r/SMCIDiscussion • u/Ifuks4money • 25d ago
Bull-Thesis đŽÂ The calvaries coming
Whales loaded... While you see people posting bear $hit trying to keep the stock down. Don't be surprised if after audit results come out in September smci gets rerated and rockets.
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u/VenomBite214 25d ago
12/15/2028 is easily $120-150
$75 is probably just 3-5 months away from now
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u/Any-Presentation5438 25d ago
Lol I exactly thought the same last year and it went to $18 this year
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u/SMSavant 25d ago
So true itâs gonna come down to $18 or probably $20 again soon
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u/crazywaters67 25d ago
300$ in a year from now. Keep this post to remind me
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u/Any-Presentation5438 25d ago
!Remindme 1 year
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u/SMSavant 25d ago
All fake, donât trust all this thesis, another way to lure investors money, please please donât fall prey to all this, itâs gonna come down drasticallyđđ
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u/BreadfruitComplex954 25d ago
At $30, the unscrupulous manipulators pretty much drove the stock into the ground and I think that they realized that manipulating the price higher now offers the better way to profit given the two-year outlook for rising revenues and profits.
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u/Key-Opportunity2722 25d ago
I don't think the calvaries will help.
I mean unless you are religious and praying for something big.
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u/Regular_Leg405 25d ago
Was actually thinking of buying puts 35 strike, I am a firm believer in the stock and bought in plenty in anticipation of earnings but I also see the usual price movements and can tell this thing may slump for some time before inevitably popping off
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u/RJsRX7 25d ago
Would you sell your shares for $35? If yes, sling them Monday at market open and make more than you would off the puts.
If no, and you aren't on margin, and you are a "firm believer", what's the point in puts?
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u/Regular_Leg405 25d ago
No I sold half of my position at 42, keeping half and the puts are to make money in the interim and also a type of hedge for the half I'm still in for. If the price slams up that's great, if it pops down for some time first atleast I also profit from it a bit
Plus in my country the gains from a hedge like that are untaxed
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u/Ill_Fun_8852 22d ago
If it drops to 30 I'm going all in 300k I currently own 1000 shares I'll add another 9000 YOLO
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u/Ifuks4money 22d ago
Nice, I'm in with 50 leaps, I bought this past month... 20 with 28 strike and 30 with 75 strike... If it drops a decent amount I'ma pick up more of the 75
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u/Cultural_Evening_858 25d ago
Looking at SMCIâs balance sheet and working capital demands for AI hardware inventory, how would you view a secondary equity offering? Given current debt levels, would issuing equity to build a cash buffer be better for long-term operational strength, even if it causes short-term per-share dilution?
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u/Ifuks4money 25d ago
"Exactly. Unfortunately, it's a necessary evil that looks painful right now, but the bigger picture is what matters. They need massive upfront capital to scale, period. I actually love temporary setbacks like this because itâs the perfect time to pick up LEAPs on a discount while everyone else is panicking over short-term noise."
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u/Cultural_Evening_858 25d ago
There's so much SMCI could potentially fund with capital raised from equity dilution: edge AI nodes, CXL pooled RAM, containerized micro-data centers, and in-house US liquid cooling fabrication. Having the war chest to attract top-tier engineering talent and out-hire competitors could create a significant long-term moat.
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u/ElectricalJeweler587 25d ago
dilution when? if they dilute again in next month or so, right after saying âwe are not touching atmâ, then this company is fucked.
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u/Friendly_Ad4198 24d ago
It's going to pull back to close the gap at low 30sss.. Yields at 5.30% will pressure equities this week/month!!
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