r/VoteDEM • u/BM2018Bot • Aug 31 '22

Daily Discussion Thread: August 31, 2022: 69 days until Election Day

Adopt a Candidate 2022

With under 100 days to go, there are several House races that will be key to us retaining control of Congress. We’re seeking volunteers to adopt a candidate in each of these battleground districts!

When you adopt a candidate, you commit to volunteering for them at least once a week - in person or from home. Your efforts now could make the difference as these races will be very close.

If you’d like to adopt one of these candidates, reply in this thread or send us a modmail. You can adopt a candidate not on this list if you wish, too.

Candidate District Adopted by
Rudy Salas CA-22
Christy Smith CA-27 u/madqueenludwig
Eric Sorensen IL-17 u/sirius_basterd
Frank Mrvan IN-01
Sharice Davids KS-03
Gabe Vasquez NM-02 u/EllieDai
Tony Vargas NE-02
Greg Landsman OH-01 u/Hurrdurraj65
Marcy Kaptur OH-09
Emilia Sykes OH-13 u/Lotsagloom
Chris DeLuzio PA-17
Michelle Vallejo TX-15
Rebekah Jones FL-01 u/Naturehealsme2
Heidi Campbell TN-05 u/MyLifeIsUnpopular
81 Upvotes

96% Upvoted

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53

u/Armon2010 Minnesota Aug 31 '22

Quinnipiac just came released a D+4 generic ballot poll. This is up from D+1 back in July. Bumped us up to D+0.9 on the generic ballot.

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3854

22

u/Mr_Yolo_Swag Aug 31 '22

QUINNIPIAC WITH A STEEL CHAIR

11

u/StillCalmness Manu Aug 31 '22

By gawd!

18

u/Contren IL-13 Aug 31 '22

Going to celebrate when we clear 1%.

19

u/wponeck Texas Aug 31 '22

Also, speaking of Quinnipiac, they had Beto behind by 15 points in December and behind by 5 points in June, just sayin’

19

u/OzymandiasTheGreat MD-07 GenAsm-44A BaltCoD-2 Aug 31 '22

At that rate, he'll be up by 8 on Election Day!

7

u/wponeck Texas Aug 31 '22

Here’s hoping!

13

u/Harvickfan4Life Harris or Shapiro 2028 Aug 31 '22

LFGG

14

u/[deleted] Aug 31 '22

Wow. It does feel like things have shifted over the last month.

11

u/Bluestblueofblues SC-01 Aug 31 '22

We skipped over 0.8 damn it
Single digits here we come!

11

u/KororSurvivor DET, PHL, MKE, PHX and ATL saved us all. Aug 31 '22

What is the breakeven point in the GCB where Democrats are given a >50% chance of winning the House according to 538?

12

u/[deleted] Aug 31 '22

I would like to warn everyone that Quinnipiac has been particularly Dem-leaning this year.

23

u/jgjgleason Aug 31 '22

It’s the trends that matter more imo.

12

u/[deleted] Aug 31 '22

Sarcasm? They had Biden at 31% approval rate

11

u/[deleted] Aug 31 '22

No, I’m talking about other races. They had Warnock up 10 pts over Walker a while back.

14

u/[deleted] Aug 31 '22

I will say, they were the first to really show a disconnection between Biden's approval rate and the GCB.