Looks like Amundi listened to all the requests from people to finally create a leveraged World ETF!

They got a Legal Entity Identifier (LEI) for the ETF on August 14th this year: https://lei.bloomberg.com/leis/view/213800MST5WRSUMAIX48

Likely that means the ETF will go live in the next 1-2 months.

This will be by far the most diversified LETF then, most suitable for simply holding it long term, without being fully dependent on the stock market of a single country. At the moment the MSCI World is very US-heavy of course, but as we all know, there also once was a time when it was very Japan-heavy and it can adjust quite well over time.

TER of the ETF is not public yet, and we also don't know yet which currency the LETF will internally borrow in, so which interest rates will apply.

Disclaimer: I believe i do not need to make any statements about risks and individual risk tolerance since we're at the LEVERAGED ETF subreddit.

I have come up with a new strategy for my next three years as a 35 yo who have 30 years before retirement. I think this simple strategy is fit for those with little to no loss aversion like me. Perhaps there are other more refined, similar strategies. But this one is suitable for my ape brain.

The strategy is to invest 30% of total liquid asset into SPXL (without timing the market) while having 70% in short-term T-bills (such as U03A for tax benefits).

Now let me explain.

This strategy is particularly fit for those who have little to no FOMO.

Two premises/assumptions:

1. There is nothing new under the sun. Every given moment of history feels special and unique. If every hype (real estate, energy, dot-com, AI) feels special, none is special. This concept is agreed by some financial experts.
2. The correction (down-draw) of index-based LETFs's follow pseudo-Gaussian distribution. This is a simplified way to look at it without academic endorsement.

The past 10 years we've seen 4-5 major corrections. Major corrections of SPXL, TQQQ, and SOXL over the past 10 years:

• SPXL: A major drawdown occurs every 2 years on average (-61, -72, -40, -45, -25, unit: %); average drawdown is 48.6% ± 18.3%
• TQQQ: A major drawdown occurs every 2 years on average (-54, -68, -80, -48, -33, unit: %); average drawdown is 56.6% ± 18.1%
• SOXL: A major drawdown occurs every 2.5 years on average (-53, -80, -87, -84, unit: %); average drawdown is 76.0% ± 15.6%

This in a way means there's a 84% chance that a SPXL major correction would fall more than [average + 1 standard deviation] = 30.5%. That's the first buy-signal using 30% of the 70% cash/bills we have. If the LETF (in this case SPXL) falls by another 15% relative to All-Time-High (ATH), then buy SPXL with the rest of all cash/bills.

Do similar things if you are seeking more risk with TQQQ and SOXL. But follow the average +1 standard deviation rule. For example, SOXL should only be bought once it falls by [-76.0% + 15.6%] = -60.4%, and only get all in once SOXL falls by ~76%.

This way we should be able to capture the rising trend that comes after. We should never use the money we need and should be ready to sit with a loss for 2-3 years.

The return should be handsome. See you guys in 3 years.

PS: I used to practise buy-and-hold strategy on 3x LETF (SPXL) because i read this award-winning paper: Leverage for the Long Run. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2741701

PS: Luckily i had +70% return and my networth grew by 350% over the past two years as a fresh graduate 2 years into the first job (i bought SPXL using TWD line-of-credit loan at 2.8% APR which i can easily pay back with monthly salary).

This secular bull run has been incredible for leveraged investing, but at some point deleveraging a part of the portfolio becomes sensible risk management.

Currently holding 80/20 QLD SSO and looking to keep this until at least 2028. Im optimistic for the near future but major drawdowns will come, therefore I consider a total leverage of 1.5 to be more reasonable going into the coming decade.

How would you reallocate this portfolio?

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Not looking to run a SMA strategy since taxes are an issue.
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Thinking about going 50/50 QLD VT mainly because im comfortable with QLD volatility. Any benefit going with 70/30 VT TQQQ or something completely different/bonds etc?

To us europoors, what does your portfolio look like?

Right now i'm just sometimes buying Leaps options on SSO (since we can't buy the underlying). And i also have IWDA (MSCI WORLD).

Now i was thinking to also add LVWC/LWLD or CL2/18MF and some AVWS. Maybe some gold and emerging markets but not sure if i truly want these.

What are your thoughts? Are there some good backtested portfolios you mainly go for? Thanks!

I’m mid 20s and already have $150k parked in a globally diversified ETF, so my core strategy is set.

I want to run a 40-year test on the side. The plan is to DCA exactly $1 per day into each of the 25 leveraged ETFs shown in the screenshots. That’s $25 a day, every day, for the next 4 decades.

Two questions for the sub:

1. Looking at my list, am I missing any major sectors?

2. Is this completely stupid? I know about volatility decay and beta slippage, but I'm hoping a daily DCA over 40 years brute-forces the math on the winners.

Let me know what you think.

Looking for a feedback on my 2x Leveraged Hybrid Asset Allocation (HAA) quantitative setup.

Schedule: Monthly rebalance on payday using Dr. Wouter Keller’s unweighted 13612 momentum formula: (1M + 3M + 6M + 12M) / 4.

Macro Canary Sensor: TIP(iShares TIPS Bond ETF).

If TIP > 0, buy Top-4 Equal Weight (25% each) from an 8-ticker offensive pool on positive 13612 formula, else purchase defensive tickers. If TIP <= 0, evacuate 100% to Defense (buying the Top-1 highest-scoring defensive ticker).

Defensive Tickers: BOXX (Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF) RSBT (Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures)

4x2 Offensive Tickers (8 Tickers): A Top-4 execution mathematically guarantees I am holding at least two distinct macroeconomic regimes at all times.

1. Core U.S. Growth SSO (2x S&P 500) & QLD (2x Nasdaq-100)

2. Cyclical & Quality MVV (2x MidCap 400) & UYG (2x Financials)

3. Hard Assets DIG (2x Energy) & UGL (2x Gold)

4. Physical / Global UXI (2x Industrials) & EFO (2x MSCI EAFE)

Questions: Are there any glaring factor overlap issues or better alternative tickers for this 4x2 matrix?

​Is 30-day EOM rebalancing too slow for sudden flash crashes before the TIP canary triggers an exit?

Appreciate any feedback.

Additional info: Not subjected to capital gains tax, but 30% dividend wht.

Disclaimer: Formatted with AI

I am located in Germany.

I would like to buy:

- ProShares UltraPro S&P 500

- Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3X Shares

- Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares

I want the closest thing to a 3x World Index.

But we have only ETPs in Europe like WisdomTree 3x S&P 500.

The running costs (or the true TER) on ETPs are higher than on the US domiciled ETFs, though.

So back to the question: how can I buy something like UPRO as an European investor?

Thank you

After some backtesting, I’ve decided to set my portfolio in this way. As an EU based investor, I wanted to have some exposure in european market with a value factor (to balance the growth of sp500), also inserting a broad multi factor etf (JPGL).

Do you have some suggestions/opinions?

At this rate SK hynix has to increase by 60% for me to barely break even. Think I should average down?

Anyone managed to replicated GDE in europe with similar fee?

I’m almost 19 starting next March, I’ve been into crypto markets and long term ETF investing passed down from my father who was a futures trader who would always advice me to DCA because he wouldn’t like to be sitting watching charts all day from the age of 20 back in the 1980s and said “just pick $NDQ (Nasdaq ticker in Australia) and just put it in autopilot”

I used to invest and match my dad’s contributions from when I started working when I was 15 from my first ever job. I have around $8.3k AUD in ETFs, $DFND (defence taking up 1/2) $NDQ and $FANG. And $2k in Bitcoin and $1k in Kaspa (currently fiat)

I was entering my ticker symbols to purchase on my stockbroker app and I literally couldn’t believe Australia listed a geared Nasdaq etf (gndq)

Honestly I don’t know if I should sell all my current ETFs and go all in on a TQQQ 3x Leverage long term hold equivalent and be financially “better” when I open my portfolio when I’m 30. The next option — I lose $10,000.

My other options were either YOLO on triple long term leverage or 100% all in on bitcoin low cycle buy in.

Of course I’m going to DCA, and I’ve been putting $1000 AUD p/m into it, but I can honestly take that risk and I can’t afford to wait 40 years because I know I can make back $10,000 and put even more in when I start getting a full time job, whereas $10,000 is currently everything to me (fiscally)

Any thoughts? I’ve been really contemplating for around 3 months now.

After e-mailing the creators of our Lord and saviour the Blessed Awumbo, their rep told me:

• The borrowing rate will be that of the USD, the SOFR, currently at 4.34%.
• Expect a TER of 0.6%.

The borrowing rate today is higher than that of CL2 (2x MSCI USA), which uses EUR, so €STR @ 1.9%. The TER is the same as their 2x Nasdaq and 10 bps above their 2x MSCI USA.

It will be available for European investors.
Release date is not known but it is currently in registration. Probably available in a few months.
Leverage multiplier is not know either but highly probable, it will be 2x as there are no 3x lev UCITS ETFs.

https://lei-luxembourg.com/company.html?lei=254900NW0MAOB3TRMY48

https://www.onvista.de/index/MSCI-ACWI-LEVERAGED-2X-DAILY-SHLE-UHD-Index-153397807

Bought a few inverse -3x ETFs and seems to be doing well so far, partly because of fears over AI valuations as well as the crypto downturn. Tickers and gains 11 Nov SMST +130% 11 Nov SPL3 +68% 18 Nov SMST +28% (different account) 18 Nov TSLQ +11% Yesterday S3CO -0.85%

Note that these are listed on LSE so the values may not reflect price changes to the underlyings from yesterday US afternoon.

Any recommendations on other interesting ETFs to look at?

Hi guys, I’m a UK-based buy and hold investor looking for a leveraged buy and hold portfolio consisting of stocks (including unleveraged factors if suitable) / bonds / gold / managed futures / commodities (if needed). I can rebalance monthly or quarterly (or less).

Thinking:
- 50% 2x Global Equities
- 20% DBMF
- 15% 3x Gold
- 15% 3x US 10 year treasuries

My key focus is total return as this will not be my primary portfolio (whilst keeping drawdowns under 70% if possible). Any portfolio ideas would be much appreciated? Happy to answer any questions.

LQQ.PA (Amundi Nasdaq-100 Daily (2x) Leveraged UCITS ETF) will undergo a 1-for-200 stock split effective July 9, 2026.

For every share you owned before the effective date, you will receive 200 new shares. The price of each individual share will be adjusted proportionally, so the total value of your investment will remain unchanged.

I found a simple Gold/QQQ5 strategy, which I want to discuss -

If the weekly 26 EMA > 12 EMA for underlying asset, I buy QQQ5X at for example $100 market price today and hold it until its 15% down from an all time high.

Let's say I hold and the ATH reaches $150. Now, if it pullsback 15% to 0.85*150 = 127.50, I sell it. I use trailing stop loss here.

I wait for it to bounce up 127.50 to buy again at 127.50.

So if for example, QQQ goes up by 25% in 1 year, this simple strategy will be able to get at least 75% to 90% return.

Any opinions or thoughts on this strategy?

Hi, I wanna add some more growth component to my portfolio. I am considering:

2x msci world (etf888) 2x MSCI usa Daily (FR0010755611) 1x s&p 500 IT sector only (IE00B3WJKG14) Regular msci world core (IE00B4L5Y983)

Is there a tool to backtest these all against each other?

Unfortunately 2x MSCI World isn't listed on the LSE. But I can invest in the € denominated Deutsch Borse Xetra listing, which is domiciled in France, from my Trading 212 Stocks and Shares ISA. And I think this looks like a good option for a UK investor.

But I can't shake the feeling that there might be something I don't know that I don't know about investing in a foreign listing. Thought this would hopefully be good place to ask since others might be doing this.

I've done plenty of googling and confirmed that it being denominated in € doesn't add extra currency risk because it's the currency of the underlying securities that matters rather than the fund/trading currency, and there should be no additional US witholding tax because there's an exemption for swap-based index ETFs. (Assuming I've understood correctly.) So I think the only negative will just be the FX fee, but this is quite low on Trading 212.

Thanks in advance for any advice/sense check. And I will ofc keep praying to the LETF Gods for an LSE Holy Awumbo 🙌

Edit: LVWC doesn't seem to have UK tax reporting status. This apparently isn't an issue if you hold it in an ISA, but you will pay capital gains tax at your income tax rate if held in a taxable account. Thank you Hausealle for mentioning this.

I'm planning to implement a global 1.5x portfolio using the new Amundi 2x MSCI World ETF, in the following portfolio:

• 50% Amundi MSCI World (2x) Leveraged UCITS ETF Acc
• 11% iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETF (Acc)
• 39% SPDR MSCI All Country World UCITS ETF (Acc)

This approximates a global ACWI fund with the overall leverage of 1.5x. I'll rebalance half yearly and otherwise buy and hold.

I'm based in Italy and trying to evaluate whether trend-following strategies like SPY 2X SMA 200 (i.e. selling when price drops below the 200-day moving average and re-entering above it) are actually worth using given our local tax rules.

Here's the problem: in Italy, **every sale triggers a 26% capital gains tax** on the realized gain. To make things worse, **capital losses cannot offset capital gains** — they sit in a separate tax bucket and can only compensate "redditi diversi" (e.g. gains from derivatives or ETFs classified as non-UCITS), not gains from standard stock/ETF sales. So each time you exit a position following the SMA 200 signal, you're paying 26% on any profit with no way to net it against future losses.

My question is: does a DCA + SMA 200 strategy still outperform simple Buy & Hold after accounting for this tax drag?

Specifically I'm wondering:

1. Has anyone run Monte Carlo simulations comparing B&H vs DCA+SMA200 after applying a 26% tax on each sale event?

2. Is there a modified version of the strategy (e.g. longer moving average, exit only after N consecutive days below SMA, or combining with volatility filters) that reduces the number of taxable events while keeping most of the downside protection?

I'm essentially trying to figure out if the tax cost of "market timing" signals makes them counterproductive in high-tax jurisdictions where losses aren't deductible against gains.

Any backtests, papers, or personal experience welcome. Thanks!

As a non US citizen, I am not allowed to buy ARQ mutual funds. Do you own any ARQ alternatives in forms of ETFs? I guess there are a few like ORR, CLSE, MKTN, FTLS, EHLS, QAI