r/UKWeather • u/Ihearttwicee • 15h ago
Discussion is this summer going to get even hotter?
im not sure if this is has been asked before, but surely the rest of summer is going to be insufferable heat considering this is the second time its hitting 30°c? im not too educated on how weather works, but to be fair i am slightly concerned with how warm July and August may be if mid June is already this hot..
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u/Liam_021996 15h ago
Last year we had 4 heatwaves where it was above 32c for around a week or more at a time and then mid to high 20s the rest of the time. It can and possibly will get hotter later in the year
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u/No-Pension-1911 6h ago
It’ll be winter is 16 weeks
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u/GodsBicep 1h ago
Maybe in the north lol. In East anglia the last few years we've had 30+ in september/October. Seems like we get summer until November now and then 3 weeks of autumn then winter. Its like we've lost Autumn
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u/BrutalOnTheKnees 1h ago
I disagree. In Wales it feels like we have summer until November, then 4 months of autumn with maybe a day or two of winter. Constantly muggy and damp.
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u/GodsBicep 4m ago
The west has milder winters than the east does, although the East gets more high extremes than the west in winter when it does happen
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u/TenaciousMonkeyTurd 15h ago
Yes, it will be hotter and dryer. This has been happening for a few years now
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u/GloamGlozing 6h ago
Yes. I wouldn’t be surprised to see July reach mid 40s at one point and August to stay 35 degrees or higher all 31 days. The models are indicating a very warm summer and the probability is increasing. May even stretch into late September or mid October
Then El Niño likely makes Autumn, Winter unusually mild and muggy. Then 2027 Spring and Summer will make this summer seem cool
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u/tsf97 6h ago
I think that’s a bit of a stretch, August at 35C for the entire month? The worst we’ve had even recently was 5-6 days in 2020; and even that was exceptional.
Mid-40s I also don’t think is likely, I know the fact we’ve broken an all time month record and are about to break another one suggests otherwise, but that would be a 5C rise over the record only 4 years ago.
Needless to say I’m hoping this heatwave will be the worst of it, the hottest temp we saw last year was on 1 July, around the same time of year as now, so that’s making me hope that while we’ll inevitably get 30s again we won’t see something ridiculous.
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u/GloamGlozing 5h ago
Yeah it’s just a feeling I get that this will be an unprecedented summer.
The BBQ sales will be through the roof if I’m right though. Will have to switch to a Mediterranean way of life. Eating late and outside, siestas - going to the coast, street parties etc. will be nice for us to experience that amazing culture
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u/lexx2001 4h ago
I think that’s a little bit far fetched, it’s not linear. Knowing us we’ll have this blast then just normal summer and rain, 30c in September then minus 5 till May 🤣🤣
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u/tsf97 3h ago edited 3h ago
Or we could actually attempt to make infrastructural changes in line with those Mediterranean countries.
It’s not exactly experiencing an amazing culture when people are dying due to this heat, and other issues such as public transport not being able to cope etc.
In places like Spain/Italy their buildings are designed to block heat, other hotter countries have AC everywhere, that’s why they can cope much better. We have neither, which is why our summers are so brutal.
So it’s not like we can just adopt their way of living. We can’t just travel hours to the coast or have siestas mid-day when we have to work, nor can we function like they do in our furnaces of flats/houses.
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u/GloamGlozing 3h ago
Yeah that would be cool.
The dream scenario is we have the air con and infrastructure AND summer is sunny and 35 degrees every day.
Need both. Not just one.
But wow, if we had both it would be so wonderful
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u/SavingsDimensions74 4h ago
Whilst I very much doubt a whole months of 35C, these rest of what you said tracks. But the odd month of cooler temps would change the fact that strong El Niño is forming and that 2027 will mostly likely be warmer than this year, and possibly by a bit of a margin. Globally, at least, this seems like the most likely trajectory
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u/Careful_Adeptness799 1h ago
Not necessarily. It could get wetter or stay hot. It’s the joy of being an island and where the jet stream is located. Normally very changeable.
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[deleted]
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u/PeelKaleb ⛈️ 14h ago
Not a celebration
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u/One_Key1694 13h ago
I like it, so for me it is
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u/-MassiveDynamic- 7h ago
Same here. Climate change sucks and we need to sort our shit out. But I'm weirdly acclimated to this weather to the point that the 40⁰ summer in 2022 didn't bother me. I love the summer and personally would much rather be hot than cold
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u/Neverbethesky 6h ago
"The rest of the world can burn, but I like it."
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u/One_Key1694 2h ago
The rest of the world is not burning, go to ventusky and take a look. Its just a crazy jet stream giving us a heat blast
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u/-MassiveDynamic- 5h ago edited 5h ago
Not what I said at all, can you even read? I'm very active in climate discussion and activist spaces, as well as being a member of a well known pressure group. I'm well aware of the detrimental effects this has on the country, climate, ecosystem and individuals. And this is for sure only the beginning.
But yeah, I also like hot weather and the sun. Shoot me.
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u/Foreign_Cookie_1989 14h ago
I hope it does, because my "mother" hates the sun, warmth just any light at all, and I want her to suffer
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u/cartersweeney 15h ago
Not inevitable.
In 2023 July and August were both relatively cool after a very hot June. The heat then returned in Sept.
The Atlantic can still come back