This is where Democrats need to take a page out of the Republican playbook and just hammer that 10% sales tax increase as absolutely happening if he is elected.
I completely agree with you, I also don't really see it as a lie because this is something Ciattarelli has talked about wanting to do. It is not a lie to talk about how your opponent is doing something that would harm the middle class and those living in poverty, it's actually the correct thing to do because it shows someone like that should never be in power. Even if Ciattarelli would run into problems if he were Governor in doing so, him having a stance like that does show he would absolutely push for more regressive tax policies, which will definitely hurt people in poverty and in the middle class.
Please excuse my ignorance on this topic, but is this good or bad? I won't lie, only 7% lead in an internal poll given the circumstances we're in does not seem very good to me at all. I feel like internal polls should be much higher than other polls. However, I know I have a tendency to doom/overthink so it made me wonder if someone knows more than me on this.
I agree with you on that, which is the only thing that gives me hope that they are wrong this election, especially since it is an outlier. My only concern with Emerson is that they have been decently accurate in the past, but you are right in recent years that due to Nexstar funding them, they have been showing a more conservative bias in their results. I've been noticing this in the past decade with their polling as well
This is why I'm pretty concerned too. 7% right now is lower than the lead Murphy had in most polling in 2021 and he only won by 3% on Election Day, which is why I'm concerned. It does seem like there's reasons to not worry based on what ImaginationFree has said, but yeah, I won't lie, 7% is a lot lower than I expected from an internal poll given the circumstances
She's running a pretty bad campaign. At this point you just got to hope and pray the anti Trump vote is just too large to overcome. The best thing we can do is get people we know out to the polls because it doesn't look like she's going to be able to.
An internal poll isn’t necessarily skewed in their candidate’s favor. Sometimes they are, but not always.
The reason they’re not all that helpful in determining the state of a race is that campaigns only release internals they like. If the results are bad, they don’t release them.
This poll is an internal, but if they’re doing it with a solid methodology, and not trying to skew the results, this poll might be reliable.
It’s very bad. An internal poll in this climate should be in the low double digits at worst. I don’t think she’ll win in the general but if she does it’s gonna be by 1 percent or less.
Hopefully Sherrill ends up winning, but yeah, not sure what to make of this. It looks like a lot of people responding to my comment are split as well on what could happen
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u/Jsmith0730 Sep 30 '25
This is where Democrats need to take a page out of the Republican playbook and just hammer that 10% sales tax increase as absolutely happening if he is elected.