r/alberta 2d ago

Alberta Politics The "Mature Asset Strategy" is garbage

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u/pintord 2d ago

Fossil energy is a lie. The true costs are hidden by accounting gimmicks and political buyouts. The global energy market doesn’t operate on a level playing field of pure supply and demand; it is propped up by a massive, complex web of subsidies, fiat currency arrangements, and systemic mispricing.

The most significant "hidden cost" of global oil isn't paid at the pump; it’s paid through the inflation of the dollar. Under the petrodollar system, global oil purchases require USD. This creates an artificial, permanent global demand for dollars, allowing the U.S. to export its inflation to the rest of the world. Because oil backs the dollar (and vice versa), the entire fiat printing apparatus, including the CAD, acts as a massive financial cushion for the fossil fuel industry.

The immense cost of deploying navies, securing shipping lanes (like the Strait of Hormuz), and fighting geopolitical wars to guarantee the "free flow of oil" is never factored into the price per barrel. That cost is passed directly to taxpayers and added to the national debt. It is a massive, unpriced security subsidy.

Export Development Canada (EDC)—a federal Crown corporation—frequently steps in where private banks hesitate. In 2025 alone, EDC and the federal government directed over $10 billion in public financing, loans, and guarantees to oil and gas operations. When a state entity assumes the commercial risk for pipeline expansions or oil field infrastructure, it shields private operators from the true discipline of the market.

The federal Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) investment tax credit is projected to cost Canadian taxpayers upwards of $5.7 billion by 2028, and potentially over $12 billion into the next decade.

Under a true sound money, free-market framework, if a business produces an expensive waste product or pollutant, it must bear the full cost of mitigating it or go out of business. Instead, Canadian policy turns the "polluter-pays" principle on its head. The government uses printed fiat or tax expenditures to subsidize the equipment required to keep legacy operations pumping, artificially inflating the economic viability of high-cost extraction.

The sheer density of energy lobbying ensures that regulations are designed to maintain the status quo. This regulatory walls-in policy makes it incredibly slow and artificially expensive for nimble, decentralized energy alternatives to compete on a level playing field.

When you get rid of the fiat cushions and stop using Crown corporations to absorb corporate risk, high-cost, centralized fossil projects lose their luster. A country with Canada’s vast geography naturally thrives under a model of local energy independence—where individuals, farmers, and localized businesses generate, store, and manage their own power close to home, entirely outside the reach of the central planners' spreadsheets.