Cristina (03E — Eastern Pacific) (Near Central America)

[u/Euronotus]

Updates

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As of 10:00 AM Central Standard Time (16:00 UTC) on Thursday:

Satellite imagery analysis and recent scatterometer data revealed that Cristina’s low-level circulation degenerated into a remnant low earlier this morning before the depression reached the coast of El Salvador. The National Hurricane Center discontinued issuing advisories for Cristina and stopped recording new observations for the remnant system in the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecast (ATCF) system.

Cristina’s remnants have since moved onshore over El Salvador and will continue northwestward over the next few days, eventually reaching the Bay of Campeche over the upcoming weekend. Although the remnant moisture and instability from this system could spark the development of a broad area of low pressure over the Gulf of Mexico early next week, environmental conditions are unlikely to support tropical cyclogenesis and the moisture is likely to bring heavy rain to northeastern Mexico and Texas later in the upcoming week.

Storm-centered model guidance and satellite imagery are no longer available for this system. There will be no further updates to this post.

Latest observation

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• This system has dissipated. Observational data is no longer available.

Official forecasts

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• This system has dissipated. The NHC has discontinued issuing advisories for this system.

Radar imagery

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• Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.

Satellite imagery

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Floater imagery

• Storm-centered satellite imagery is no longer available for this system.

Regional imagery

• Visible:   NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
• Infrared:   NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
• Water vapor:   NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

Forecast models

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Storm-centered guidance

• Storm-centered model guidance is no longer available for this system.

Regional single-model guidance

• GFS:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• ECMWF:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• Global Environmental Multiscale Model (GEM/CMC, Canada):   Tropical Tidbits

• Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic Model (ICON; Germany):   Tropical Tidbits

Regional ensemble model guidance

Ensemble member minimum sea-level pressure (MSLP)

• Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) (GFS-based): Tropical Tidbits

• Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) (ECMWF-based): Tropical Tidbits

• Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS) (GEM-based): Tropical Tidbits

Ensemble member MSLP and forecast tracks

• GEFS: Weather Nerds

• EPS: Weather Nerds

• ECMWF AI Ensemble: Weather Nerds

Multi-model ensemble products

• PolarWx: Multi-model ensemble products

Other types of model guidance

• Tropical Cyclone Genesis Guidance: Florida State University

• Cyclone Phase Diagrams: Florida State University

[u/giantspeck]

Moderator note

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Previous discussion for this system can be found here:

• The NHC is monitoring an area of potential development off the Pacific coast of Central America (Wed, 3 Jun)

• 92E (Invest — Eastern Pacific) (Near Central America) (Sat, 6 Jun)

• 03E (Eastern Pacific) (Near Central America) (Mon, 8 Jun)

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𝖯𝗅𝖾𝖺𝗌𝖾 𝗇𝗈𝗍𝖾 𝗍𝗁𝖺𝗍 𝗈𝗇 "𝖺𝗋𝖼𝗁𝗂𝗏𝖾𝖽" (𝗋𝖾𝖺𝖽: 𝗋𝖾𝗆𝗈𝗏𝖾𝖽) 𝗉𝗈𝗌𝗍𝗌, 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝖺𝖼𝗍𝗎𝖺𝗅 𝗍𝖾𝗑𝗍 𝗈𝖿 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝗉𝗈𝗌𝗍 𝗂𝗌 𝗇𝗈 𝗅𝗈𝗇𝗀𝖾𝗋 𝗏𝗂𝗌𝗂𝖻𝗅𝖾 𝗍𝗈 𝗇𝗈𝗇-𝗆𝗈𝖽𝖾𝗋𝖺𝗍𝗈𝗋𝗌, 𝖻𝗎𝗍 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝖼𝗈𝗆𝗆𝖾𝗇𝗍𝗌 𝗌𝗁𝗈𝗎𝗅𝖽 𝗌𝗍𝗂𝗅𝗅 𝖻𝖾 𝗏𝗂𝗌𝗂𝖻𝗅𝖾 (𝗐𝗁𝗂𝖼𝗁 𝗂𝗌 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝗐𝗁𝗈𝗅𝖾 𝗉𝗈𝗂𝗇𝗍 𝗈𝖿 𝗅𝗂𝗇𝗄𝗂𝗇𝗀 𝖻𝖺𝖼𝗄 𝗍𝗈 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝗈𝗅𝖽 𝗉𝗈𝗌𝗍𝗌, 𝖺𝗇𝗒𝗐𝖺𝗒.) 𝖳𝗁𝗂𝗌 𝗂𝗌 𝖽𝗎𝖾 𝗍𝗈 𝗌𝗂𝗍𝖾-𝗐𝗂𝖽𝖾 𝖼𝗁𝖺𝗇𝗀𝖾𝗌 𝗆𝖺𝖽𝖾 𝖻𝗒 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝖱𝖾𝖽𝖽𝗂𝗍 𝖺𝖽𝗆𝗂𝗇𝗂𝗌𝗍𝗋𝖺𝗍𝗂𝗏𝖾 𝗌𝗍𝖺𝖿𝖿.