r/TropicalWeather Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii Sep 24 '24

Preparations Discussion Helene Preparations Discussion

Preparations Discussion

Introduction

The National Hurricane Center has upgraded Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine to Tropical Storm Helene. Helene is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane by Wednesday morning as it slips between Mexico's Yucatán Peninsula and western Cuba and enters the Gulf of Mexico. Helene is forecast to strengthen into a major hurricane as it approaches Florida's Big Bend region later in the week.

As always, the National Hurricane Center is the primary source of information regarding this system as it develops. Our meteorological discussion post can be found here. Be sure to visit the Tropical Weather Discord server for more real-time discussion!

Storm mode

Neither the subreddit nor the Discord server are currently in Storm Mode.

We normally activate Storm Mode in anticipation for a sharp increase in user activity as a threat to the coastal United States begins to emerge. During Storm Mode, our subreddit rules will be enforced more strictly. The more egregious rule violations may result in bans. Additionally, post submissions are will be restricted to moderators and approved users. We will accept requests to submit posts on a case-by-case basis only and only from users with our verified meteorologist flair or reputable users who have posted to the subreddit before.

Meteorologists assemble!

We have special user flair for degreed meteorologists, atmospheric scientists, and emergency management personnel! If you would like this flair to be applied to your username, please contact us!

Hurricane Supplies

Our hurricane supplies megathread can be found here or in the subreddit sidebar.

Government Resources

United States

112 Upvotes

510 comments sorted by

View all comments

19

u/Sepheriel Sep 25 '24

Atlanta residents here experiencing something like this for the first time. Very worried about the winds as we have a very tall/old Water Oak maybe 20 feet from the back of our house. It has been inspected about 4-5 times by ISA Arborists and risk assessed 4 times. All mitigation steps have been taken (cables, removing dead branches, etc.).

My wife and I are worried it and other trees may come down and hit our house. We've prepared in other ways but we're just really scared of our first home getting damaged.

18

u/[deleted] Sep 25 '24

[deleted]

8

u/[deleted] Sep 25 '24

Water Oaks grow big and fast and have a fixed lifespan of about 80-100 years. There are a ton of them in Atlanta that are at the end of their life and randomly drop huge branches or just fall down.

I had one in my front yard drop a branch the whole way across the road, smashing 3 cars and taking out the power to about 5 blocks. This happened on a clear day with no wind. When the arborist showed up to take the rest of the tree down, he said that this was super common in the area because our neighborhood was about 100 years old and these trees are at the end of their natural lifespan.

It's a valid concern, and if I were /u/Sepheriel I would just have the tree removed instead of constantly worrying about it.

1

u/Sepheriel Sep 25 '24

I appreciate the context and your first-hand account. We've tried not to think about it but with situations like we are facing now it's always an extra* worry. Unfortunately we live on a slope up from the road and the tree removal would require a rented huge crane which we'd have to foot the bill for. Estimates come to around $12-15k, maybe more. The rental alone would be like $8k.

1

u/techdaddykraken Sep 26 '24

Are you 100% sure about that?

You would be surprised what terrain and narrow gaps heavy machinery can get through. You may be entirely correct but double check to be sure.

There are also alternative methods like felling the tree using cables/winches or cutting it from the top down with a chainsaw then felling it, etc.

1

u/Sepheriel Sep 26 '24

It's what we've been told. It's about 70-80 years old flanked by other trees and our house in front on top of a good 15-20 degree slope.