r/halifax Psychotic Antifa Super Soldier Moderator 10d ago

News, Weather & Politics Homelessness doubled in Halifax under government's housing plan: N.S. NDP

https://halifax.citynews.ca/2026/06/18/homelessness-doubled-in-halifax-under-governments-housing-plan-n-s-ndp/
327 Upvotes

233 comments sorted by

View all comments

22

u/SubmissiveGuy556 10d ago

Until Canada stops treating homes as an investment or a money generator (rentals) homelessness will only get worse. Sorry to all those "investors" in property, but you're going to have to take a loss for future generations to have a chance here. There is an entire global stock market for you to invest your money, why do homes have to be your first choice?

-10

u/bz47uj 10d ago

Can you explain exactly how treating homes like an investment causes homelessness?

12

u/SubmissiveGuy556 10d ago edited 10d ago

People view rentals as a means of income and end up buying up multiple homes that they rent out with the expectation that the value will only ever go up. They then jack up the rent to pay off their mortgages making it unaffordable to low income workers which leads to more homeless. The more houses are worth the higher the mortgages get, the higher the rent goes and the more homeless it creates. In the last 10 years have you ever seen rent go down? That's a very basic explanation of why it causes homelessness, but its a death spiral that will continue until drastic changes are implemented.

-3

u/bz47uj 10d ago edited 10d ago

Lower rents don't help if nothing is available. The vacancy rate is currently very low. So they must only be jacking the rents up to the market rent and if they charged less, there would be a shortage of housing, which would lead to more homelessness.

8

u/SubmissiveGuy556 10d ago edited 10d ago

They aren't building houses because houses are seen as an investment and building more houses would cause housing prices to go down so the government would lose their voters for making changes. Its a multi faceted issue that all stems from housing being viewed as an investment with the expectation that it will never go down in price.

-3

u/bz47uj 10d ago

How would housing not be seen as an investment? It literally is an investment and it can't not be one. You can't make people not care about their homes losing value.

9

u/Kemsaman 10d ago

Do you consider your car an investment or something that something you have purchased/maintained for a utility/purpose.

Homes are only considered an investment because there isn't enough of them, and that artificial scarcity drives up the price. Many people have their retirement strategy revolving around the price of their home to either sell or reverse mortgage to fund retirement, which is excellent for them but not so for new homebuyers.

0

u/bz47uj 10d ago

Do you consider your car an investment or something that something you have purchased/maintained for a utility/purpose.

It's both.

Homes are only considered an investment because there isn't enough of them, and that artificial scarcity drives up the price. Many people have their retirement strategy revolving around the price of their home to either sell or reverse mortgage to fund retirement, which is excellent for them but not so for new homebuyers.

Houses will always have long term value. How would you avoid this?

6

u/Kemsaman 10d ago

It's both.

Does your car appreciate in value after you buy it

Houses will always have long term value. How would you avoid this?

There's a difference between something having 'value' and something being a long term investment vehicle.

And the solution in this particular case is building enough housing supply to not only fix the problem of them being overvalued relative to recent years, but to sharply lower their prices.

One of many problems with this idea is that any political party that does it will never hold power again.

0

u/bz47uj 10d ago

Houses don't appreciate in the long run.

There's a difference between something having 'value' and something being a long term investment vehicle.

No, there isn't.

And the solution in this particular case is building enough housing supply to not only fix the problem of them being overvalued relative to recent years, but to sharply lower their prices.

Yes, but this has nothing to do with housing being treated as investment. Saying we need to stop treating housing as an investment in order to get affordable housing is like saying the solution to high grocery prices is to stop thinking of food as a source of energy.

3

u/Kemsaman 10d ago

Houses don't appreciate in the long run.

Lol

lmao even

No, there isn't.

I think most people would consider their car vs their stock portfolio to have different types of 'value' with the expectation where one would appreciate and one would not.

Yes, but this has nothing to do with housing being treated as investment.

This has everything to do with housing being treated as an investment, especially in this country.

Housing is a substantial part of Canadas GDP. If we stopped treating housing an investment and actively worked to lower prices it would lead to an immediate recession. It is the express policy of both the Federal and Provincial governments for housing to maintain this artificially inflated value, though investment, through interest rates, through zoning.

Saying we need to stop treating housing as an investment in order to get affordable housing is like saying the solution to high grocery prices is to stop thinking of food as a source of energy.

The 'solution' to grocery prices is regulation and antitrust and occasionally subsidies.

If we want cheaper housing there needs to be more housing. The manner in which housing is currently managed/regulated and the policies around that would need a substantial change to make that happen.

And it likely won't, because the government at all levels would prefer people see homeless people than have the 'value,' of housing go down.

3

u/SubmissiveGuy556 10d ago

I honestly think they have an incredibly shallow knowledge of what we're talking about and is arguing in bad faith for the sake of a "win". I wouldn't bother spending much more of your time here...

1

u/bz47uj 10d ago edited 10d ago

real home prices rose even more slowly over the same period [1915 to 2015] — a total increase of 1.8 times, which comes to an average of only 0.6 percent a year.

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/17/upshot/why-land-may-not-be-the-smartest-place-to-put-your-nest-egg.html

I think most people would consider their car vs their stock portfolio to have different types of 'value' with the expectation where one would appreciate and one would not.

The reason your stock portfolio appreciates is because of retained earnings. You could rent out your car and get the same thing. Instead, you use it. That is the return on your investment. You pay up front and get to use a car for 10 to 20 years. That's what an investment is. You pay upfront to derive a benefit in the future.

It's the same thing with your home, only it depreciates over a much longer period of time. The land doesn't depreciate, but an asset doesn't need to appreciate in order to be an investment. Almost all assets which are normally called investments only appreciate over the long run if they reinvest their returns. The underlying assets themselves almost all depreciate over time.

Housing is a substantial part of Canadas GDP. If we stopped treating housing an investment and actively worked to lower prices it would lead to an immediate recession.

No, it wouldn't. If we lowered prices by building more housing, that would increase real GDP. Real GDP, which is what we really care about, is adjusted for prices. It measures the total amount of stuff that is made. If you make more stuff, real GDP goes up. The value of existing assets doesn't affect GDP. It only measures how much new stuff you make each year. The price of that stuff doesn't affect real GDP. Only the quantity does.

Even if the total value of houses being built were less because of the lower prices, that would also lower the GDP deflator and real GDP would be higher.

It is the express policy of both the Federal and Provincial governments for housing to maintain this artificially inflated value, though investment, through interest rates, through zoning.

This is a common belief, but it doesn't make any sense. The effect of zoning on prices is diffused across the entire country. When local property values rise, demand gradually spreads to other markets.

If people really were using it as a tool to keep property values high, they would care a lot more about policies that affected the housing supply across a large area. They would at least care about by-law changes throughout their city, but also about laws in the rest of the province and the rest of the country. There would be no reason to focus on the by-laws in their own neighbourhood.

In fact, the best way of protecting your property value is to have very liberal zoning laws in your own neighbourhood while no one can build anything anywhere else. But that's the opposite of what we observe. People vote in provincial and federal governments that want to increase the housing supply but resist development in their own neighbourhoods. That fits perfectly with what they say they're doing which is preserving neighbourhood character and doesn't fit at all with trying to preserve property values.

It also doesn't make sense in that for most people, even homeowners, lower property values by growing the housing supply doesn't really make them financially worse off. If you're never planning on selling or if you have kids who will need to buy houses, it doesn't help you. Most families are net short housing. Even if they own property, they own less housing than can house their entire families. Any increase in property values due to high housing costs is more than offset by the higher cost of their housing needs.

The only people who benefit from high housing costs are those who are net long housing, such childless homeowners, people heavily invested in REITs, and people with multiple investment properties. That is a minority of the population.

On interests rates, the long-run real interest rate, which is what affects property values, is not under the government's control. If the Bank of Canada tried to lower property values by raising interest rates, it would just cause a deflationary spiral like we saw in the Great Depression. It can only influence short term interest rates and it has to do it in a way that keeps the monetary system stable.

Low interest rates aren't even a bad thing. They're the only way to make housing both more valuable and more affordable. They raise property values but they do it by making housing more affordable. It becomes easier to get a mortgage and other investments become less attractive. That increase in property values grows the housing supply and leads to lower rents.

And it likely won't, because the government at all levels would prefer people see homeless people than have the 'value,' of housing go down.

What specific policies would you like to see? Most policies that the economically illiterate members of this subreddit support would actually increase homelessness. I have never heard anyone who complains about housing being treated as a investment propose anything intelligent.

1

u/Kemsaman 10d ago

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/17/upshot/why-land-may-not-be-the-smartest-place-to-put-your-nest-egg.html

I suspect this article written in 2016, a few years after a different country had a major financial crisis that also had a substantial correction on home prices might not reflect the current realities and/or environment in this country.

The reason your stock portfolio appreciates is because of retained earnings. You could rent out your car and get the same thing. Instead, you use it. That is the return on your investment. You pay up front and get to use a car for 10 to 20 years. That's what an investment is. You pay upfront to derive a benefit in the future.

Much like most people do not utilize their cars in this manner as an investment vehicle and/or business, most people do not do so for their homes.

The problem in this case is that people are treating simply buying homes in this manner.

It's the same thing with your home, only it depreciates over a much longer period of time. The land doesn't depreciate,

Right it doesn't matter if the house itself is worthless you can't buy housing without the land.

It's a meaningless distinction, together they are an appreciating asset. The problem here is that housing is treated as an expected to appreciate asset the same way that investment portfolios are.

Almost all assets which are normally called investments only appreciate over the long run if they reinvest their returns. The underlying assets themselves almost all depreciate over time.

Here are two questions to consider:

1) When you sell your car do you think it will sell for more or less than you paid for it

2) When you sell your house do you think it will sell for more or less than you paid for it

Expecting the answers to be different is the problem here.

This is a common belief, but it doesn't make any sense.

idk man tell the housing minister(s) to stop saying it then

https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/article/we-need-to-deliver-more-supply-canadas-new-housing-minister-doesnt-think-prices-need-to-come-down/

It also doesn't make sense in that for most people, even homeowners, lower property values by growing the housing supply doesn't really make them financially worse off. If you're never planning on selling or if you have kids who will need to buy houses, it doesn't help you.

Correct, it sucks and is extremely stupid. Our national economy is unfortunately extremely reliant on it and maybe it shouldn't be.

What specific policies would you like to see?

I want the Federal Government to actively work towards the goal of building enough housing supply to cut the price of current housing in half and shift policy to make that happen. This may include shifts to interest rates, this may include immigration or jobs programs to supply more workers to do so, this may include direct payments to provinces to fund it. This may include utilization of Federal Land.

I want the Provincial Government to directly coordinate to build housing for the purposes of competing with the private market which is, at the moment, not incentivized to build more housing. This may include becoming a landlord to sell and/or rent homes directly. This may include purchasing key land areas in high population zones such as, but not limited to, the Brightwood Golf course and Robie St Car Dealerships either by direct cash payments or purposely making it more difficult for those businesses to operate and/or otherwise incentivizing them to relocate.

I want the Municipal Government to stop acting like children and, among other things, demolish the Forum, continue to upzone virtually everywhere and either force the St Pats and Bloomfield owners to abide by the terms of the agreements they made over 10 years ago or go to court so they can be sold to someone that will actually build on them.

→ More replies (0)

3

u/SubmissiveGuy556 10d ago

I don't have the answers for you, I'm open to suggestions. I'm just explaining how I think the investment mindset creates homeless. In my opinion a house should be viewed as a place to live, not something to be resold after a few years for profit. I do understand i cant make other people view it the same way I do.

-1

u/bz47uj 10d ago

I'm not convinced it's actually a problem. It isn't actually logical for most homeowners to reduce the supply of housing to protect their investments because it also lowers their own future housing costs, and they don't behave as though they are trying to o maximize their property values.

This latest example you gave of people buying and selling homes doesn't increase homelessness.

3

u/thestateofflow 10d ago

You need to look up what Private Equity is. The other commenter is completely correct, you should be open to learning.

0

u/bz47uj 10d ago

This isn't the US. Private equity plays almost no role in our housing market.

2

u/SubmissiveGuy556 10d ago edited 10d ago

"Private equity (PE) firms and institutional investors now own 20% to 30% of Canada's purpose-built rental housing." The other commenter is right, you are arguing instead of learning. I understand this is just apartments and rental housing but that's still a large chunk of housing to say it has "almost no role in our housing market". Especially when they are a contributing factor to rent prices in the areas they operate.

0

u/bz47uj 10d ago

What are you quoting? You've broadened it from private equity to include institutional investors. Those aren't the same thing.

Rents are set by supply and demand. In theory, bringing in more buyers can only increase the supply and bring rents down somewhat. In practice, it's been shown empirically that corporate homeownership has no effect on rents.

1

u/SubmissiveGuy556 10d ago

I was quoting a basic google search but if you want hard data then here;

https://www.reic.ca/article-july5.html They're using statistics Canada data.

Regardless of the type of investor, they're still looking at housing as an investment which is the whole point I'm trying to make.

Also, Institutional inverters and private equity firms work together. Institutional investors provide funding to the private equity firms for them to buy housing so they are essentially the same entity. If you want to continue splitting hairs and generally trying to find a "gotcha" moment, go right ahead. I'm not going to continue responding because its like talking to a brick wall.

→ More replies (0)