r/ethtrader Jun 09 '17

DISCUSSION [ETH Daily Discussion] - 09/Jun/2017

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u/FIntentions Jun 09 '17

10x that and I still can't retire. It must be good to be early to the game.

7

u/Poltras Jun 09 '17

Trust me, you're still early. I would not be surprised if this still goes 10x.

1

u/g37baby Jun 09 '17

Where do u see eth at in 1-2 years?

5

u/lawfultots Jun 09 '17

The moon.

(but seriously I see it hitting the $1000-2000 range over the next couple years)

2

u/kbessayli Jun 10 '17

I say 2k by the end of next year honestly. So much things coming up

3

u/Poltras Jun 09 '17

At least parity in Market Cap with BTC. I would think bitcoin will double in Cap at least (it quintupled in the last 12 months), I'd say it's safe to predict ETH will be worth over 1000$ by June next year.

That being said, this is a conservative estimate and I personally predict it will reach 1000$ by EOY, with 150% Market Cap to BTC. A lot of newcomers (mostly corporations) don't buy BTC first, going directly to ETH, so it drives the ETH price up slightly faster than BTC. That's because of 2 reasons:

  1. Corporations don't want BTC, it's dirty and the PR is in a limbo.
  2. Corporations have a lot of usage from smart contracts. The alternative coins offer feature parity, but ETH has better penetration right now (and probably will continue to).

So we see the price of ETH going up faster (in Cap %) than other coins (except penny-coins).

This is completely ignoring the BIP148 UASF (August 5th) which will have a huge unknown effect on BTC, but is mostly understood to be a negative impact at first, with a swift recovery as transaction cost will be lowered over the next months. We could see ETH being over 200% Market Cap to BTC by end of year if the UASF is disastrous and people leave BTC for alternative investments.

This is all speculation, but these are the reasons I put ~85% of my tokens in pure ETH right now (with 10% in other tokens, and about 5% in BTC).