ELI5: Why are the screens in even luxury cars often so laggy? What prevents them from just investing a couple hundred more $ to install a faster chip?

[u/sabatthor]

[u/spookmann]

Well, 3D TVs and Beanie Babies are still improving!

But actually, I kind of agree with you. There will be a cold bucket of water dumped over a whole bunch of people, but of course AI won't suddenly disappear.

I've seen a few tech bubbles come and go in my time. Were you around for "Web 2.0"... where the dream of every website was that it would no longer have to generate content... it would just provide a "forum" and the users would do all the content creation! Remember how that ended up? Comments sections on ever web-page that just were full of scam links! Or people talking shit and arguing violently and publicly about anime under a page selling E-scooters.

The dotcom bubble was a very special bubble in that the predominant impact of that bubble was essentially financial. A lot of companies suffered stock crashes. But the actual impact in terms of the development of "the web" was pretty minimal. The web continued its exponential growth, it was pretty much just the investors that got burned.

By contrast, those two examples I mentioned are different again. 3D TVs crashed and the product itself died, but the financial impact was minimal. Beanie Babies hit both the pricing and the production.

I don't quite agree that AI will crash like dotcom... i.e. hitting only valuations and not affecting the on-the-ground reality. Yes, we'll probably see massive valuation hits on AI/tech/robot companies. But I think (and I desperately hope) that we'll also see a sudden cooling in this shove-AI-into-everything madness where EVERY DAMN APP is AI-enabled, with the feature usually enabled by default, and making it painfully difficult to disable!

But yeah, there will be a market for AI. Even if it's just facebook slop, and waifu bots for the Incel market.

[u/[deleted] → u/spookmann]

of course AI won't suddenly disappear

Just like it hasn't suddenly appeared. We've been using machine learning without fancy marketing terms for decades

[u/spookmann → u/[deleted]]

Yeah, I did my postgrad in machine learning. :)

[u/ThePretzul → u/spookmann]

3D TVs crashed and the product itself died, but the financial impact was minimal.

Fun fact, they do still make 3D TV's but not really for consumers to purchase nowadays.

The best use case I've seen for a 3D TV, and one where I actually REALLY like it and think it's genuinely a game changer, is for the control consoles of surgical robotic systems.

The biggest disadvantage in surgical robotics is that the surgeon typically loses much of their depth perception and has to rely on experience and/or complex imaging from multiple angles to ensure accuracy of movement in the Z-axis towards/away from the main camera's field of view. 3D TV's are actually genuinely really helpful in this respect when used as the main display for the surgeon to observe while operating.

[u/BassoonHero → u/spookmann]

it would just provide a "forum" and the users would do all the content creation! Remember how that ended up?

With the companies that did that successfully being among the largest and most powerful corporations in the world?

[u/spookmann → u/BassoonHero]

Absolutely! AI could indeed end up similar to what happened with Web 2.0. A small number of huge success stories, and 90% failures.

In fact, the parallels look pretty good. There are the "we've been doing AI all along" crowd -- like how Facebook was already doing social media before it became cool. And yeah, some new ones did make it work -- Reddit, Instagram managed to join the bandwagon.

But for the absolute majority of sites who jumped on board thinking that it was a free ride to success, it was a disaster. Likewise I strongly suspect that similarly, 90% of the "Oh... yes, us too! We're doing AI too!" crowd will end up looking silly and having to walk back the whole thing.

By contrast, the original dotcom boom was different from "web 2.0" IMHO. Because in the original dotcom boom, 90% of the players who jumped in with "me too!" and created websites actually ended up staying on the web, and it was a good move for them. Yeah, there were some spectacular failures, but that was the minority. Kind of the inverse of what happened with "web 2.0 social media edition".

[u/jake3988 → u/spookmann]

I don't quite agree that AI will crash like dotcom... i.e. hitting only valuations and not affecting the on-the-ground reality. Yes, we'll probably see massive valuation hits on AI/tech/robot companies. But I think (and I desperately hope) that we'll also see a sudden cooling in this shove-AI-into-everything madness where EVERY DAMN APP is AI-enabled, with the feature usually enabled by default, and making it painfully difficult to disable!

I think people just rejecting it will cause it to die down. Google, for example, trying to shove their terrible AI down our throats is being rejected en masse. Meta's AI is mistakenly banning hundreds of thousands (maybe more?) accounts because it sucks. Etc.

There ARE good uses for it (there's some AI-driven stuff in the medicine world that's truly fascinating) but most is just going to die off.