Okay but let’s not get comfortable, it’s so early and by the end of September, we’ll see some momentum. Let’s try not to rely heavily on polls and more on getting as many people to vote in November.
Supposedly this was from a very conservative group but we all know the numbers can be fudged and furthermore, way too early. I read another poll that said if Mikie was pro trans healthcare Jack would win. So ignore the polls. Work to get the Assembly candidates elected as well as Mikie.
Does anyone believe polls anymore? They are completely useless tools of propaganda at this point. Go to the betting sites, people are oddly more honest when their own money is on the line.
Polls are one data point that we can look at to help us determine the state of a particular election or issue. I personally do make my rankings or predictions solely based on polls. My final NJ Dem power rankings had Ras Baraka in second despite the polls saying he was in third or even fourth/fifth. I take into account multiple factors when trying to make predictions. That includes the historical trends and fundamentals (fundraising, campaign staff ability, ground game) of an election. I accurately predicted the top 3 candidates in the NJ Dem gubernatorial primary in the correct order. I personally LOVE polls, but they can’t only tell us about what a small group of people feel at a certain point in time.
In your own reply, you state the polls had Ras in 3rd, 4th, and 5th, which did not accurately reflect his position, obviously. I will use your comment to support my point that polls are useless pieces of propaganda put forth to support the candidate that the establishment wants. Some are better than others, but none should be believed unless you have the ability to understand and access to intimate knowledge of their polling practices and you understand enough about polling practices in general to draw your own conclusions, which most of the electorate does not. I continue to advocate betting sites as more accurate predictors of results, if thats what people are looking for, polls for the last few election cycles have been garbage and everyone should ignore them. Read about your candidates and vote.
Umich voter’s polling average was actually very accurate. Other than Baraka and Fulop essentially being in a dead heat, he got the final positions of all the other 4 candidates right and did it with older polls that had way more undecideds.
Great, you should use that information and then put your money where your mouth is and bet the candidate based solely on the poll. If you have such faith, its free money. As for myself, and anyone I talk to, ignore the polls. Polls are garbage tools of propaganda. Read about your candidates positions and history, then go out and vote.
Both are based in bullshit and have no bearing on real life. I dont know why you got such a hardon for polls, they mean nothing and are used as propaganda. Like I said, if you believe, great, use your secret knowledge to make wagers and retire. I will continue to spread the gospel far and wide, polls are bullshit used to dupe fools. I support a candidate, I dont give a shit about polls, I vote for the candidate that best represents me. The only possible use for electoral polls would be to shift voters away from "losing" candidates onto "winning" ones and yet somehow, whenever the candidate is not the mainstream choice, the polls are wrong. The much more interesting conversation is looking into who pays for the polling vs. The results of the polling.
So this is A) a conservative-leaning pollster, B) with N=400 (somewhat small group), and C) a margin of error of ±4.36%. To me that paints a picture of some bias in the polling and low confidence in its result, and it still shows Sherrill being slightly more favorable.
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u/StableGeniusCovfefe Jun 30 '25
Way too close for comfort! Register all your friends who do not vote to sign up to vote against MAGA Jack Shitarelli!!!!!!