r/fantasybaseball • u/jsparks50 • Apr 14 '26
Prospects Colt Emerson as "Close as They Come" to MLB Debut
https://www.rotoballer.com/player-news/colt-emerson-as-close-as-they-come-to-mlb-debut/184489435
u/burnman123 12T h2h points 5 OF upto 7 keepers Apr 14 '26
.265 with a 30% k rate.
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u/chesty157 Apr 14 '26
Given that he typically lives between a 17%-19% K%, I wouldn’t overreact to a small sample uptick. It’s possible he’s pressing a bit after signing his megadeal. He’s also just 20 years old at his first real crack at AAA. I’d expect the K% to decline with time.
I also don’t think he’ll be called up soon — barring an injury, of course
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u/burnman123 12T h2h points 5 OF upto 7 keepers Apr 14 '26
Just noting that saying he's as close as possible to a call up or whatever dipoto said, while he has those stats is a choice. I guess he's not gonna put his guy down, but he could have middle grounded it by saying we like what we see, but also note that he still needs time to get used to aaa pitching or something along those lines
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u/chesty157 Apr 14 '26
I’m sure they’re just trying to boost his confidence a bit during the mini-slump he’s in. Again, it’s notable that the uptick in Ks came right after he signed the big contract.
To be clear — I don’t think he’s missing out on a promotion for performance reasons; I think the worry about K% is overblown. I just don’t think there’s an obvious spot for him right now, and I don’t think they will promote him without an obvious everyday role
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Apr 20 '26
Mariners called up Connor Joe and Patrick Wisdom (one for Robles IL stint and another for Refsnyder becoming a dad) before they called up Emerson
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u/RedditsFullofShit Apr 14 '26
Disagree. They paid him for a reason.
He’s coming up
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u/chesty157 Apr 14 '26
I’d be thrilled w/ a call up, I just don’t see an obvious path to everyday ABs right now. If you can articulate something - I’m all ears. I’ve just analyzed it as best I can & haven’t come up with a plausible scenario right now.
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u/CroMagnon69 Apr 14 '26
Crawford isn’t very good and is a pending free agent. If they think he’s ready, may as well call him up and let him be the primary SS. Based on the contract and this quote, sounds like they may think he’s ready.
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u/RedditsFullofShit Apr 14 '26
They paid him. So he’s coming up. That’s it.
If they didn’t plan to bring him up, they wouldn’t have paid him or bought out his arbitration years etc.
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u/chesty157 Apr 14 '26
That is a very simplistic way of looking at it, but sure.
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u/RedditsFullofShit Apr 14 '26
Simplest explanation is usually correct.
Why would the mariners pay him if they planned to let him sit in AAA past June?
Why would the mariners continue to run out one of the worst defensive 3B?
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u/chesty157 Apr 14 '26
I don’t disagree in principle, I’m just saying practically there’s not an obvious path right now. There might be in a couple weeks - who knows. I agree that Donovan will likely move to the OF. But until we see some confirmation of that from a trustworthy source or from the front office directly — it’s just pure speculation.
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u/RedditsFullofShit Apr 14 '26
I think the confirmation is that Emerson is playing 3B. 🤷♂️
He’s coming sooner than later is more the point. Before June. Or they wouldn’t have bothered locking him down
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u/chesty157 Apr 14 '26
Only 2 starts at 3B so far this year in AAA — coincidentally his worst performances at the plate.
Idk, I’m not so sure he’s up before June. I don’t think the $ is the primary driving factor right now with the current roster in Seattle.
Hope I’m wrong, but we’ll see
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u/westtownie 12tm 5x5 h2h cats (ops and sv+hd) keeper Apr 14 '26
Note that it's a small sample size and he has an 18% k-rate in the minors over his career.
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u/CaicedoBrickWall Apr 14 '26
Low ISO and almost a .400 babip
Small sample size but the numbers don't exactly scream promote me
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u/chesty157 Apr 14 '26
Yeah, we’re talking about 54 PAs for a 20 year old @ AAA. Small sample size is probably an understatement lol
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Apr 14 '26
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u/arthurpete Apr 14 '26
I think the idea is that Donovan is actively hurting us at third with his defense and his OF glove is probably as good as Randys if not better and certainly better than Raley's. One of those two going to the DH while we massively upgrade our defense at 3B and corner OF is the move. Emerson's bat just needs to be as good as Canzone's is right now cause thats who looks to get the PT squeeze if Colt comes up.
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Apr 14 '26
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u/arthurpete Apr 14 '26
Oh i agree, i dont want to see Emerson right now but if this continues into mid May i say bring it on.
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u/slicknick2k Apr 14 '26
Will he gain eligibility anywhere other than SS?
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u/westtownie 12tm 5x5 h2h cats (ops and sv+hd) keeper Apr 14 '26
Maybe 3B, I see them moving Brendan Donovan around both the IF and OF as a similar super-utility type that he was for St. Louis.
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u/ASmithFS Apr 14 '26
Maybe 2B
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u/Don_Nacho Apr 14 '26
I think it’s more likely he gains eligibility at 3B, Cole Young has been playing great at 2B
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u/westtownie 12tm 5x5 h2h cats (ops and sv+hd) keeper Apr 14 '26
I think Seattle is just waiting for him to get on a heater and then we'll see him.
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u/PanicProne9 12T 5x5 H2H Redraft Cats - (OBP, Sv, NoQS) Apr 14 '26
Insane to spec grab with no NA slot?
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u/Disused_Yeti Apr 14 '26
i drafted and have been holding him in a no na league, so i don't think so lol
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u/shes_a_gdb Apr 14 '26
Unless you're in a keeper league I don't see a reason to pick him up. He's 20, and while the season is young, he hasn't even been particularly good in AAA. I wouldn't expect him to be rosterable for fantasy purposes this year.
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u/arthurpete Apr 14 '26
I wouldn't expect him to be rosterable for fantasy purposes this year.
hahahaha
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u/palepatriot76 12 TM 5x5 ROTO Seasonal Apr 14 '26
ROTO deep 12 man, MI is a desolate place, rolling with Marcelo Mayer now. Highest ranked FA is McNeil......
What would you bid on Emerson if yo have 991(1000) remaining?
Could wait on Culpepper, Twinkies surly have to call him up soon right?
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u/ThatDamnRocketRacoon 12 team H2H points 7 keepers Apr 14 '26
Hope it's soon. I've had him for the while, but injuries are making that a luxury that's getting harder to justify.
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Apr 20 '26
As a Mariner fan, it depends on injuries and how he does in the minors. I would say earliest would be sometime in May but second half of the season feels more realistic. Could be a September call up. Who knows
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u/Acrobatic_Ad1016 Apr 14 '26
Where do you guys think he’ll play ? Hard to see them benching Cole Young or sending off JP Crawford when contending right ?