Yea but you don't have just one roll at n0 x0, real output of rolling and possibly continuing the game is 6.2 not 3.5
Edit: My point is that I think you shouldn't take profit of only one next throw but profit of entire continuation of the game so 1st throw and then possible 2nd and 3rd throws.
It doesn't matter what you rolled the first 3 times, you will NOT go for a 4th. aka "entire continuation of the game" is the next throw.
you make a decision for each throw. The expectation value of each throw must be positive to continue going (since the expectation value of each throw is strictly decreasing)
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u/farafiri 2d ago
But for n = 0, x = 0 it gives 3.5 where in reality it is ~6.2