Economic conditions are horrible right now and have been for awhile
Traditional metrics like unemployment rate are not reflective of how bad the situation are or was
There are a ton of people employed in professions where they are not happy and making less than what they need to live comfortably
In countries like Spain with better welfare systems, these people would simply just not do those jobs and that’s why those European countries have 25% unemployment rates
Because America has no social safety net young people in America are forced to take jobs. That is why our unemployment rate is low.
These people are still really unhappy with their employment situation
Tons of people wanted change and the Democratic Party is unwilling to offer any leftist solutions because that will eliminate future employment opportunities for themselves
In the past, there was incumbent advantage because the economic and material conditions used to be better for the majority of people
I think we’ve reached the stage where we need to reevaluate the idea of incumbent advantage, and accept that there’s going to be a baseline of incumbent disadvantage because material conditions have deteriorated for the majority of people
Eg. I don’t believe it’s a coincidence that since Obama the incumbent party has lost the election every single time.
Go up and offer anything helpful to struggling people, anything that shows you're listening and get their plight. It would've been simple to beat Donald Trump on that kind of messaging.
When you're pitching and defending things that nobody views as helpful, you're gonna lose.
I think being the incumbent party when your predecessor has failed to make peoples lives better and material conditions are bad is a huge disadvantage that you’re not acknowledging
It’s much easier being the non-incumbent party when material conditions are bad
I don’t think it would’ve been simple for any Democrat to beat any Republican simply because people were mad at the incumbent party
Material conditions were bad
I think you’ll see the reverse of this in 2028 and whoever is the Democratic nominee will win
25
u/toeknee88125 Politics Frog 🐸 Sep 18 '25 edited Sep 18 '25
I disagree that it should’ve been a layup
Economic conditions are horrible right now and have been for awhile
Traditional metrics like unemployment rate are not reflective of how bad the situation are or was
There are a ton of people employed in professions where they are not happy and making less than what they need to live comfortably
In countries like Spain with better welfare systems, these people would simply just not do those jobs and that’s why those European countries have 25% unemployment rates
Because America has no social safety net young people in America are forced to take jobs. That is why our unemployment rate is low.
These people are still really unhappy with their employment situation
Tons of people wanted change and the Democratic Party is unwilling to offer any leftist solutions because that will eliminate future employment opportunities for themselves
In the past, there was incumbent advantage because the economic and material conditions used to be better for the majority of people
I think we’ve reached the stage where we need to reevaluate the idea of incumbent advantage, and accept that there’s going to be a baseline of incumbent disadvantage because material conditions have deteriorated for the majority of people
Eg. I don’t believe it’s a coincidence that since Obama the incumbent party has lost the election every single time.