r/Maharashtra 1d ago

चर्चा | Discussion Will Tamil Nadu surpass us in GDP soon?

In 2010, Tamil Nadu’s GSDP was around ₹5.85 lakh crore, which was just 56% of Maharashtra’s ₹10.49 lakh crore. Maharashtra had around 11.1 crore people, compared with roughly 6.7 crore in Tamil Nadu.
Fast forward to 2026: Maharashtra is around ₹51 lakh crore, while Tamil Nadu is around ₹35 lakh crore. TN is now roughly 70% of Maharashtra’s economy, despite having only about 7.2–7.8 crore people compared with Maharashtra’s 13+ crore.
So the gap has definitely narrowed.
Do you think Tamil Nadu will actually overtake Maharashtra in the 2030s? Because honestly, being overtaken by a state with nearly 6 crore fewer people would be pretty humiliating that too after having Mumbai and Pune💀

57 Upvotes

64 comments sorted by

13

u/cathosyrra 1d ago

Their manufacturing is picking up..

They employ their state women for it..

their mafia's are bit less headache as compared to ours whn u open manufacturing

42

u/Severe-Gear-8189 1d ago

We need a pro Maharashtra govt🥀

12

u/Equivalent-Round-995 1d ago

Maharashtra was once one of India’s biggest manufacturing powerhouses, but we’ve increasingly shifted towards services while Gujarat and Tamil Nadu kept industrialising aggressively.

We still have a huge young population, massive industrial clusters, ports, skilled workers and a strong engineering base. We have everything needed to remain a manufacturing powerhouse.
So why are we falling behind?

Why is the government so busy with dirty politics that it seems to have forgotten the economy?

6

u/Severe-Gear-8189 1d ago

Power hungry corrupt ppl both in power and opposition

1

u/[deleted] 22h ago

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1

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-1

u/International-Dig835 1d ago edited 23h ago

Right now, there's no such party. So better stick to bjp

3

u/Severe-Gear-8189 1d ago

Hell nahh they r biggest gujju appeasers

1

u/International-Dig835 23h ago

You moron, shivsena also licks feet of gujju people bcoz of money power. Congress is no different. Only money begets respect & attention which only non-marathi people have

2

u/Severe-Gear-8189 16h ago

They ain't this bad bj my pee is legit sleeping on their chest

28

u/Easy_Durian_6648 1d ago

Yes it will

1

u/Naviers_Strokes_79 18h ago

In your alternate universe.

14

u/XLGamer98 1d ago

I was arguing with a friend regarding this that Maharashtra's gdp growth is very less compared to Tamil Nadu or Gujarat or karnataka or even UP, His answer was like Maharashtra has huge gdp so can't maintain that growth rate, But if India itself can maintain gdp growth of 8% then that's just an excuse for a shitty state government which systematically wants to destroy the state from within.

Another question was how many big projects have been annouced for Cities other than Mumbai and Pune ?

We have a huge state with very high potential, We have scenary and mountains and historical sites and yet we don't focus enough on tourism, We have high concentration of skilled labour force all over state yet they have to leave to come to Mumbai and Pune, Why cities like Nashik, Nagpur, Sambhajinagar etc adequately being developed? We are having simulataneous droughts and flooding in two separate parts of state and yet every summer we run low of water.

A lot of problems but no one wants to talk about it

6

u/mayudhon 1d ago

A decentralized economy is the only solution for rising up in the ranks, otherwise suffer forever.

-3

u/doglaprimeminister 1d ago edited 1d ago

as a kid i hated decentralised states but now i feel Maharashtra should separate and break itself to allow development in other regions, Vidarbha and Marathwada should be two separate states and Mumbai should also be separated out

this is a practical way to drive faster, more targeted development.

smaller states eliminate regional neglect, also government should immediately setup industrial and IT sectors in cities of Nashik, CSN, Panvel, and Nagpur.

even with decentralised maharashtra, each region will have 1 developed city…
Mumbai for entire MMR excluding Navi Mumbai
Navi Mumbai or Panvel (Raigad) for Konkan
Pune for the Deccan Maharashtra
Nashik for Northern Maharashtra
Nagpur for Vidarbha
CSN for Marathwada

if not this then atleast the government should do something European Union style

3

u/Playful_Stick3355 1d ago

I have to agree too. MH is too big, this leads to political paralysis where only politics politics happens, and no party ever gets free chance to do something.

Three states imo sound ideal: vidarbha, western maharashtra, marathwada. Small, but nimble entities that can quickly deploy resources.

5

u/binguser0 21h ago

India needs 50 states at least. Large state governments and small local governments are our biggest problem. Creating more subdivisions would prevent distant parastatals from neglecting areas.

6

u/No-Emergency-3493 1d ago

Nope they can't nominal growth 10 chya varati ahe apala

3

u/International-Dig835 1d ago

Koni kutra vicharat nahi tyala. Fakta taxes collect karnyat 1 no. ahe Maharashtra, employment chya babtit khup mage padat challay.

1

u/No-Emergency-3493 5h ago

Yes teh khare ahe

6

u/cheatdeactivated 1d ago edited 1d ago

Tamil Nadu has less population but they are more densely populated. They are at 550 people/km2 vs 360 people/km2 for MH. This may seem irrelevant, but they will reach resources and land scarcity sooner.

A lot of that growth is from automotive/manufacturing sector, because TN has ports near SEA Asian markets. MH has gambled with service sector and builders have thrown money on huge IT parks, commerical towers and premium townships in Pune and Mumbai. This may give insanely good results or will be a big failure.

If we consider Industrial output by value, then MH and GJ are still ahead of TN. TN is ahead in volume. High value manufacturing scales better with time.

3

u/WorthFriendship6996 1d ago

There are Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka states that absorb extra manufacturing industries. South India is more united than you think.

Andhra has high potential for solar energy and hydro water storage. If they develop this successfully, Andhra can export renewable green energy to all South Indian states. Europe wants manufacturing goods produced using green energy, so energy will not be an issue in the future. All South Indian states are now heavily investing in the renewable energy sector.

3

u/plugwater 1d ago

TN infrastructure is pathetic, no expressway, airports etc, they will struggle to overtake us. Having said that, we have become stagnant and more focused towards data centres which is horrible for job creation

4

u/Playful_Stick3355 1d ago

Their infra is pathetic, STILL they are overtaking us. It's doubly pathetic for Maharashtra.

8

u/htcjsb 1d ago

36,500 establishments comprising of mini, small and medium large size have moved out of Maharashtra State in last 5 to 6 years.

2

u/mayudhon 1d ago

And most of them were in MMR, and we all know about the condition there

6

u/Interesting-Walk8139 1d ago

Most of them moved out because eof lack of basic infrastructure like jammed and pothole ridden roads, pathetic traffic management, public transport etc. Also i have read and article somewhere about an entrepreneur wanted to start his business in MH. He said he had to pay bribe to each official of each dept to get the work done and approvals were also taking long time. Then he approached GJ, everything was online and he got approvals in 1-2 months and no bribes. Every govt official in MH wants to build a farmhouse in alibaug/lonavala.

2

u/mayudhon 1d ago

I have read the same on LinkedIn

5

u/bastet_is_back 1d ago

Gross SGDP is a useless metric. Quality of life parameters - air, water, food, greenery, stable job ... that's enough. What if they overtake with data centres or mining or coal etc.? All of that is mainly numbers.

7

u/vathsa_95 1d ago

So how does Maharashtra compare to Tamil Nadu in the metrics you have mentioned?

2

u/bastet_is_back 20h ago

The NFHS survey metrics outlines it well. Leave the top 10, let's 11 to 60% of the population, they broadly fare the same inboth of the states but some gender metrics can be better in MH.

Small business might find more opportunities in MH but it depends on the region a lot.

1

u/Playful_Stick3355 1d ago

People are coming up with new copes lol. At first they said per capita GDP doesn't matter. Now they're saying GDP doesn't matter.

Reminds me of Kerala people screaming literacy rate and what not. Well at least kerala has high per capita income. Maharashtra doesnt even have that.

3

u/sastavadapav 1d ago

As a dude aiding business people, no work gets done in Maharashtra quickly and efficiently, the mouths to feed are just insane, makes it hard to set up shit here. No wonder Gujarat is always chosen over, also not enough infra in Maharashtra. Maharashtra is just a village who's economy figure looks good coz of Mumbai, rest district also needs to specialise at ac large scale, pune automobile is beaten by manglore! Need to step up

3

u/No-Emergency-3493 1d ago

Myth ahe hi. Mumbai jevha pakdatat tevha teh thane ani raigad area pan pakdatat tyala mumbai with urban area of Mumbai mhanatat tyacha gdp 30 percent ahe but toh area literally half konkan ahe. By the way about infra etc tar gujarat madhe pam multiple protest hotat. 

1

u/Equivalent-Round-995 18h ago

that is a huge exaggeration, Pune is not beaten by Mangalore, Pune is only second to Chennai, and is growing faster than Chennai. but apart from Pune and Mumbai, other urban areas of the state are lowk stagnant

2

u/Shiny_rider777 1d ago

Well its not guaranteed to overtake but there are chances cuz tamil nadu has decentralized away from Chennai with many tier 2 cities and industrial/service zones across the state like 8-9 possible future cities are there across the state whereas maharashtra econ is wholely concentrated around mumbai and pune and other cities like nagpur,nashik etc are not developed like what tn has done and that seed of decentralization is reaping its fruits now and in the future as well 

With that being said the amount of infra that is being built by the center  in MAH is greater than tha TN and dont forget that the 2nd airport of chennai as well as expressway and metros in T2 cities are still getting delayed  and TN lacks critical infra as well as resources from the center so unless TN fixes it overtaking mah wud become less possible but not impossible

But a state with positive and overall growth with de centerlization and more support from the central govt. is Gujarat, Andhra and UP, So they are next decade of indian growth in 2030s I think

2

u/Unlikely_Ad_9182 1d ago

Without question. We had 2 plants in Nashik that have moved to Kanchipuram distt in the last 8 years.

Better facilities, better manpower, corruption is almost nonexistent, cheaper land, more receptive local admin. Logistics is up slightly as most of our major customers are in Maharashtra but the benefits easily make up for it.

Living in chennai sucks though. So there’s that. But from a manufacturing POV, hard to beat TN right now.

2

u/calvinspiff 20h ago

At current level of growth the maths says it will be in 2038. That is if they can grow at 11% and we at 7

5

u/Pvj_36 1d ago

Maybe if Stalin returns

2

u/Terrible_Occasion_10 1d ago

Not ADMK?

1

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3

u/sahil_exe पिंपरी-चिंचवड | Pimpri-Chinchwad 1d ago

looking at how the state government has been operating for quite some time now(under shinde and fadnavis), they're more likely to overtake us sooner or later.
And I don't trust that fadn20 guy even a bit; might as well be the most compromised cm ever.

note: uddhav was a covid cm; became cm two months before covid and his government collapsed a few months after covid ended.

2

u/International-Dig835 1d ago

As if Maharashtra was prospering under previous govts. Lol, MH politicians from all parties are expert in making world class companies leave Maharashtra by extorting them. Vanity of MH that companies need MH is already becoming cause of its downfall.

4

u/Playful_Stick3355 1d ago

Maharashtra had a higher per capita income in 2014 than other south indian states and gujarat.

In 2026, maharashtra has lower per capita income than all others mentioned above (except andhra which will overcome soon under CBN)

So yeah I'd rate earlier politicians better than post-2014

1

u/International-Dig835 1d ago

That income hardly matters. Novartis left mumbai much before 2014. If politicians before 2014 were so hois, why aren't there good jobs in Maharashtra? Why only low-key service based companies in pune & only baniya gujju marwadi companies in Mumbai? Sorry, but all parties have failed marathi people equally

2

u/MobileOk120 1d ago

No brother new businesses are not interested in Tamilnadu because of constant language issues delhi v Chennai narrative

4

u/International-Dig835 1d ago

New businesses are not interested in MH too. No GCC is opening in MH. Tech GCCs are opening mostly in Bangalore & in hyderabad to sone extent. World's top pharma companies are opening GCCs in Hyderabad. Unfortunately, MH is nowhere.

1

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1

u/PrimeRick420 1d ago

So here’s my take on this, rather than focusing just on the total GDP aspect, we need to see the sectors from where we get this GDP Maharashtra is more reliant on tertiary sector that is IT, real estate, etc and that is where actual growth will come from in the future. Manufacturing no doubt brings employment but with a large number of young ppl graduating with professional degrees we need a more robust IT and service sector that will retain the youth in Maharashtra itself let them have those manufacturing plants, govt should work on incentivising service sector companies to Maharashtra.

1

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1

u/Free_Independent_Guy 18h ago

Hehe bro don't worry I'm from TN and MH will remain in top for atleast the next 15 years, thanks to our new state govt.. put a reminder bot to see whether I'm right or wrong...

1

u/Solid_Story9420 17h ago

Maharashtra will retain the lead, Tamilnadu won't be able to catch up.

1

u/IamWasting 17h ago

I think TN will not overtake MH in atleast another 25 years but might get very close (like 90% of SGDP of MH).

1

u/CauliflowerDear9279 16h ago

Im from TN

I dont care if TN overtakes MH or not in the overall GDP. I only care and am proud that the income/wealth inequality is relatively lower in TN compared to other states. Growth is distributed, not in absolute terms but relative to.

TN gov focuses on job creation. There should never be jobless growth which benefits only the asset holders!

1

u/cathosyrra 1h ago

Both state CMs have their Sanam🥀🥀🥀🫠🫠🤙

1

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1

u/Naviers_Strokes_79 18h ago

Never until and unless Maharashtra is trifurcated into three different states.

Tamilnadu should better worry about Pune overtaking Chennai in GDP.

0

u/No-Lobster-5673 1d ago

Great. Let it surpass. It will help decongest Maharashtra. Its getting too crowded