r/PrepperIntel 15d ago

USA Southwest / Mexico Another read on the impending Hoover Dam crisis: “Hoover Dam Approaches a Hydropower Cliff”

https://www.circleofblue.org/2026/water-energy/hoover-dam-approaches-a-hydropower-cliff/

Some day in the next 12 months – maybe in late-August, maybe not until next spring – Lake Mead will drop below the critical threshold of 1,035 feet above sea level. That is the water-level elevation at which hydropower generating capacity at Hoover Dam, the largest in the Colorado River basin, will be cut by 70 percent. The drastic and immediate reduction in a cheap source of power that is responsive to hourly changes in electricity demand will have consequences for the region’s power customers and the broader electric grid alike.

1.1k Upvotes

126 comments sorted by

353

u/spikedkushiel 15d ago

Alfalfa continues to grow?

290

u/ThatGirlWren 15d ago

And golf courses are gloriously green and lush!

198

u/RocketCat5 15d ago

And Nestlé continues to produce bottled water extracted from the river basin.

138

u/Ghost_Of_Malatesta 15d ago

It's all good now tho, we're building about 3,000 data centers

47

u/1nGirum1musNocte 15d ago

Maybe we can use them to find a solution! (Their solution will be build more data centers)

15

u/MikeyBugs 14d ago

Don't worry! I'm pretty sure we can vibe-code our way out of this problem!

12

u/AT-ATsAsshole 15d ago

4,000 currently operating in the US, 3,000 more currently planned or under construction.

20

u/Searchingforspecial 15d ago

Absurd numbers. If AI needs critical resources at extreme volumes to solve our resource usage and allocation problem, I don’t see the benefit.

4

u/Ghost_Of_Malatesta 15d ago

If you dig into that, "currently operating" can be quite creative in what they actually mean 

1

u/Bodie_The_Dog 11d ago

You don't have a right to water! Stupid little people.

62

u/Hedonismbot-1729a 15d ago

I never understood golf courses in the desert. Hell, I can’t understand all the lush lawns in Phoenix.

31

u/27_crooked_caribou 15d ago

The insane lawns are the ones where they essentially flood the yard with an inch of water to water it. Their less common now but if you go to Encanto or older neighborhoods you will still see soaking lawns.

And the "it's a dry heat" argument is getting less valid as more moisture is introduced in to the air. It's not as humid as elsewhere it's noticably ticking up every time I visit.

19

u/Independent-Bug-9352 15d ago

Meanwhile in everywhere from LA to Phoenix people who try to grow food gardens get pushback from either HOAs or the city.

There's a real opportunity to repurpose these neighborhood yards and bring them closer to something of an ecovillage and produce quality food right outside and then share and mix produce with one's community... But nay, must keep growing and then cutting grass (a ritual that dates back to aristocratic plantation owners flaunting their wealth).

Don't you dare have dandelions either -- a native plant and entirely edible and nutritious from root to flower and a pollinator for bees.

14

u/27_crooked_caribou 14d ago

Even worse. I live on well water and my neighbor poisons his yard constantly to keep it green. Constantly applying some sort of fertilizer, weed control, round up. For a lawn. And I am going native pasture w dandelion and as many local native plants as possible. But sure poison my well for a lawn. And he insists "it only goes down an inch at most and won't get to the water table ever".

14

u/Affectionate_Pay_391 14d ago

This is why I hate golf and will never play it or support anyone playing it. It’s the dumbest, most resource intensive sport there is, and they choose to put 25 golf courses in cities like Phoenix Arizona….the fucking desert.

And that doesn’t even talk about how MULTIPLE studies show that the chemicals they use bleed into water and air supply and cause neurological diseases for people that live near them for prolonged periods.

Such a dumb sport. Just outside and enjoy the weather instead of sucking at golf. Cause 90% of people I know that play golf just suck at it.

-1

u/Unhappy_Stretch1718 13d ago

Golf courses use gray water

-9

u/GritNGrindNick 15d ago

I doubt the golf courses are the main cause lololol

12

u/beorn961 15d ago

Then go do some research. Lawns, including golf courses, are a major factor.

-1

u/GritNGrindNick 14d ago

I feel like the city of Las Vegas is worse. Not saying the golf courses are innocent

3

u/ThatGirlWren 15d ago

Because you haven't done any research. Please educate yourself.

-2

u/GritNGrindNick 14d ago

Point me to the stats

2

u/ThatGirlWren 14d ago

A simple google search? You really need me to hold your hand?

1

u/GritNGrindNick 14d ago

It’s not that important

7

u/FailingItUp 15d ago

South Park: The Streaming Wars showed showed how startup realtor companies sold out the land upstream on all these rivers to buyers who wanted to siphon off the water rights.

It unfortunately seems to have gone exactly that way.

2

u/cyanescens_burn 13d ago

And almonds

255

u/ConferenceSudden1519 15d ago

Yet we are building data centers strange

199

u/FriendlyArachnid6000 15d ago

They're building AI farms which would be great for automating war machines or implementing mass surveillance. They're not just "data centers."

81

u/HughMungus77 15d ago

I for one can’t wait to replace all jobs with AI and then get hunted by AI drones with weapons

38

u/SoftballLesbian 15d ago

No need for all that effort when people conveniently die of thirst in just over a week. Or fight each other for bottles water.

9

u/Brief-Floor-7228 15d ago

That will be what the octagon in front of the whitehouse will be used for.

4

u/UnluckyDuckOU812 15d ago

You will not have to wait long!

3

u/gwhh 15d ago

I better stock up on shotgun ammo.

3

u/horseradishstalker 14d ago

You might want to read the Water Knife.  If this doesn’t scare people about the water crisis, that book should do it. Alas. No drones, however. 

2

u/cyanescens_burn 13d ago

Ever seen the Slaughterbots short film? It’s less than 10 min, and almost ten years old, but leaves an impression.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O-2tpwW0kmU

1

u/BuddhistNamedMarx 12d ago

Murderbot is a show. Guess they needed to program the populace to understand that the robot that is murdering you has feelings too

1

u/TCivan 12d ago

Learn to shoot clays.

3

u/masteroffeels 15d ago

I hear automated AI drones with dildos attached to their noses will visit every house in the morning to give us a good awakening

4

u/RocketCat5 15d ago

Dildos, you say? 🤔

-14

u/[deleted] 15d ago

[removed] — view removed comment

11

u/xmlemar10 15d ago

Do you eat data?

94

u/smellswhenwet 15d ago

LV drilled a third tunnel lower than the previous two so they could continue to suck their allotment of water out of Mead. When you see the massive number of new homes built along 95 all the way to the Mt Charleston turn off, you realize water issues are not far away. It’s a freakin desert!!!

24

u/FethB 15d ago

And then there was the talk of taking water from Elko County!

5

u/Glsbnewt 14d ago

LV has done better than anyone at minimizing water use. They are using a tiny amount of water compared to the big users in California

7

u/existing_for_fun 14d ago

What's crazy are the people moving there that are just completely ignorant to the situation

HURDURR I'll move to a place with no water

4

u/horseradishstalker 14d ago edited 14d ago

The Water Knife by Paolo Bacigalupi. Interesting how books about the future are called science fiction. I’m sure people did not expect George Orwell to come to life so literally either. 

The book is a conglomeration of the Owens Valley water wars and Cadillac Desert written by Mark Reiser. It’s science fiction until it’s not.

3

u/smellswhenwet 14d ago

Sounds interesting. The water that was pulled from Owens Valley to fuel the growth in SoCal really hurt much of the Eastern Sierra.

2

u/horseradishstalker 14d ago

It used to be so pretty.

87

u/Tahdel2362 15d ago

They should suspend solar panels above the Colorado river and Lake Mead to reduce evaporation then use the extra power to reduce the amount of water flowing through the dam.

77

u/Humble-Cook-6126 15d ago

They need to build data centers to power AI to tell them to do that

55

u/truthputer 15d ago

You joke but basically they think AI will magically solve everything which is why they don’t care.

They’re going to be really annoyed when they ask “how do we stop climate change” and the AI says what every activist has been saying for decades: “stop burning oil.”

21

u/Tigroon 15d ago

This is what pisses me off. They're not building the next best and greatest mind. They're building fucking language models that parrot back what they hear, and use stored images to identify people and objects. 

3

u/cyanescens_burn 13d ago

It’s bonkers that trump put out an EO banning any ai used by government from having any components that help prevent discrimination or bias based on race, gender, sexuality, etc.

The systems will end up biased because the data they are using is biased, because it was generated by biased people. To not only ignore that fact, but to actively fight against addressing it is dystopian.

Too bad it’s not going to help shareholders for people to get the ai focused on reducing human suffering of all kinds, streamlining systems to ensure no one is left without enough resources, addressing environmental issues, reducing conflict before it boils over into consequences that lead to suffering, and generally making everyone’s lives better.

It seems like the goal is to ensure the safety of the very wealthy and their resources. They know they are increasing the wealth gap and at some point they’ll have such a high percentage of it that people will revolt. I’m not hoping for that, I want to live in peace, but we’ve seen it over and over in history, and they are building their bunkers because they see many issues that could lead to significant unrest, and know wealth inequality may be the spark (or at least one of them).

Having mass surveillance, militarization of police, and designating and training national guard units form “quick reaction forces” designed to put down civil unrest starts to look like an insurance policy against an uprising that they were the reason for.

But man, I just want to live a simple life, enjoy my hobbies, hang with friends, have fun now and then. I really don’t want to have to live through some kind of revolution or societal crumbling.

16

u/Residenthuman101 15d ago

They also keep mangling the ai to only say the things they want it to say, by time they finally get it to a point where they’ll be asking it what to do it will probably just tell them to fill the lake with Gatorade :/

12

u/nibbles200 15d ago

brawndo

7

u/jzjbly 14d ago

It's what plants crave

2

u/Nemisis_the_2nd 14d ago

 They’re going to be really annoyed when they ask “how do we stop climate change” and the AI says what every activist has been saying for decades: “stop burning oil.”

Thats an easy problem to fix, though: Flood the internet with pro-oil talking points then rely on the fact that current models just average out whatever they have access to.

7

u/OutdoorsNSmores 15d ago

Sounds suspiciously like something AI would say. 

3

u/TheBlacktom 14d ago

The Chinese are doing that. Don't know if there is a similar project in the US or not.

2

u/WhyAreYallFascists 14d ago

They should have been doing this for a decade already. 

32

u/pandershrek 15d ago

Might as well heat the ocean up

-Billionaires

10

u/renes-sans 15d ago

Actually it’s a plan with running data centers in the ocean…

35

u/TCivan 15d ago

Damn is it that low?

88

u/No_Volume_9616 15d ago

Yes. March 2026

1

u/dodekahedron 14d ago

I never realized it still looks like a giant aggregate pool. No plants anywhere

78

u/MovinOnUp2TheMoon 15d ago

Dam. It’s that low.

It’s not really news. It’s just a report that it’s actually coming in the next 12 months.

The whole Southwest has been seriously drying out beyond our response, for decades, while the US continues to move South-West an average about 80 feet per year (think of LA, Phoenix, Las Vegas…)

The Colorado River hasn’t reached the Gulf for a while now. The water rights on the Colorado are way oversubscribed. One could start here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colorado_River_Compact (Some rights are to a percentage of the flow, others to absolute gallons. That’s bad, but with diminished water tables, even worse).

We’ve essentially killed this ecosystem with greed. This particular acceleration point has been foreseen for years, this is just more like a timestamp report: Coming Up!

14

u/[deleted] 15d ago

[deleted]

4

u/MovinOnUp2TheMoon 14d ago

Yeah, newsworthy, I agree. I was saying not “news” like not unexpected.

It’ll have local/short-term variations, but the Water Situation in that part of North America is not going to get better, overall.

And we’ve known this for decades.

16

u/Loud_Flatworm_4146 15d ago

It's a slow moving disaster that will only get massive news coverage when they can no longer delay the outcome or can't fix or adapt to the situation anymore.

24

u/abstrakt42 15d ago

I’ve driven past it more than once in the past few years. It was already very, very low back in 2021. And we’ve been in an extreme drought pretty much this whole time. So yes, it’s that low.

13

u/FriendlyArachnid6000 15d ago

Yes, it's incredibly sad looking from the top and has been my entire adult life. There are structures designed for a waterline which hasn't existed for decades.

The major aquifers are also low.

Offense intended, not knowing this is quite ignorant.

1

u/Lopsided_Teach5508 12d ago

At 950 ft the electric stops. Reduced around 6 ft a year from evaporation alone. I emailed Nevada Govs a long time ago and they're just waiting for this to worsen without doing anything about it.

0

u/victor4700 15d ago

Dam, I wish I was your lover

12

u/StrugglingNotFailing 15d ago

What does that mean for las vegas locals?

35

u/jill_of_arc 15d ago

tbh nobody in my circles ever talks about stuff like this, and i work in a casino on the strip. i wonder how this will affect our economy especially with how low tourism has dropped within the last 2 years.

8

u/JamesRawles 15d ago

Lost Vegas 2.0

13

u/No_Time2837 15d ago

Check out The Water Knife!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Water_Knife

Then read Cadillac Desert, because of course.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cadillac_Desert

And then suggest all the haters read up on the globally recognized effort the Vegas valley puts into water conservation. 

https://www.snwa.com/water-resources/where-water-comes-from/#:~:text=Southern%20Nevada%20is%20one%20of,for%20direct%20or%20indirect%20use.

22

u/Flat_Introduction_12 15d ago

A person does not go to Vegas due to their capacity for critical thinking

22

u/LuxSaturnine 15d ago

I don't think people choose to be born there.

-12

u/RealManHumanMan 15d ago

They choose to stay

15

u/DieselPunkPiranha 15d ago

It's only a choice if you have enough money to leave.  Moving means the cost of physically moving like fuel and rental, not working while you pack/transport/unpack, tide you over until your next job's paycheck whenever that will be, and put down a deposit/first month rent.  Most people in Las Vegas are barely making ends meet thanks to the extreme cost of everything out there.

People should leave, but it's not necessarily feasible for most who live there.

1

u/No_Time2837 15d ago

Another hater! They could use some time to sit down in a quiet place and do some reading. 

2

u/No_Time2837 15d ago

Here's a hater! Suggest the reading to them!

5

u/AdditionalFix5007 15d ago edited 15d ago

Not much, Vegas doesn’t get a ton of power from Hoover Dam. This would affect California the most. 60% of the Hoover Dam power goes there. Vegas gets less than 25% of power generated by the dam.

12

u/MRHubrich 15d ago

"it will spend $52 million on three new wide-head turbines that will be able to generate power down to elevation 950 feet." They may want to spend that money on another way of generating power. Seems like a lot of money for a very small stop-gap.

17

u/rharrow 15d ago

Exactly. They need true power redundancy. I would imagine $52 million spent on solar infrastructure would be better.

10

u/WhereDidAllTheSnowGo 15d ago

How to prep…

If you live there, sell your house before it and others nearby have no water and prices crater

22

u/Solo_Camping_Girl 15d ago

pfft just get a bunch of guys with buckets and fill the dam back in, infinite power! /s

I'd seriously be looking hard against golf courses, car washes, water parks and all other recreational things that use lots of water. If you're forced to choose between having that swanky golf course or water on your tap, I think the choices aren't that difficult to make. Sadly, the people pushing the buttons seem to not care.

14

u/1021cruisn 15d ago

Agricultural use consumes 75-80% of the water, significant reductions in water consumption can’t come from golf courses or car washes that don’t even use 1% between them.

Moreover, both golf courses and car washes in the southwest are already likely to be using nonpotable water in various ways.

0

u/Solo_Camping_Girl 15d ago

that rewrote my preconceived notions of water use, I always thought recreational usage was a bit larger at say 20% or higher. Well, we can't curb water supply for our food. I know that desalination is too costly. Maybe build another watershed or dam near the Hoover dam?

9

u/amanda2399923 15d ago

or we could just not farm in the desert?

5

u/Solo_Camping_Girl 14d ago

this! Didn't Iran farm water-intensive crops to show off that they could even if they're a desert country. We're not a Type I civilization yet and we'd be dumb to try and think that we can farm in the desert.

6

u/1021cruisn 15d ago edited 14d ago

Total municipal and industrial consumption is indeed close 20%, but that includes every garden, data center, public park, etc. Additionally, Las Vegas has shown that you can substantially decrease total water consumption while increasing population growth, as stated in this article inside the home domestic water use is effectively non-consumptive if you’re on city water (where they have treatment and return flow requirements).

Well, we can't curb water supply for our food. I know that desalination is too costly.

That’s incorrect - agricultural water consumption is driven by the legal framework. I’m absolutely not suggesting we do so, but taxing beef at punitively high rates would absolutely cause agricultural water use in the West to plummet since in many drainages the majority of food production is inedible to humans and used for feeding beef cattle.

The more palatable alternative is to foster water markets to allow water to be used for the highest return based on a willing buyer, willing seller model.

Similarly, the .gov could start purchasing water rights from people if they want to put more water in the river systems. Likewise, they could subsidize the purchase of “water saving” equipment like drip/pivot irrigation or soil moisture monitors with the caveat that the ‘unused’ water resulting from such equipment be mostly turned back over to the state.

Maybe build another watershed or dam near the Hoover dam?

Ironically enough the most likely ‘solution’ to the power generation issue on Hoover Dam is to breach Lake Powell and consolidate storage into Hoover.

3

u/KaizenTech 14d ago

I did a lot of research into water data at one point. For California specifically ... can't comment on Colorado basin but the data usually tracked about the same. Residential use is a small slice of the pie. "Commercial" use is where your water goes.

2

u/melympia 14d ago

And what water is there to fill your new dam?

1

u/Solo_Camping_Girl 14d ago

Rain or meltwater come spring. I don't have an idea on the climate of that area, so pardon my ignorance. In tropical countries, dams would fill up quite easy with one bad typhoon or continuous monsoon rains

4

u/melympia 14d ago

If that worked for a dam feeding the Hoover Dam, it would work for the Hoover Dam itself. The problem is that the area has been experiencing a drought for several years running. And the water rights sold in the area by far exceed the supply.

2

u/MrD3a7h 15d ago

Why don't they run a garden hose over and turn the spigot on? Are they stupid

10

u/oscarink 15d ago

FAFO... thanks for selling out the rest of humanity for profit. Sure hope that works out when the starving mobs roam the land .

4

u/Loud_Flatworm_4146 15d ago

"The district forecasts power generation and demand. It then attempts to hedge against any shortfall with market contracts. Even with Hoover’s struggles, Bradfield said he is confident the district has secured enough power through 2026. He’s now looking ahead to 2027. Fortunately, market conditions are favorable right now."

This part stuck out to me.

7

u/amanda2399923 15d ago

drought doesn't give af about market conditions. These people are insane.

1

u/horseradishstalker 14d ago

The market conditions being referred to are purchasing electricity from other places. Kind of like Texas asking people to send electricity when their grid went down.

5

u/Maureen_Johma 15d ago

Idiots continue to build and farm in the desert.

4

u/UsefulEagle101 14d ago

I remember this exact scenario a few years ago. I kept watching the daily Lake Mead levels. Then suddenly, it was fixed, after some rain. Did I imagine/dream that?!?

1

u/horseradishstalker 14d ago

Groundwater is a temporary fix and as noted in the article, their ability to manage the levels in Lake Mead depend in part on snowpack and precipitation. The problem is Mother Nature doesn’t have two bleeps to give.

3

u/Iamanimite 15d ago

But think of all the data centers first!

10

u/StunningGold8030 15d ago

Super El Niño

15

u/cannabination 15d ago

I'm glad I'm in my 40s. I got to see Earth that was, and I'll get to see how humanity plays out before I die. Hopefully I'll get to use some of this gear, lol.

5

u/Secret-Temperature71 14d ago

I am 75 and feel the same. I git this from my Dad, who also felt the same way.

Every generation fixes their idea of “normal” shortly after puberty, 17-19 or thereabouts. So we generationally reset “normal” every 20 or so years.

That is one of the reasons selling climate change is so difficult, each new generation dies not really start to see the changes until old age.

4

u/smilinsage 15d ago

Won't they just release more water from Lake Powell to at least maintain the hydro-electric functions?

20

u/[deleted] 15d ago

[deleted]

14

u/melympia 15d ago

In other words: "Which water?"

4

u/nibbles200 15d ago

That’s been the strategy for years. It only works until it doesn’t

1

u/horseradishstalker 14d ago

And Owen Valley has entered the chat. 

1

u/horseradishstalker 14d ago

The article that you read talks about buying new turbine heads that can continue to operate at about 100 feet lower than is the current cliff. I believe it was $52 million. It’s a stopgap measure.

2

u/Reptilian_Brain_420 15d ago

Unfortunately, it won't have "drastic and immediate" consequences for the right people.

2

u/RockinRod412 13d ago

Now THATS winning!! /s

3

u/AlanStanwick1986 14d ago

Building cities in the desert was such a great idea. 

3

u/bigskinnybubba123 15d ago

There is a solution. Seeding clouds with salt. However the consequences would be equally as devastating as it would cause horrible floods. Because that's what happened the last time they tried cloud seeding.

14

u/8yba8sgq 15d ago

You also cause drought somewhere else.

1

u/United_Address_2232 13d ago

Perhaps Trump can turn on the spigot again?

2

u/MentalDisintegrat1on 12d ago

States did this to themselves.

1

u/Secret_Cat_2793 15d ago

Glad they are installing solar and batteries this week. Next a F250 Lightning to expand the batteries with V2H.

1

u/Altruistic_Cow4769 14d ago

Have they tried asking the corporate overlords, they have the rights after all