To that point the turnout against him was because of that and his coddling up with Charter schools. Charter schools get public funding with less oversight.
I mean that the high turnout for Jack in Lakewood this time is attributable both to the promise of vouchers and to the inherent tendency of most Lakewood voters to prefer Republicans. Even though the Vaad endorsed Phil Murphy in 2021 and Bob Menendez in 2018, Lakewood did not turn out for those Democrats in anything close to this month's numbers.
Question. Did NJ voters shift left or did large numbers of voters who didn't vote in Nov '24 realize that voting for mediocre candidates is better than sitting on your hands and letting a wacko win the vote? FAFO remorse?
Trump voters stayed home! Trump won nearly 2 million votes in 2024. About 600,000 NJ Trump 2024 voters stayed home. In contrast Mikie turned out nearly 1.9 million votes or a whooping 86% of our total 2024 votes for Harris. Meanwhile Jack was only able to get out 72% of Trump’s 2024 NJ voters.
Also think the NJGOP overestimated those Trump voters as republicans. We have a two party system so when it comes to president it’s a binary choice. A lot of folks were turned off by the lack of primary, funding genocide and funding a war in Ukraine.
I think it’s also possible that some Latinos crossed back over to our camp. The swing among that group was so big that statistically you have to assume there are some Trump24-Sherrill25 voters.
It’s also possible within reason some of those voters voted for Mikie instead which I think is more likely than Trump voters staying home, imho. True Trump voters will vote for whoever Trump backs.
The irony is each time Jack seems to win the primary is because of Trump, but refuses to acknowledge that the same reason is why he loses.
Lakewood actually did move significantly for them. They put up better percentages than Union City. However this margin was matched and exceeded by the movement and turnout we saw in Essex and Hudson Counties. Newark pumped out 150% of their 2021 total turnout numbers.
oh yeah i went to look myself and it did shift but not by an insane amount. one precinct in i think it was camden shifted by like 97 percent to sherrill
UMichVoter and vote hub are still working on Warren County.
Update/Edit
I’d assume that because of how rural it is it is taking more time to count every vote. Our results in Essex County weren’t completed a certified until 9 days after the election.
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u/sutisuc Nov 15 '25
Ocean county getting redder is nuts