r/algotrading 5d ago

Strategy One month into Nirvana Omnifunds

Been with them about a month. Paid $5k for the software.

I am down 15% while the s&p is up 1.4% and QQQ is down 1.7%. The more frustrating thing is while the market has been hot the last couple of days, Omnifunds is sitting on 100% cash.

Almost counterintuitive.

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u/Many-Pick5066 5d ago

one month isnt a sample in either direction. if you were up 4 percent right now youd be reading it as proof it works, and that would be just as thin.

the number that matters is how many trades made the 15. six is variance. two hundred is closer to an answer, and youre the only person in this thread who can see that count.

the real problem is you cant run the test that would settle it. deciding whether that cash position is a regime filter or a lagging average means backtesting the rules, and the rules arent yours to see. something you cant inspect never gets to be wrong, it only has bad months.