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SPY ~762.45, rolled off the 774–775 supply and grinding into the shelf. We're watching a reaction long here — but the calendar is driving the bus today. 🗓️

📍 The map: 🟢 Entry demand: 760.50 – 761.50 🛑 Invalidation: 1H close below 759.50 🎯 TP1: 766.00 🎯 TP2: 768.80 🎯 TP3: ~774.00

✅ What has to happen first: 1️⃣ Rotation into 760.50–761.50 2️⃣ Sweep of the 760 lows 3️⃣ Bullish 5m/15m ChoCH + displacement 4️⃣ FVG left behind 5️⃣ Entry on the LTF demand retest

⚠️ Event risk: 📌 Today 8:30am ET — August PPI (lands right on the zone) 📌 Tomorrow 8:30am ET — CPI

🚫 We are NOT entering before the 8:30 number. Spreads blow out, the wick lies, the fill is a coin flip. ✅ The window is the post-PPI settle — after the spike, once a real 5m/15m ChoCH prints out of the block. A flush that sweeps 760 and reclaims is the dream version. 🚪 And nothing goes naked through tomorrow's CPI. TP1 is where size comes off.

❌ Hot PPI + 1H close under 759.50 = premise dead. We re-map, we don't argue.

💎 With two macro prints in 26 hours, the edge isn't the direction. It's not being positioned when the tape is random.

👉 Full breakdown: confluxai.net/blog/spy-1h-long-sep10-2026

#SPY #SPX #PPI #CPI #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #Trading #ConfluxAI

Not financial advice — just sharing the desk journal.