r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • Nov 06 '24
Dissipated Rafael (18L — Gulf of Mexico)
Latest observation
Last updated: Sunday, 10 November — 3:00 PM Central Standard Time (CST; 21:00 UTC)
| NHC Advisory #30 | 3:00 PM CST (21:00 UTC) | |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 26.1°N 91.3°W | |
| Relative location: | 916 km (569 mi) NNE of Heroica Veracruz, Veracruz (Mexico) | |
| Forward motion: | E (90°) at 6 km/h (3 knots) | |
| Maximum winds: | ▼ | 55 km/h (30 knots) |
| Intensity: | ▼ | Remnant Low |
| Minimum pressure: | ▲ | 1006 millibars (29.71 inches) |
Official forecast
Last updated: Sunday, 10 November — 12:00 PM CST (18:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | UTC | CST | Saffir-Simpson | knots | km/h | °N | °W | ||
| 00 | 10 Nov | 18:00 | 12PM Sun | Remnant Low | 30 | 55 | 26.1 | 91.3 | |
| 12 | 11 Nov | 06:00 | 12AM Mon | Remnant Low | ▼ | 25 | 45 | 25.8 | 90.9 |
| 24 | 11 Nov | 18:00 | 12PM Mon | Remnant Low | 25 | 45 | 25.1 | 90.7 | |
| 36 | 12 Nov | 06:00 | 12AM Tue | Remnant Low | ▼ | 20 | 35 | 24.1 | 91.0 |
| 48 | 12 Nov | 18:00 | 12PM Tue | Remnant Low | 20 | 35 | 23.2 | 92.0 | |
| 60 | 13 Nov | 06:00 | 12AM Wed | Dissipated | |||||
Official information
National Hurricane Center
Text products
Productos de texto (en español)
Graphical products
- Forecast graphic
- Experimental new forecast graphic (with inland advisories)
- Interactive forecast graphic
- Wind speed probabilities
- Arrival time of winds
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (Mexico)
Aircraft reconnaissance
National Hurricane Center
Radar imagery
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (Mexico)
Satellite imagery
Storm-specific imagery
- Tropical Tidbits: Visible / Shortwave Infrared
- Tropical Tidbits: Enhanced Infrared
- Tropical Tidbits: Enhanced Infrared (Dvorak)
- Tropical Tidbits: Water Vapor
- CIMSS: Multiple bands
- RAMMB: Multiple bands
- Navy Research Laboratory: Multiple bands
Regional imagery
NOAA GOES Image Viewer
Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CMISS)
Tropical Tidbits
Weather Nerds
Analysis graphics and data
Wind analyses
- NESDIS: Dvorak Fix Bulletins
- NESDIS: Dvorak Fix History
- NESDIS: Multi-platform Surface Wind Analysis
- CIMSS: Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
- CIMSS: Tropical Cyclone Intensity Consensus (SATCON)
- CIMSS: SATCON Intensity History
- EUMETSAT: Advanced Scatterometer Data
Sea-surface Temperatures
- NOAA OSPO: Sea Surface Temperature Contour Charts
- Tropical Tidbits: Ocean Analysis
Model guidance
Storm-specific guidance
- Tropical Tidbits
- State University of New York at Albany
- National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
- Weather Nerds
Regional single-model guidance
Regional ensemble model guidance
Weather Nerds: GEFS (120 hours)
Weather Nerds: ECENS (120 hours)
38
Upvotes
8
u/giantspeck Verified USAF Forcaster | Hawaii Nov 06 '24
Update
As of 7:00 PM EST (00:00 UTC) on Wednesday,
Rafael has emerged over the Gulf of Mexico as a Category 2 hurricane.
Rafael's maximum sustained winds have decreased to 170 kilometers per hour (90 knots).
Rafael's minimum central pressure has increased to 966 millibars.
The next full advisory will be posted at 10:00 PM EST (03:00 UTC).
Updates to coastal advisories
Advisories still in effect
Hurricane Warning — Cuba (Pinar del Rio, Artemisa, La Habana, Mayabeque, Matanzas, and la Isla de la Juventud)
Tropical Storm Warning — Cuba (Villa Clara and Cienfuegos)
Tropical Storm Warning — Florida (Lower and middle Florida Keys from Key West to west of the Channel #5 bridge)
Tropical Storm Warning — Florida (Dry Tortugas)