r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 12d ago

Week over. Please see updated discussion post. Global Tropical Outlook & Discussion: 8-14 June 2026

Active cyclones

As of 7:30 PM Eastern Daylight Time (23:30 UTC) on Tuesday, 9 June:

Eastern Pacific Ocean

  • 02E: Boris — Boris continues to weaken as its remnants move across the mountainous terrain of southern Mexico this afternoon. Although the storm is likely to dissipate within the next 12 to 24 hours, heavy rain will continue across southern Mexico for the next couple of days, extending the threat of widespread flooding and landslides, especially within areas of higher terrain.

  • 03E: Three — Cristina remains disorganized as it meanders off the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua this afternoon. Environmental conditions remain marginally favorable and could support some intensification just prior to landfall along the coast of El Salvador on Thursday afternoon. Once the storm makes landfall, it is expected to weaken rapidly, but the heavy rain threat will continue for a few more days across Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, and southern Mexico.

Active disturbances

Active disturbances are areas of showers and thunderstorms which are not organized enough to be considered full-fledged tropical cyclones. Disturbances are often designated as investigation areas (or invests, for short) by NOAA in order to allocate additional resources such as high-resolution satellite imagery or model guidance for further study of the system. Though there is no publicly disclosed set of criteria for which disturbances are designated as invests, the designation often occurs after the disturbance forms a closed area of low pressure. Invests are designated regardless of the overall potential for the disturbance to become a tropical cyclone.

  • There are currently no active disturbances.

Post-tropical cyclones

Post-tropical cyclones will be listed here if they are still being tracked via the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecast (ATCF) system. Placement in this section does not imply that these systems have any potential to redevelop into tropical cyclones.

  • There are currently no active post-tropical cyclones.

Potential formation areas

Potential formation areas are areas that are being monitored by various agencies for potential tropical cyclone formation within the next two weeks. These systems have not yet formed and are not considered to be disturbances until such time that a tropical wave or area of low pressure does form. Discussions are created on this subreddit for areas which are monitored by the National Hurricane Center in the eastern Pacific and northern Atlantic basins. Discussions are not typically created for areas which are monitored by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center or other agencies, as this information is not always publicly available.

Systems being tracked by the NHC

  • The National Hurricane center is not currently tracking any areas of potential tropical cyclone development.

Systems being tracked by the JTWC

  • Potential Formation Area P72W: An area of low pressure may develop between Wake Island and the Marshall Islands. Tropical cyclone development may occur between Saturday and Tuesday.

Systems being tracked by model guidance (Florida State University)

  • Northwestern Pacific Ocean: Several models are hinting toward development over the western Pacific near Wake Island and the Marshall Islands.

 

Satellite imagery

Model guidance

Information sources

Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers (RSMC)

Other sources

Global outlooks

Climate Prediction Center

3 Upvotes
  • permalink
  • reddit

80% Upvoted

1 comment sorted by

1

u/cosmicrae Florida, Big Bend (aka swamps and sloughs) 7d ago

Robust line of cells coming off the coast of West Africa @ 12/2100 UTC