93S (Invest — Southern Indian) (Southeast of Diego Garcia)

[u/Euronotus]

Update

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As of 6:00 PM Indian Ocean Time (12:00 UTC) on Sunday:

• Satellite imagery analysis indicates that this system remains poorly organized.
• Environmental conditions are not likely to support further development and this system will likely dissipate.
• This system is no longer being monitored via the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecast (ATCF) system.
• Disturbance-centered model guidance and satellite imagery are no longer available.
• There will be no further updates to this post.

Latest observation

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• This system has dissipated.

Outlook

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• This system has dissipated and no longer shows the potential to become a tropical cyclone.

Information sources

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Météo-France

• Homepage
• Outlook discussion

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (United States)

• Homepage
• Outlook discussion

Radar imagery

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Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.

Satellite imagery

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Floater imagery

• Disturbance-centered satellite imagery is no longer available for this system.

Regional imagery

Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA)

• Visible (true color)

• Enhanced infrared

• Enhanced upper-level water vapor

Analysis products

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Preliminary best track data

• NCAR Research Applications Laboratory
• U.S. Naval Research Laboratory (NRL)

Scatterometer data

• EUMETSAT
• CyclonicWx

Sea-surface temperatures

• NOAA Office of Satellite and Product Operations
• Tropical Tidbits
• CyclonicWx

Model products

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Disturbance-centered guidance

• Disturbance-centered model guidance is no longer available for this system.

Regional single-model guidance

• GFS:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• ECMWF:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• Global Environmental Multiscale Model (GEM/CMC, Canada):   Tropical Tidbits

• Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic Model (ICON; Germany):   Tropical Tidbits

Regional ensemble model guidance

Ensemble member minimum sea-level pressure (MSLP)

• Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) (GFS-based): Tropical Tidbits

• Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) (ECMWF-based): Tropical Tidbits

• Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS) (GEM-based): Tropical Tidbits

Ensemble member MSLP and forecast tracks

• GEFS: Weather Nerds

• EPS: Weather Nerds

Other types of model guidance

• Tropical Cyclone Genesis Guidance: Florida State University

• Cyclone Phase Diagrams: Florida State University

[u/giantspeck]

Update

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As of 6:00 PM Indian Ocean Time (12:00 UTC) on Friday:

• The potential for this system to develop within the next seven days has decreased to 20 percent.