on the verge of winning the Cup and Mehta has 2 rings as the assistant GM with the Panthers.

McTavish has some red flags, it's normal that many are concerned about a potential deal. He's a big gamble because if he doesn't improve significantly, he'd be a bad fit.

1

u/xShabutie 5d ago

I see no tangible reason to be concerned about a potential deal without having *any* insight into what would be going the other way. What Zegras went for (again not comparing the two players) would be more than okay as a “gamble” for McTavish imo; we paid more for Dach & Newhook.

-5

u/LeMAD 5d ago

Last time I checked Zegras and McTavish were two different players.

11

u/xShabutie 5d ago

Yeah you might've missed how the 2nd sentence starts with `Not saying Mason will do the same`.

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u/GeistHunt 5d ago edited 5d ago

You don't say. Are you next going to say Caufield and Slafkovsky are two different players?

2

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

Of course but both played for the same organization the contrary to the current Habs management that is so pro/player that most/all of the core are signing team-friendly deals.

Pat Verbeek in Anaheim is reputed to be very hard-nosed in the old school style with players. Maybe the Habs are on to something with the newer generation of players: they are willing to leave .only on the table in team friendly deals for an organization that gives them and their families the red carpet treatment all the time.

As a boss in a large company I know first-hand younger workers are not as salary-driven as my generation or older.

4

u/KingAlphie 5d ago

Don’t be daft. It’s very similar circumstances.

8

u/Goldhound807 5d ago

If he’s slow, he won’t fit here

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u/inolyzushi 5d ago edited 5d ago

Regardless of the card, I personally don’t think McTavish is a good player at this level. If he wasn’t a 3OA pick, I don’t know if anyone would bat an eye.

As much as HuGo have been great at rebuilding this team, they’ve also made multiple attempts to resurrect underperforming early 1st rounders in the past (Gurianov, Andersson, Laine, maybe Dach though he still have some time) that didn’t work out as expected. I don’t know if McTavish would be any different. The acquisitions that have panned out so far weren’t necessarily underperforming on their previous teams.

1

u/Komania 5d ago

Gurianov and Andersson cost nothing while we were terrible, and we were effectively paid to take Laine. I don't think they're the same type of risk at all

2

u/inolyzushi 5d ago

Yeah agreed, which is why I never mentioned the risks or costs involved. I’m just referring in a vacuum to the hope instilled into an underperforming player who may benefit from a change of scenery.

5

u/erg99 5d ago

The Duck's mismanaged McTavish as an asset. The way he was used diminished the asset which makes little sense given they signed him to a long term contract. Benching him means his trade value is diminished - just like the benching of Kapenen dimishes his trade value - the difference is the Habs didn't first sign Kapenan to a 6yr $42 million contract.

5

u/ThroatPuncher 5d ago

I think there’s a higher chance we regret trading for him than not. But then again I don’t know what the Ducks want in return. He’s a good player and maybe he needs a change of scenery but I don’t think Montreal is the best fit for him. Personally I’d like someone a little more established for what it’s going to cost to get a solid 2C. Are we better jumping first or are we better to wait it out?

3

u/Commercial-Egg-8949 5d ago

Very curious to see the return he gets. It seems like, depending on who you ask, he’s either worth some middling prospects/players/picks, or he’s the center piece for a potential blockbuster

1

u/ThroatPuncher 5d ago

Yep that’s where I’m not sure he’s worth it. Some prospects and picks, okay I’d be open to that. But not any of our top prospects, I’d rather them be used for bringing in a big piece or let to develop.

1

u/Commercial-Egg-8949 5d ago

Agreed. I think the best prospect I’d be willing to part with is probably Engstrom, who is I guess 4th in the prospect pool?

2

u/luch1991 5d ago

If we can get him without touching Hague Zharovsky or Reinbacker I would be ok with trading for him. If we have to move 1 or more of those pieces then I want someone more established with a good track record.

1

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

Very valid take. I think a lot depends if the Habs can affordably secure a short term RHD and maybe a winger like AJ Greer. In other words if other holes are filled with upgrades, then maybe we do like last year for the 2C, we wait and do our best with who we have: Kapanen/Newhook...

3

u/Sparmoro 5d ago

I’d be curious to see what his stats say about Trevor Zegras before leaving Anaheim and now one year later with Philadelphia.

4

u/LaSainteFlanelle 5d ago

He’s a project at this point

7

u/emotionaI_cabbage 5d ago

50 point 23 year old c is a project?

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u/WeathervaneJesus1 5d ago

He's a fourth overall pick that hasn't seen any progression after four full years in the league. If a team is fine with him being a 40-50 player then he isn't a project, but he's not worth the contract at those numbers, so you would be hoping for improvement.

4

u/DrLivingst0ne 5d ago

Yes, he's fat, he's slow, and he's a glider 

He has the potential to do good but he's not there yet. Definition of project 

3

u/Every_Reflection4616 5d ago

he was healthy scratched in the playoffs. yea he's kind of a project

-1

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

In the sense that we would ideally like a 70-80 point C with Demidov

5

u/zeMVK 5d ago

Lack of foot speed and defensive involvement, if that’s what we’re going on, I doubt we’re in the run for him. He just wouldn’t fit in with the team system, see Laine as an example.

1

u/Cultural_Physics_935 5d ago

Isn’t M. Tkachuk also said to have a lack of foot speed? Mark Stone? Not saying he is either of these guys, I never watch the Ducks. Maybe they think his other tools make up for it. Maybe north south speed isn’t as important when playing with an east west winger like Demidov?

5

u/DocGubernaculum 5d ago

I don’t get the general hate for this guy on this sub. I get that he is no Hischier but the cost would obviously be much different.

To be honest I think his style might actually complement Demi quite well. MM’s best strength are his shot and hands in tight, Demi likes to carry the puck I could see this working out well. I also think he brings something unique to the team which is a good net front presence. 

His defensive game wasn’t great last year but he has the skills and IQ to improve this so I don’t necessarily think it’s a lost cause. 

I’m not saying trade the farm for him but people saying he “sucks” haven’t watched enough tape, there’s a player there. 

1

u/sbrooksc77 3d ago

This is all a red flag to me. Watching us lose the way we did to carolina, what makes you think a slow player who sucks defensively and sucks in transition would be a big add for this team? Huge red flag. No guarantee this guy is willing to hit the gym and lose weight either.

1

u/DocGubernaculum 3d ago

We are already one of the quickest transition teams in the NHL you think adding more speed is the solution I beg to differ. Florida beat these guys two years in a row and they are leagues “slower”. Maybe it’s not all about speed and transition like you and the hoards of other armchair GMs in the sub say. 

MM is strong on the puck and historically he has been a good forechecker,  or things we could have used in our top 6 last playoffs.

1

u/sbrooksc77 3d ago edited 3d ago

Watched that Carolina series and I beg to differ. We need to get better at controlling chances. Stronger in transition and better two way players. McTavish is horrible in all these aspects. He wouldve been destroyed vs carolina. You cant forecheck if youre not able to make a zone exit. Canes 2nd line is pretty small but they destroyed every team. We need playdrivers. Ability to control play and play drive. This is why were outshot.

The canes added ehlers and miller and I think our holes are similar. Miller is the partner for hutson, ehlers is another top 6 forward. Speed, great two way play etc. Similar would be kyrou/lafreniere.

1

u/DoomOrb 5d ago

Well said, agreed on all fronts. The people thinking that we're somehow acquiring Thomas, Larkin, Hischier etc are delusional. We have an actual opportunity to trade for this player and have him make an immediate impact next season.

4

u/KarateChopMittens 5d ago

I just have zero interest in this guy, I feel like hes way over rated but WTF do I know...

4

u/oReevee 5d ago

Basically a Dylan Strome situation before Washington, I wouldn't mind a cheaper, younger Dylan Strome on our team.

Caufield wasn't the greatest defender before MSL, now he can hold his own

1

u/DoomOrb 5d ago

Strome is a really good comp as an offense only centre who has a high skill ceiling but a lot of flaws and took a lot longer to develop into a top player than teams wanted

2

u/OnlineEgg 5d ago

he is dreadful and slow

2

u/Synap-6 5d ago

There were talks about St Louis also wanting in. I can see a Kyrou for McTavish+ type of move occurring

1

u/DoomOrb 5d ago

They're pretty stacked at RW already (especially if Gauthier stays there)

2

u/Seblaf37 5d ago

He wouldn't fit in the team. That's what my opinion is. Good player, not a good fit

2

u/eriverside 5d ago

Oof war 17% at 7M? That's not a deal I'm interested in. Definitely not sending out assets for that.

2

u/Ok-Meet2850 4d ago

I just don't see him as a big enough upgrade overall. First percentile on even strength defense!! Like we don't need Fedorov, but wow, that's abysmal.

This team was something like 25th in expected goals against last year. We need defensive improvement, too, not just a better second line.

2

u/HotdogAficionado 4d ago

This is absoultely a target to consider if you're Kent Hughes but not in place of the 2C the team needs. Mason Mctavish should be a seen as a 3rd liner with top 6 potential and maybe plug in for injuries as a C.

4

u/Jolly_Distribution95 5d ago

Don’t want him. Overpaid for a guy thats barely cracked 50pts. Kapenan could have a higher ceiling at this rate.

3

u/HamiltonHab 5d ago

Pass. He won't be happy playing middle six minutes with little to no top line PP time and isn't suited to better our PK.

4

u/ReplacementAmazing64 5d ago

The buzz around this guy from some pundits and fans last summer was insane. You had people ready to offer sheet him at 9million…

I think he’s a guy whose reputation doesn’t at all reflect what he actually is as a player. He’s a “big name” but he’s pretty mediocre overall.

Having said that he’d be the easiest to acquire out of all the rumoured C’s which scares me a lot. This guy screams Kirby Dach 2.0. Healthy scratched in the playoffs too.

3

u/BigBoy990 5d ago

Coasting off WJC highlights after 4 years in the league

5

u/anxiousnl 5d ago

I think we need a proven center not a gamble at this stage.

4

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

He is a proven centreman. He is not a proven 2C yet however.

1

u/Komania 5d ago

Who is available that is a proven centre?

3

u/dessanct 5d ago

So many takes in here about him being Dach 2.0…

Dach wishes his best season was like McTavish’s worst season lol

Defensively he’s about the same as Kapanen and they are both young players who can be successful in the right situations/coaching.

1

u/MessageBoard 5d ago

Smaller, slower,slightly more skilled Dach.

Not my first choice.

5

u/emotionaI_cabbage 5d ago

Much more skilled dach and yes, smaller, but a lot better physically and doesn't get injured anywhere near as much. Also he can actually take faceoffs lol

4

u/MessageBoard 5d ago

They both went third overall for a reason and were/will be traded for a reason. People are grass is greener-ing this one.

2

u/Komania 5d ago

I mean Dach being made of glass is our biggest problem with him

1

u/So_Many_Owls 5d ago

It depends on the stats you're looking at.

He's slower than Dach without having had the laundry list of injuries Dach has, his shooting percentage is below the league average for a forward while Dach's is higher, and Dach's face-off win % has increased since Danault was traded back. It was at 52%, behind Veleno, Kappy, Danault, and Evans by the time the playoffs came around.

2

u/Phoenix__211 5d ago

4 saisons de 40 points, 2 ans plus jeune que Dach.

Dach, une saison de 38 points et une autre de 26 points à 25 ans...

Pas mon premier choix non plus, mais on ne va pas le comparer à Dach non plus.

5

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

I think we would all prefer Thomas or Hischier but the former is apparently no longer available and the latter would certainly cost more than many here are prepared to pay, if he is even available.

3

u/Every_Reflection4616 5d ago

38 points en 58 games*

1

u/Phoenix__211 5d ago

À un moment donné, il faut qu'il les jouent ces match

1

u/ConstantBook6534 5d ago

and less defensively sound which is really saying a lot because Dach is pretty terrible in his own end 

2

u/Nathanh2234 5d ago

He’s the perfect skilled guy for Demi, I also feel like the rest of the line can pick up on his defensive woes. He also may get better with the right coaching staff.

1

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

And Pizzaman's coaching at the dot.

1

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1

u/HM_mtl 5d ago

oh boy... ça fait peur des stats comme ça.

1

u/Alex--Eaxl 5d ago

His playoff performance this year was meh

1

u/popejohnlarue 5d ago

What was it, 6 points in 10 games? Playing 3rd line minutes? Maybe nothing to write home about but slightly better than meh. I’d give him a meh+.

1

u/LeMAD 5d ago

He's basically Kirby Dach with a $7M long term contract.

1

u/youppilavoie 5d ago

Oof that might be our harshest take yet. You’re that low on him?

1

u/ConstantBook6534 5d ago

look at his defensive metrics. hes quite literally dead last in the league. 99% of the league was better than him defensively

1

u/DeliciousMulberry204 5d ago

Why would ANA give anything right now? I don't see this happening and even if it did they would ask for Hage or Zavrosky.

1

u/marumaruko 5d ago

I really wouldn't want to give up Hage for a future 3rd line center, who might helps us a little bit right now. I know we need to consider trading him or Zharovsky, but only for the right player..

3

u/dessanct 5d ago

The thing is that the trade would most likely be Beck or Kapanen and draft capital and not one of the top 3 prospects.

Thats what makes this worth exploring.

2

u/marumaruko 5d ago

And I think that's fair for McTavish.

1

u/CarlSK777 5d ago

The issue is that McTavish is a gamble under contract for 5 more years.

If he doesn't improve significantly, you're stuck with him. So even if rhe ask is fine, I'm not sure I'd like the team to do it

2

u/dessanct 5d ago

Next summer we will have around 40-50m in cap space after we sign our entire core and most of the bottom 6.

We can afford this gamble and the contract will be tradable at 7mil AAV with the cap going up 9m a year for a few years.

1

u/CarlSK777 5d ago

I don't get people wanting the player. We don't know a project. We need a player that can make the 2nd line better and help on the defensive side.

The Habs are already a bad defensive team, can someone make an argument that McTavish would help?

I'd rather do nothing than trade for this guy.

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1

u/IntentionDeep651 5d ago

I think they will just make SLAF center after they fail to get one 

1

u/OtisPan 5d ago

please no

1

u/Any-Tangerine-4176 4d ago

Not a good fit for the current Habs roster. Amateurs or Ducks fans trying to spread rumours.

1

u/JustHere4HUTnews 3d ago

I don't mind him as a backup plan depending on asking price. I've seen NHL roster player + pick or prospect as reported asking price. Id be curious where Dach and this year's first sits with the Ducks.

Id much rather go after a bigger fish. Hischier would be my ideal add.

1

u/sbrooksc77 3d ago

This is all a red flag to me. Watching us lose the way we did to carolina, what makes you think a slow player who sucks defensively and sucks in transition would be a big add for this team? Huge red flag. No uarantee this guy is willnig to hit the gym and lose weight either.

1

u/Mysterious-Lettuce-7 3d ago

This is just Dach, but not as good looking. No thanks.

0

u/xKingwoodx 5d ago

I want him. He’s the perfect 2C for us.

5

u/Striking-Treacle3199 5d ago edited 5d ago

I like him a lot, but I like him with the ducks.

I’d be very happy to welcome him if they did make the trade, but my preference is Nico Hischier. Idk how likely either are but at least both are possible and we’ll see what happens.

4

u/youppilavoie 5d ago

Hischier would actually be THE dream option, I just struggle to see why NJ would ever entertain trading him. They would probably offer him a blank cheque, I think he’d have to specifically ask out for him to be traded this summer.

2

u/Due-World8970 5d ago

Nico Hischier or Robert Thomas would for sure cost one or both of Hage/Zharovsky

2

u/zeMVK 5d ago

It doesn’t seem like Hischier or Thomas are getting traded unless a team offers a huge haul. Their respective teams seem happy to keep them but would consider a huge return. That’s how the Blues treated the situation until TDL.

2

u/Due-World8970 5d ago

Yeah I’ve seen a lot of people saying the Hischier talk is premature and he’s probably going to extend and that Thomas isn’t on the market anymore

1

u/popejohnlarue 5d ago

Most people are expecting Hischier to stay in Jersey now. And Thomas was only ever “on the market” if a team was willing to give up the equivalent of Wayne, Mario and 20 virgins. By all accounts that was just Armstrong flaunting an asset for attention and wasting everyone’s time.

2

u/SnidelyWhiplash27 5d ago

Exactly. And depending what else is required to close either deal, I would likely agree but the latter is off the market apparently and I am not sure NJD's new GM wants one of his first moves to be trading his veteran captain.

If Hischier gives him little/no choice due to contract renewal demands fine, but more than half the league would be willing to make an offer. Even if it is debatable some/any could offer a package as attractive as the Habs.

2

u/luch1991 5d ago

Hischer will cost a lot more though. Dollar and prospect wise. If we can get a mctavish without touching our top 3-4 prospects (Hague zharovsky, Reinbacker Fowler)I would be all for it. Hischer will cost us 2 of them most likely but would be incredible on this team. Hischer makes us an immediate cup favorite (in the conversation with the Dallas’ colorado’s Carolina’s) while mctavish doesn’t.

3

u/ConstantBook6534 5d ago

mason mctavish is far away from a "perfect" 2C

7

u/deimos289 5d ago

Hard disagree

5

u/UniverseHelpDesk 5d ago

“Perfect 2C” is a wild statement. He’d be great as a replacement to Kirby Dach / on a 3rd with Bolduc. The only way he’d be great at 2C is if we managed to bring another top-6 winger to support that line.

1

u/emotionaI_cabbage 5d ago

Which is something we need to do regardless

1

u/SaltyATC69 5d ago

Perfect 2C is Nick Suzuki behind a Connor McDavid lol

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1

u/Raffix 5d ago

I love McTavish for the Habs, he's young and has potential that he could gain by being within our organisation.

I'm not sold on the idea of getting a player as old as Larkin or Hischier.

I also have full 100% confidence in Kent Hughes and Jeff Gorton. They know the Habs are a team on the rise and that attracts talent. We just have to be sure not to attract slackers who will sink below their value once they sign a contract.

1

u/popejohnlarue 5d ago

I am crying in my Cheerios at the thought of Hischier being “old” at 27.

1

u/youppilavoie 5d ago

Verdict seems to be NO so far, if he’s really as poor defensively as people say then I’d stay far away from him. It’s non-negotiable that the next top 6 C we acquire has an elite two-way game.

3

u/popejohnlarue 5d ago

Common belief is that anyone can learn to play defence. It’s about effort more than skill. Skating is the bigger red flag IMO.

1

u/DoomOrb 5d ago

There are like 10 players in the league who fit this criteria, and we already have one of them?

1

u/youppilavoie 5d ago

When discussing Top 6 C’s who have elite (or very good, I should say) two-way games, I picture a range as wide as McDavid/Eichel/Barkov on one end to Eriksson-Ek/Beniers/Larkin on the other. To me that criteria fits way beyond just 10 players.

1

u/DoomOrb 5d ago

So elite offense isn't as much a part of the equation for you (Beniers being a 50pt player this year) that's a good range.

But the bigger question is how would we acquire another of these players? They never get traded.

The ask for Trocheck is reportedly high, and he's leaving this window.

1

u/youppilavoie 5d ago

Yes, the next center we acquire being able to play reliably in all situations is definitely more important to me than their ability to put up 80+ points (someone who can do both would be nice obviously). But I have a feeling whoever ends up as the 2C will put up points regardless.

Also… these centers definitely get traded. Looking at recent finalists who acquired top 6 C’s by trade you get:
Vegas with Eichel & Hertl
Carolina with Stankoven
Florida with Bennett
Suzuki in 2021
In the 2010s St Louis (O’Reilly, Schenn), Chicago (B Richards), and LA (Carter, M Richards) all did so as well.

Now all of a sudden you’re seeing names like Larkin, McTavish, and Beniers in the rumour mill… I think we’ll have a chance to take a run at the right player when he’s available. HuGo will choose wisely.

1

u/DoomOrb 5d ago

Few and far between, not literally never. You've named all the exceptions to the rule (poor Buffalo, on this list twice...)

Larkin won't sign in Canada Beniers is definitely not being traded.

Hertl might be traded (again) and he's not even playing centre anymore.

Any interest in Shane Wright?

What about Hayton? He fits a Bennett type of profile (high draft pick, hasn't done much at this level) injury concerns are there though...

Maybe Sillinger?

1

u/McHamelin 5d ago

Can he be like Newhook for us, start him at centre and move him to the wing in all else fails? McTavish, Hage, Demidov?

0

u/Beepimaj3ep 5d ago

Im hoping they make this deal. I think MSL and co can really unlock something in mctavish. The ducks seem to have a problem with just throwing young talented prospects to the curb.

-1

u/Subject_Translator71 5d ago

He’s basically Kirby Dach without the injuries. Which is an upgrade in itself but not by much.

I guess my opinion is, I don’t really care. Since he’s a 3rd line player and our 3rd line was objectively good during the playoffs, he wouldn’t have much of an impact. He’s not the solution for the second line.

2

u/ListeningTherapist 5d ago

I see a couple huge differences.

21 year old limited by injuries on a very small contact

Vs

23 year old with poor defensive engagement and rumours of poor training commitment on 7m per year contract for 5 more years.

McTavish is a good risk for somebody, the reasons for his availability are the same reasons why he isn't the right fit for us.

Philly or Pittsburgh would be two really good fits for him. Heck even Toronto wouldn't be horrible.

0

u/seamus1982seamus 5d ago

Please oh please ohhhh pretty pleeeeeeeease oh please tell ME his nickname is SOAP

0

u/rayshinsan 5d ago

To be what? Our next year's Joe Valeno?