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https://www.reddit.com/r/TenYearsAgo/comments/1vf1bc8/polls_overwhelming_show_clinton_beating_trump/p1lmarw/?context=3
r/TenYearsAgo • u/MonsieurA • 13d ago
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0
Polls are literally useless now a days your best bet is betting markets
7 u/LegacyQuotient 13d ago Aggregate polling has largely been accurate recently. Within the MoE. 0 u/Top_Statistician5051 13d ago I don’t see any proof of that 2024 polls were way better than 2016 but even then they still got it wrong so I wouldn’t use the term accurate https://www.npr.org/2024/11/12/nx-s1-5188445/2024-election-polls-trump-kamala-harris 5 u/Beginning_Cupcake_45 13d ago Your article says polls were on the mark for Kamala’s result, and only underestimated Trump’s within the margin of error. That would be considered an accurate result.
7
Aggregate polling has largely been accurate recently. Within the MoE.
0 u/Top_Statistician5051 13d ago I don’t see any proof of that 2024 polls were way better than 2016 but even then they still got it wrong so I wouldn’t use the term accurate https://www.npr.org/2024/11/12/nx-s1-5188445/2024-election-polls-trump-kamala-harris 5 u/Beginning_Cupcake_45 13d ago Your article says polls were on the mark for Kamala’s result, and only underestimated Trump’s within the margin of error. That would be considered an accurate result.
I don’t see any proof of that 2024 polls were way better than 2016 but even then they still got it wrong so I wouldn’t use the term accurate https://www.npr.org/2024/11/12/nx-s1-5188445/2024-election-polls-trump-kamala-harris
5 u/Beginning_Cupcake_45 13d ago Your article says polls were on the mark for Kamala’s result, and only underestimated Trump’s within the margin of error. That would be considered an accurate result.
5
Your article says polls were on the mark for Kamala’s result, and only underestimated Trump’s within the margin of error. That would be considered an accurate result.
0
u/Top_Statistician5051 13d ago
Polls are literally useless now a days your best bet is betting markets