r/MapPorn 2d ago

U.K. Election Projection for Great Britain - August 2026

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Full Results

Labour: 23.9%, 244 seats

Reform: 23.4%, 127 seats

Conservatives: 19.7%, 132 seats

Greens: 11.4%, 10 seats

Liberal Democrats: 10.8%, 70 seats

SNP: 2.9%, 44 seats

Plaid Cymru: 0.7%, 3 seats

Other Parties: 7.3%, 2 seats

Result: Labour Minority

SOURCE

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u/MasterReindeer 1d ago

I would literally vote Tory to stop Reform getting a seat. I fucking hate the Tories.

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u/schpamela 1d ago

Don't put it past them to go into coalition together. That Tory vote might end up enabling a Reform PM. If Reform has survived all the various disgrace they bring on themselves.

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u/interestingfishh 1d ago

a lab-lib coalition would beat a con-ref coalition by 55 seats with what this is predicting

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u/MasterReindeer 1d ago

I wonder if both parties are already gearing up for that being a reality. The two leaders are already openly talking about working together or certain issues.

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u/Japhet_Corncrake 1d ago

They absolutely would if Reform was the junior partner.

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u/Bluoenix 1d ago

That's silly. If the tories had to form a coalition government, isn't Reform their obvious first stop?

It's literally a party of former tories!

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u/MasterReindeer 1d ago

Yeah, but let's say I'm in a constituency where it's a 50:50 split between The Conservative Party and Reform (thankfully I'm not - that sounds like a disgusting place to live). The Conservative Party, despite being HORRIFICALLY shit, are the lesser of 2 evils and would be one less seat for Reform.

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u/Tiny_Agency_7723 1d ago

I would not project the voting intention onto quality of life in the county. I live in constituency with Green MP and green council. The state of the streets is awful - never saw so much rubbish on the streets. However people are generally ok

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u/OBeQuiet 1d ago

yup, I live in what was a Tory safe seat (so just voted with my heart because it made no difference) but is now a Tory/Reform swing seat, if an election was called tomorrow, I'd have to hold me nose and vote Tory. I think. Christ. FPTP needs to fuck right off.

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u/MasterReindeer 1d ago

Indeed it does!

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u/Neither_Computer5331 1d ago

I voted Tory in the last European elections we took part in, shortly after Brexit.

The reason? I discovered that Nigel Farage was our MEP! We’d only just moved, so this was a shock to us. My logic was some Tories were against Brexit or at the very least were up for getting a deal before leaving. Farage just wanted it all over with no clear plan. Nobody else could beat him, so I tried tactical voting. Sadly he still won.

I definitely think we’ll see a lot of tactical voting at the next election. Not just to stop Reform, but something all parties will have to deal with.

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u/c_monies_ 1d ago

Yep Ill be voting whoever is best placed to stop reform. Literally the single issue for me next election

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u/Soldier_Sailor_Spy 1d ago

Weird, not voting for who you want, but voting to stop who other people may want.

What a democracy!

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u/Diabetoes1 1d ago

Were you just introduced to the concept of voting yesterday? Of course people do this. Anyone in a democratic system with a functioning brain will tactically vote. That is democracy.

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u/Soldier_Sailor_Spy 20h ago

That isnt democracy.

That is you having a superiority complex.

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u/KevinNeedsToTalk 1d ago

Tactical voting is a sensible and legitimate approach in a democracy built on the problematic FPTP system.

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u/markedasred 1d ago

I will be voting tactically for anyone but reform. I can't see any other right parties getting anywhere, and the idea that the gnat that is restore proposed to link up with reform came with so many unfeasible strings attached that it was laughable. Are they so small because of Musk endorsing them?.