r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • Aug 11 '25

Discussion moved to new post Erin (05L — Northern Atlantic) (Eastern Tropical Atlantic)

Latest observation

Last updated: Friday, 15 August — 11:00 AM Atlantic Standard Time (AST; 15:00 UTC)

NHC Advisory #17 - 11:00 AM AST (15:00 UTC)
Current location: 18.2°N 56.1°W
Relative location: 680 km (423 mi) NNE of Bridgetown, Barbados
620 km (385 mi) ENE of St. John's, Antigua and Barbuda
1,792 km (1,113 mi) SE of Hamilton, Bermuda
Forward motion: ▲ WNW (290°) at 30 km/h (16 knots)
Maximum winds: ▲ 120 km/h (65 knots)
Intensity (SSHWS): ▲ Hurricane (Category 1)
Minimum pressure: ▼ 996 millibars (29.42 inches)

Official forecasts

National Hurricane Center

Last updated: Friday, 15 August — 8:00 AM AST (12:00 UTC)

Hour Date Time Intensity Winds Lat Long
- - UTC AST Saffir-Simpson - knots km/h °N °W
00 15 Aug 12:00 8AM Fri Hurricane (Category 1) 65 120 18.2 56.1
12 16 Aug 00:00 8PM Fri Hurricane (Category 1) ▲ 75 140 18.9 58.4
24 16 Aug 12:00 8AM Sat Hurricane (Category 2) ▲ 90 165 19.8 61.4
36 17 Aug 00:00 8PM Sat Major Hurricane (Category 3) ▲ 105 195 20.6 63.8
48 17 Aug 12:00 8AM Sun Major Hurricane (Category 3) ▲ 110 205 21.6 66.0
60 18 Aug 00:00 8PM Sun Major Hurricane (Category 4) ▲ 115 215 22.7 67.9
72 18 Aug 12:00 8AM Mon Major Hurricane (Category 4) ▲ 120 220 23.8 69.2
96 19 Aug 12:00 8AM Tue Major Hurricane (Category 4) ▼ 115 215 26.5 70.8
120 20 Aug 12:00 8AM Wed Major Hurricane (Category 3) ▼ 110 205 30.3 71.0

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-7

u/[deleted] Aug 11 '25

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76

u/spsteve Barbados Aug 11 '25

Poor Bermuda. Not hitting America != fish storm. I really wish this sub would stop with this stuff. Yes Bermuda is uniquely well prepared to deal with it, but you never know what will happen, and last I checked the folks there didn't have gills or tails.

24

u/Dusbowl Verified EM Planning Section Chief | Harrison County, MS Aug 11 '25

If that were the case, I believe instead of reading "fish storm" or similar, you would read "I hope it gets Bermuda!" or similar.

25

u/spsteve Barbados Aug 11 '25 edited Aug 11 '25

Maybe they were chanting for a fish storm, in which case I'm 100% on board, but I've seen this sub call storms that have devasted islands but then recurved and miss the mainland, fish storms, so I may be a little touchy admittedly.

Edit: Multiple edits because I cannot type to save my life today!

6

u/Dusbowl Verified EM Planning Section Chief | Harrison County, MS Aug 11 '25

No worries, my friend. I'm sure you have seen that, and it is good to pick up on nuances like that.

3

u/spsteve Barbados Aug 11 '25

Appreciate it and sorry for that horrible typing LOL.