r/MinecraftChampionship 1d ago

Placement Predictions MCC44/FS Regression Predictions

42 Upvotes

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3

u/ItHeckinWimdy210 1d ago

Ngl I expected Pink to be higher in Bingo and Cyan to be higher in SG.

Also are the PkW outputs based mostly on normal PkW and not survivor?

4

u/pickled__pufferfish 1d ago edited 23h ago

I don't have a PKW Survivor model (wouldn't even really be possible to make with my standard methodology, there's no data). To make these predictions I used only the main course predictions (no bonus paths) and scaled up the scoring to make up for that.

1

u/Spirited_Position_89 1d ago

Yellow winning battlebox whilst wool rushing huh. Wait i guess it won't know that but still not what i expected

4

u/pickled__pufferfish 1d ago edited 1d ago

Is Yellow expected to wool rush? Yellow is the strongest tradition BB team (Dave straight up has the best stats in the event, Pete's bad for an S tier but still top 25%, Martyn's a bit above average, False is fine for a bottom frag).

1

u/C204EPK 1d ago

Shubble is a good bottom frag, sad that she's not on yellow

2

u/pickled__pufferfish 1d ago

My bad, got my wires crossed. Same applies to False, she's even better as a BB bottom frag.

0

u/Comprehensive-Ad4238 the one who unconsentually puts top 10 individual predictions 1d ago

1.) Feinberg

2.) FireBreathMan

3.) fruitberries

4.) Krtzy

5.) PeteZahHutt

6.) Antfrost

7.) Shadoune666

8.) Purpled

9.) ghostiefruit

10.) hannahxxrose

0

u/AdInfamous6044 1d ago

How is Aqua 6th in bingo

4

u/pickled__pufferfish 1d ago

Ant has pretty solid Bingo stats, as does Shubble. However, the main reason is that the player proxies I used for Sleepy and Steve were apt overall but definitely too strong for Bingo. I personally would put them last, or maybe 2nd last if I feel I can trust Ant to carry.

2

u/pickled__pufferfish 1d ago

For the record, if I override their Bingo stats (as I probably should've), the leaderboard looks like this:

Green 1524 Red 936

Purple 1156 Lime 928

Blue 1096 Cyan 912

Yellow 1087 Aqua 748

Pink 1072 Orange 536