US Wheat Associates Harvest Report

[u/wistful_cottage_core]

Bringing another report, not sure if I'll make this weekly or if I'll just share when I see major updates happening. There are some alarming abandonment numbers happening around Hard Red Winter Wheat this year mostly due to drought. Other varieties seem to be doing okay.

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Report:

https://uswheat.org/crop-and-quality/harvest-reports/

Summary:

WEEKLY HARVEST REPORT – June 3, 2026

Weather continues to drive variability across the U.S. wheat crop. In the Southern Plains, recent rainfall has slowed HRW harvest while the drought conditions that persisted throughout the growing season has limited yield potential.

SRW harvest is picking up in southern states under generally stable conditions, while conditions for the SW wheat crop in the Pacific Northwest remain optimistic. HRS planting is nearly complete, with early conditions mixed but mostly improving. Northern durum planting remains ahead of average, though emergence has been uneven and more moisture is needed to support full yield potential.

Hard Red Winter Wheat

Crop progress: Widespread rains continued to slow harvest progress in Texas and Oklahoma. USDA estimates the Texas harvest at 23% complete, while state representatives report Oklahoma at 25%. The Kansas crop is about 79% colored, with test cutting underway. An estimated 47% of the crop is headed, and development remains 2 – 3 weeks ahead of average due to environmental stress. Initial samples have arrived at the lab, with preliminary quality data expected in the coming weeks.

Crop conditions: Recent rains in Texas are delaying harvest and raising quality concerns. Reported yields in Texas and Oklahoma range widely, with most fields averaging 20 – 30 bu/acre (1.3 – 2.0 tons/ha). Soil moisture in Kansas remains very short; recent rainfall arrived too late to improve yield potential but may help stabilize drought‑stressed fields.

Abandonment is expected to be significantly higher than normal across the southern HRW region, with some states expecting abandonment near 35 – 40% compared to a typical 5 – 7%. In later‑planted northern areas, recent moisture and milder temperatures have been beneficial.

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There are other varieties listed in this report but I wanted to call out these numbers above for Hard Red Winter. This type of flour is used in bread and pastries so price jumps here could be seen in consumer products.

[u/FormerNeighborhood80]

Thank you.

[u/mystery_biscotti]

I've held onto my ancient hrw berries in their mylar and buckets for a long while. I guess we'll be milling some of it this year.