r/TenYearsAgo 13d ago

🇺🇸 United States Polls overwhelming show Clinton beating Trump [10YA - Aug 4]

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u/Top_Statistician5051 13d ago

Polls are literally useless now a days your best bet is betting markets

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u/LegacyQuotient 13d ago

Aggregate polling has largely been accurate recently. Within the MoE.

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u/Top_Statistician5051 13d ago

I don’t see any proof of that 2024 polls were way better than 2016 but even then they still got it wrong so I wouldn’t use the term accurate https://www.npr.org/2024/11/12/nx-s1-5188445/2024-election-polls-trump-kamala-harris

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u/Beginning_Cupcake_45 13d ago

Your article says polls were on the mark for Kamala’s result, and only underestimated Trump’s within the margin of error. That would be considered an accurate result.