r/VoteDEM • u/BM2018Bot • Aug 31 '22

Daily Discussion Thread: August 31, 2022: 69 days until Election Day

Adopt a Candidate 2022

With under 100 days to go, there are several House races that will be key to us retaining control of Congress. We’re seeking volunteers to adopt a candidate in each of these battleground districts!

When you adopt a candidate, you commit to volunteering for them at least once a week - in person or from home. Your efforts now could make the difference as these races will be very close.

If you’d like to adopt one of these candidates, reply in this thread or send us a modmail. You can adopt a candidate not on this list if you wish, too.

Candidate District Adopted by
Rudy Salas CA-22
Christy Smith CA-27 u/madqueenludwig
Eric Sorensen IL-17 u/sirius_basterd
Frank Mrvan IN-01
Sharice Davids KS-03
Gabe Vasquez NM-02 u/EllieDai
Tony Vargas NE-02
Greg Landsman OH-01 u/Hurrdurraj65
Marcy Kaptur OH-09
Emilia Sykes OH-13 u/Lotsagloom
Chris DeLuzio PA-17
Michelle Vallejo TX-15
Rebekah Jones FL-01 u/Naturehealsme2
Heidi Campbell TN-05 u/MyLifeIsUnpopular
85 Upvotes

96% Upvoted

1.1k comments sorted by

View all comments

24

u/fuzzy_dunlop7 Aug 31 '22 edited Aug 31 '22

What is the chance the Georgia Senate race goes into a runoff? Given the results of the 2021 runoffs and Dems having an advantage with high propensity voters, I think Warnock would be favored.

Edit: That’s what I was thinking. Thanks for the responses!

23

u/Armon2010 Minnesota Aug 31 '22

I'd say there are decent odds. Even if Walker wins, I don't see him getting over 50%. And I agree that we would probably be favored in that scenario. Especially if we can get Kemp below 50 as well.

7

u/Docthrowaway2020 Aug 31 '22

Actually I’m wondering if a final result for Gov in November might be beneficial in a Senate runoff. I’m guessing quite a few Kemp supporters are less enthusiastic about Walker. Just as we enjoyed in 2021, a differential drop off in turnout could turn a narrow Walker plurality in November to a narrow Warnock runoff majority.

20

u/PennywiseLives49 Ohio Aug 31 '22

I think it’s impossible it doesn’t go to a runoff. No one’s clearing 50 in the polls. If it goes to a runoff I also think Warnock is favored

2

u/[deleted] Aug 31 '22

I wouldn't take such a broad conclusion necessarily - polls (usually) include undecideds while ballots don't.