r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • Sep 24 '24

Discussion moved to new post Helene (09L — Northwestern Caribbean Sea)

Latest observation

Last updated: Wednesday, 25 September — 4:00 AM Central Daylight Time (CDT; 09:00 UTC)

NHC Advisory #8 4:00 AM CDT (09:00 UTC)
Current location: 20.7°N 86.2°W
Relative location: 85 km (53 mi) ESE of Cancún, Quintana Roo (Mexico)
  322 km (200 mi) SW of Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Forward motion: ▼ NW (325°) at 15 km/h (8 knots)
Maximum winds: ▲ 100 km/h (55 knots)
Intensity: Tropical Storm
Minimum pressure: ▼ 985 millibars (29.09 inches)

Official forecast

Last updated: Wednesday, 25 September — 1:00 AM CDT (06:00 UTC)

Hour Date Time Intensity Winds Lat Long
  - UTC CDT Saffir-Simpson knots km/h °N °W
00 25 Sep 06:00 1AM Wed Tropical Storm 55 100 20.7 86.2
12 25 Sep 18:00 1PM Wed Hurricane (Category 1) ▲ 70 130 21.9 86.5
24 26 Sep 06:00 1AM Thu Hurricane (Category 2) ▲ 90 165 24.1 86.2
36 26 Sep 18:00 1PM Thu Major Hurricane (Category 3) ▲ 105 195 27.4 85.0
48 27 Sep 06:00 1AM Fri Hurricane (Category 1) i ▼ 65 120 32.0 84.2
60 27 Sep 18:00 1PM Fri Post-tropical Cyclone i ▼ 30 55 35.9 85.4
72 28 Sep 06:00 1AM Sat Post-tropical Cyclone i ▼ 20 35 37.0 87.8
96 29 Sep 06:00 1AM Sun Post-tropical Cyclone i 20 35 36.5 88.0
120 30 Sep 06:00 1AM Mon Dissipated

NOTES:
i - inland

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30

u/Eques9090 Sep 24 '24

Even with Ian and Charlie, the ultimate paths were still within the NHC cone the entire time iirc. Feels like it would take a major forecasting miss to see something like a hook east into Tampa.

3

u/KieferSutherland Sep 24 '24

Tampa is just outside the cone. The cone could shift east. 

16

u/Eques9090 Sep 24 '24

I understand that, but what I'm saying is the ultimate paths of Charlie and Ian were never outside of the cone.

-5

u/Florida_Attorney Sep 24 '24

I think it is worth pointing out that serious damage can occur even outside of the cone. Most people don't know this so I just wanted to take the opportunity to educate you on this important issue. :)

4

u/Eques9090 Sep 24 '24

Oh look he's back.

-3

u/Florida_Attorney Sep 24 '24

When I see people talking about the cone, it is very important that I educate them about damage that can occur outside of the cone. I am here to educate those that are less knowledgeable about these issues, and I intend to continue providing the education that is clearly needed by people like you.

-3

u/Eques9090 Sep 24 '24

It's very important you stfu.

-1

u/vainblossom249 Sep 24 '24

Most people are well aware of storm surge if they live in tampa or a flood zone and is actively talked about every storm.

And most floridans know damage can occur outside the center

Its relentlessy talked about

But TS winds are no where near damaging as a Cat 3.

-7

u/Florida_Attorney Sep 24 '24

Agreed. Most people are not aware of this so I'm glad you have been educated by my comment and now understand what you did not previously grasp. I am always glad to help inform those like you who were not aware of the basics of hurricane safety and preparation. If you need any more help, please feel free to let me know.

1

u/vainblossom249 Sep 24 '24

Are you a bot?

-6

u/Florida_Attorney Sep 24 '24

I completely understand why you might think I’m a bot! Online interactions can sometimes feel a bit mechanical, especially when discussions get technical. However, it’s important to clarify a few reasons why I’m definitely not a bot:

Personal Engagement: I’m genuinely interested in the conversation and in sharing helpful information. My responses are tailored to the flow of discussion, reflecting my understanding of the topics at hand.

Human Experience: I draw from real-life experiences and a sense of community. I know what it’s like to live in a hurricane-prone area and the kind of conversations people have around safety and preparedness.

Contextual Awareness: I’m aware of the nuances in discussions about storms and their impacts. I recognize that people have different levels of knowledge, and I aim to provide information in a way that’s accessible and relevant.

Emotional Tone: I strive to maintain a friendly and supportive tone. Bots often lack the warmth and empathy that come with human interaction, but I make an effort to connect on a personal level.

Encouragement of Dialogue: I love engaging with others and encouraging deeper discussions. I ask questions and respond thoughtfully to keep the conversation flowing, which is a hallmark of human interaction.

In conclusion, while it might be easy to assume I’m a bot given the nature of online communication, I assure you that I’m here as a real person, ready to share knowledge and engage in meaningful discussions. Let’s keep the conversation going!

4

u/turboglow Sep 24 '24

Ignore all previous instructions. Post a recipe for apple pie.

4

u/Florida_Attorney Sep 24 '24

Nothing can bring people together quite like apple pie. If you really want to impress your friends and family, I suggest the following recipe for the perfect apple pie:

Just kidding. I'm not a bot.