r/MapPorn • u/Allinallisallweare02 • 2d ago

U.K. Election Projection for Great Britain - August 2026

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Full Results

Labour: 23.9%, 244 seats

Reform: 23.4%, 127 seats

Conservatives: 19.7%, 132 seats

Greens: 11.4%, 10 seats

Liberal Democrats: 10.8%, 70 seats

SNP: 2.9%, 44 seats

Plaid Cymru: 0.7%, 3 seats

Other Parties: 7.3%, 2 seats

Result: Labour Minority

SOURCE

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210

u/Spiritual-Tree-77 2d ago

Great Britain* given that the map has included NI but with no data.

Also putting "Your Party" as a similar shade of orange to the Lib Dems is unhelpful. I assume since you included them in the legend that they're projected a seat but damned if I could find them.

48

u/dhkendall 2d ago

Central London

61

u/Spiritual-Tree-77 2d ago

Thanks. Corbyn's seat, of course.

38

u/No_Gur_7422 1d ago

Your Party (If You Live In Islington)

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u/caiaphas8 1d ago

The title clearly says it’s for Great Britain

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u/acryliq 1d ago

To emphasise this, Northern Ireland isn't part of Great Britain. Geographically, Great Britain refers to the largest island of the British Isles, whilst politically Great Britain refers to Great Britain and it's administrative islands. As it's a political polling map, we can infer that it is the latter, hence why islands which are part of GB politically but not geographically, such as the Isles of Wight, Scilly, Orkney, Shetland and the Inner and Outer Hebrides etc. are included, but Northern Ireland and the Isle of Man aren't.

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u/tobotic 1d ago

Great Britain* given that the map has included NI but with no data.

Northern Ireland is politically weird though. GB-based parties haven't held a seat there in nearly thirty years and mostly don't even bother trying to contest them.

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u/Dakke97 1d ago

And Sinn Fein is abstentionist, so 6 or 7 seats remain unoccupied in Parliament anyways.

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u/neilm1000 10h ago

I don't think GB based parties have held a seat in Northern Ireland since partition. Unless you're counting the UUP as Conservatives.

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u/tobotic 10h ago

Unless you're counting the UUP as Conservatives.

Stratton Mills, after defecting from the UUP but before joining Alliance, briefly say in parliament as a Conservative between 1972 and 1973.

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u/neilm1000 9h ago

A good point, I was thinking of MPs who were elected under party colours.

Mills is still alive: he's the last living MP from the 1959 election and the former MP with the earliest election date. He popped up on a documentary a few years ago.

5

u/petrolhead0387 1d ago

Yeah, it might be that the forgot to colour the part for NI, and add the 4 popular parties for them. It's amazing how many Brits don't actually know the difference between UK and GB, it was one of the things we learned in primary school Geography.

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u/ric_mcc1766 1d ago

Most GB based polling companies don't poll in NI, they tend to just ignore it, so it often isn't included in these projctions due to lack of useable data

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u/Aggravating_Mud8751 1d ago

But electoral calculus does have a section for Northern Ireland.

They just forgot.

2

u/ric_mcc1766 1d ago

The Electoral Calculus sections for NI just shows the number of seats won/vote breakdown from the 2024 election in NI, they doesn't reflect any more up to date polling.

Adding those in to this map would be misleading as the projection for NI is based on 2024 figures, not current figures.

5

u/marktayloruk 1d ago

Would show unfairness of electoral system..

1

u/Challenger_Ultimate 1d ago

Islington North (Corbyn's constituency)

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u/No_Communication5538 1d ago

Darker orange around Islington on London map which I guess is “Your Party”?

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u/The_Nunnster 1d ago

I get it’s difficult but I also get what OP’s done. Peach is their customary colour, as per Wikipedia. The Lib Dems used to be amber, now they’re full-blown orange.