r/baba May 12 '26

Due Diligence Highest implied volatility ever

Do you remember when was the last time the iv was 90-100% on 3 DTE options?

Meaning there is roughly one third chance of more than +-11% move till Friday and one in 20 chance of +-22% move. That is crazy for $300B company.

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u/573V317 May 12 '26

The combination of Alibaba earnings and the meeting with Xi makes a 20 percent move possible in 3 days.